NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Oct 27-31, 2014

[Pfishingruven]

This week will have a little bit of each of the four seasons and water conditions will range from good to cautious. Monday Night will be clear with lows in the 40’s. Tuesday will be a mix of sun and clouds with clouds increasing later. Tuesday’s highs will be Summer-like in the low to upper 70’s with overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Wednesday will have increasing clouds with chances of showers and rain. Wednesday will see 60’s and 70’s with 40’s and 50’s overnight. Thursday and Friday will have sun returning and dry conditions with cooler temperatures. Highs will only be in the 50’s and 60’s with overnight lows in the 30’s to 50’s. Halloween will be seasonable, with increasing clouds into the night. Highs will be in the 50’s with overnight lows in the 30’s and 40’s. Trick or Treat early, to avoid any chances of showers moving in. I will keep a watch on this timing. Areas across the north of the state, could see snow showers/flurries Friday Night with a mix possible as you move south. A developing and intensifying Nor’Easter will form to the north and bring snow and coastal effects to New England. Water conditions will be a mix, with Tuesday through Wednesday borderline and cautious depending on locations and times. NOAA/NWS has gone with much higher winds and seas, than BW. Conditions will be borderline again on Thursday and Friday, with conditions deteriorating for Friday Night into the weekend. Surf and beach conditions will be good to ok with gusty winds possible, rougher surf and wave heights peaking on Wednesday at 3-5 feet. Water temperatures are slowly cooling in the upper 50’s to mid 60’s.

A high pressure system near Virginia will move offshore Monday Night. A warm front will pass through the area on Tuesday followed by the passage of a cold front on Wednesday. A high pressure system will return for Thursday and early Friday. A cold front will move through Friday Night as its low pressure  system will intensify rapidly as it moves through New England and coastal waters on Saturday . Canadian high pressure will move into the Ohio Valley on Sunday and the Eastern Seaboard on Monday.

 The weekend looks dry, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see lingering showers on Saturday. Sunday will be dry and sunnier. Highs will only be in the 40’s and 50’s with lows in the 30’s and 40’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious with a developing nor’easter to the north and windy conditions across much of the area.

The Atlantic Tropics have another Tropical Storm, Hanna, which will stay over the Yucatan for now. There is also another area nearing the Caribbean being watched.

Have a great rest of the week, thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:    
Low:     Mid 40’s inland, low 50’s along the coast, upper 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:19am
Sunset: 6:01pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 70’s
Low:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s inland and along the coast, low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:20am
Sunset: 6:00pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-50% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:    Mid 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Mid to 40’s inland , upper 40’s to low 50’s along the coast, Upper 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:21am
Sunset: 5:59pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny  becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Low 40’s inland, Upper 40’s along the coast, mid to upper 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:22am
Sunset: 5:58pm
First Qtr: 10:49pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance during the day, 30%-40% chance of showers, northern areas could see snow showers/flurries or a mix
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 50’s
Low:   Upper 30’s inland, low 40’s along the coast, low 30’s across the north
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:24am
Sunset: 5:56pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Atlantic Tropics



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  57°F
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NW 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming W in the afternoon and evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less building to 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                          



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  57°F
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 5-10 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NW 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  62°F
Monday Night
Winds: SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  SE 2-3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  57°F
Monday Night
Wind:  W 5-7 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  SSW 8-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SSW 11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  SW 11 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  WNW 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 8-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 6 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  WNW 6-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  64°F
Monday Night
Winds: SW 5-10
Seas:  SE 2-3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: N 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  60°F-63°F
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  W 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Winds: NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet, Visbility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-3 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  64°F
Monday Night
Winds: NW 5-15 knots becoming SW 10-20 knots late
Seas:  SE 2-4 feet at 10 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SSW 6 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSW 6 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

A mix of sun and clouds for Halloween as a deepening low forms off the Carolina Coast. This Nor'Easter will stay well of the coast, but some effects will be felt (more to come with the Weekend Outlook). It will be mostly dry. I say mostly because isolated to scattered showers/drizzle are possible throughout the day. Rain will not move in until later at night, likely after midnight. Highs will be in the mid to upper 50's, dropping after sunset with lows in the 40's to 50's. So, seasonable temperatures, cooler after dark with some isolated to scattered chances of showers. Trick Or Treat will not be a washout, anywhere statewide, but an umbrella may be good to bring along.

Anyone looking to get out, water, surf and beach conditions will be good for the day deteriorating into the night and overnight with cautious conditions and small craft advisories into Saturday as a moderate Nor'Easter moves into New England!