Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Aug 23-24, 2014  (Read 842 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Half n’ half weekend for weather and a borderline to cautious weekend for water conditions. Saturday will be mixed with more clouds than sun and chances of showers and thunderstorms. Skies will clear for Sunday and dry conditions should remain the main headlines. High temperatures will be in the 70’s with cooler temperatures along the coast. Overnight temperatures will be in the 50’s inland and 60’s along the coast. Humidity will be low to moderate. Winds will be breezy on Saturday inland and both days along the coast. Water conditions will be borderline to cautious for almost all waters. Onshore flow will continue varying from northeast to east-northeast. Winds will be 10-15 knots with gusts pushing 20 knots and seas 3-5 feet across ocean waters and 1-3 feet across bays. Small Craft Advisories are possible, especially on Saturday, but could continue into Sunday. Surf and beach conditions will be good to OK. Winds will be gusty from the northeast/east-northeast with rougher surf and wave heights averaging 2-4 feet with 3-5 foot waves likely with a 3-4 foot swell. Rip Current Risk will be Low to Moderate. Water temperatures are in the 60's and 70's with most in the 70's. Warm water is being pushed onshore, so closer to shore the warmer the temperatures. Surf temperatures are in the mid to upper 70's along most beaches. UV Index will be Moderate to Very High.

A weak low pressure will cross the region Thursday Night through Friday Night and then move off the coast Saturday. High pressure will build across the area this weekend and remain into next week. A cold front will approach the area next Wednesday.

Next week looks dry through midweek with possibly some showers and thunderstorms with the approaching cold front. High temperatures will be in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Humidity will be low to moderate. So far, humidity and excessive heat have been at a minimum this Summer. Long range looking towards the Fall are calling for decent chances of above normal temperatures. Water conditions are looking mostly good with a continued easterly flow. Surf and beach conditions look good to OK, as the onshore flow will keep wave heights 2-4 feet and rougher with Low to Moderate Risks of Rip Currents.

Invest 96L in the East Atlantic is approaching the Lesser Antilles. Aircraft Recon did not find enough to upgrade this system today, however the NHC still gives it a 50% chance of forming in the next 48 hours. This system is being modeled to travel towards the East Coast. Right now, it looks to stay out to sea, however, when there is no central or center of low pressure, models can be useless. Without a storm, forecasts cannot be generated. There are two systems, Tropical Storm Karina and Hurricane Lowell. These two systems will interact over the next few days and are not a threat to land right now.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:  Mid to upper 70’s
Low:  Upper 50’s inland, mid to upper 60’s along the coast, low to mid 50’s across the north
UV Index:  4-7/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:15am
Sunset: 7:43pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Mid to upper 70’s inland, low 70’s along the coast
Low:  Mid to upper 50’s inland, mid to upper 60’s along the coast, low to mid 50’s across the north
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:16am
Sunset: 7:41pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Atlantic Tropics











Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  73°F
Saturday
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming NE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday
Wind:  NE 10 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots becoming NE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  73°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  70°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  79°F
Saturday
Wind:  ENE 12-14 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  ENE 12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  NE 14 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  ENE 7-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  75°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Sunday Morning
Winds: ENE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  78°F-82°F
Saturday
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet


Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  74°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 6 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 6 seconds

Sunday Morning
Winds: NE 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 7 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 7 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)








Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: August 21, 2014, 06:25:52 PM by Pfishingruven »


 

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