NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Sept 22-26, 2014

[Pfishingruven]

Tonight marks the official start of Fall and the end of the Summer. Weather will be great this week, but water conditions will be a mix of good, borderline and cautious to hazardous days. The majority of the week looks dry, with sunny skies and a few clouds mixed in. Wednesday could see some more clouds, as could Thursday. Wednesday Night will also have a very low chance of isolated to scattered showers. Otherwise, the week looks nice with highs in the 60’s and 70’s with some crisp, Fall air making an appearance with 30’s and 40’s Monday Night, then 40’s to 60’s for the rest of the week. Humidity will be low to moderate. Water conditions, where to start. Monday has gusty winds up to 30 knots during the day with seas 4-6 feet, Cautious Conditions and Small Craft Advisories. Winds and seas will improve overnight and be good for Tuesday. Wednesday will see winds and seas increase again, through Friday for most locations. Southern Waters and Offshore waters will have the worst conditions, with Cautious to Hazardous Conditions, more for building seas over 8 feet! All areas will see 3-5 and 4-6 foot seas after Tuesday, improving, hopefully for Saturday. Some lingering seas and winds may persist into Saturday Morning. Surf and beach conditions will be mixed as well from good to cautious. Monday winds will be gusty and surf will be rough, with wave heights 4-6 feet and High Risk of Rip Currents. Tuesday winds will be normal and surf returning to normal. Wednesday through Friday could see gustier winds, rougher surf and higher waves at 3-5 feet then 4-8+ feet by Thursday and into Friday before subsiding for the weekend. With higher surf comes High Rip Current Risks. Be careful in surf zones!! Water temperatures are a few degrees warmer with upper 60’s and low 70’s. UV Index will be Moderate to High at 4-6/15.

High pressure will build in behind the cold front that moved through Sunday Night. Low pressure will lift northeast just offshore on Thursday. Another high will build in right behind the low and remain through the end of the week and into the weekend.

Tropics are quiet.

The weekend looks like a continuation of the week for weather. Dry with sunny skies with some clouds, highs in the 60’s and 70’s with overnight lows in the 40’s to 60’s depending on location. Water, surf and beach conditions look much better for the weekend. Saturday could see some remaining seas to 3-5 feet, as well as higher and rougher surf. Otherwise, everything looks good, at this point, for the weekend.

Have a great week, thanks for reading and sorry for the delay!

Monday
Sky:  Sunny to mostly sunny then mostly clear, breezy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low 70’s, mid 60’s across the north
Low:   Low to mid 40’s inland, low 50’s along the coast, upper 30’s across the north
UV Index:  6/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:43am
Sunset: 6:55pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Low 50’s inland, upper 50’s along the coast, mid 40’s across the north
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:44am
Sunset: 6:53pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 20% chance of scattered showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Low 70’s
Low:   Upper 50’s inland, low to mid 60’s along the coast, upper 40’s across the north
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:45am
Sunset: 6:52pm
New Moon: 2:15am


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Low to mid 50’s inland, low 60’s along the coast, mid to upper 40’s across the north
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:46am
Sunset: 6:50pm


Friday
Sky:  Sunny to mostly sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 70’s inland, low 70’s along the coast
Low:   mid to upper 50’s inland, low 60’s along the coast, low 50’s across the north
UV Index:  6/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:47am
Sunset: 6:48pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  68°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:   NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:    2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming NE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming S in the evening
Seas:  1-2 feet  in the morning, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  68°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 14 to 20 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 1 to 2 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: E 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: N 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  70°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 15-20 with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  SE 4-6 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  SE 3-4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: N 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 17 to 24 knots
Seas:  ESE 7 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 7 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: N 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  68°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  WNW 15-17 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  NW 10-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  NNW 5-9 knots becoming variables and less than 5 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less in the afternoon
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  Variable and less than 5 knots becoming N 6 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  ENE 12-14 knots
Seas:  1-2
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  ENE 12 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  ENE 12 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NE 5-7 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NNE 7 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NNE 7 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  71°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  SE 4-6 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 10-15 knots
Seas:  SE 3-4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  E 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  72°F-74°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  N 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:   1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:   1 foot
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:   2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  70°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 15-20 knots
Seas:  5-9 feet subsiding to 4-6 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 15-20 knots becoming N 10-20 knots tonight
Seas:  3-6 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNE 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT AD VISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT AD VISORY
Winds: ENE 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT AD VISORY
Winds: NE 26 to 35 knots
Seas:  ESE 11 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT AD VISORY
Winds: NNE 25 to 34 knots
Seas:  ESE 11 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT AD VISORY
Winds: NNE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT AD VISORY
Winds: NNE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 8 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

A coastal low pressure system (essentially a very, very weak and early Nor'Easter) has formed off the of the South Eastern Coast. Despite, the marine models pin pointing this storm, it was forecast to stay well off the coast and get caught up with the passing cold front; that did not happen ! What this means, rain acrossed most of the state on Wednesday and Thursday moving south to north. Southern and Coastal areas will see the greatest amounts of rain, up to 3+ inches locally. This may be beneficial to NNJ areas, which are listed as abnormally dry bordering on minor drought. Winds will gust from the east around 30+ knots. Minor to moderate coastal flooding is possible, especially with the onshore flow. Guidance is suggesting less than a foot increase due to the storm, however it does not take wind into consideration. Marine conditions will have Small Craft Advisories and Cautious to Hazardous conditions for all coastal waters. Southern and ocean waters will be worse, but all areas will experience winds.

Raritan Bay will have winds to 30 knots and seas 2+ feet.

Northern Ocean Waters will have winds to 30 knots and seas 5-8 feet.

Central Ocean Waters will have winds to 30 knots and seas  7-10 feet.

Southern Ocean Waters will have winds to 30 knots and seas 7-10 feet.

Delaware Bay will have winds to 30 knots and seas 3-5 feet.

Offshore waters will have winds to 30 knots and seas 5-10 feet.

Surf conditions will be rough with high waves to 10 feet and a High Risk of dangerous Rip Currents. Winds will gust to 30 knots. Beach erosion is likely. Tides will be running around a foot high due to the storm and will be additionally high due to strong onshore winds.

Below is a Briefing from the NWS PHI.

NWS PHI Briefing #1 Coastal Storm 9/24-9/25

Be safe!!

[Ms Fish]

MAAAATTTTT! How did I get through the summer with out your reports!  Still going strong I see; Keep it up! 

[Pfishingruven]

MAAAATTTTT! How did I get through the summer with out your reports!  Still going strong I see; Keep it up! 

 

Still going...a new house, moving and school try and get in the way, but they never win !!