Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Nov 24-28, 2014  (Read 2151 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A very unsettled week with hazardous and cautious water conditions and a possible Nor’Easter bringing rain and snow across the state. Monday will continue with rain chances decreasing into the overnight. Fog is likely early in the morning across much of the state. Tuesday Day will be dry with chances of showers moving in during the night. Wednesday is the questionable day. Depending on the track, it could be difference between rain and accumulating snow or absolutely nothing. The models are trending towards at least rain, gusty winds, high and rough surf, beach erosion and coastal flooding. Snow will depend on the track and could range from a mix to several plus inches. This will be the topic to watch this week, especially with the timing affecting one of the biggest travel days of the year! Thursday looks to be dry, however there may be some lingering precipitation and clouds from the Nor’Easter. Friday looks to be most settled and nicest days of the week with dry conditions and a mix of sun and clouds. Highs will range from 70’s on Monday to 30’s by the end of the week. That’s quite a temperature spread!! Lows will range from the 50’s down to the 20’s by late week. Water conditions will be mixed as well, mostly hazardous to cautious. Monday will have hazardous conditions with Gale Warnings and Small Craft Advisories. The remainder of the week will be cautious to hazardous, with very low chances of good conditions most of the week. Wednesday’s Forecasts do not reflect the coastal low pressure system effects. If the system tracks close enough to bring precipitation, water conditions will be cautious to hazardous with winds in excess of 20 knots, minimum, and seas 6-8 feet minimum. The track will change these numbers either for the better or worse. Thursday may have the best chances of borderline conditions, depending on the timing and response of the ocean. Friday will usher in its own cautious to hazardous water conditions that are not likely to improve into the weekend. Surf and beach conditions will be ok to hazardous this week. Rough surf with wave heights to 4-8 feet or more will be on and off. If the Nor’Easter affects surf, beach erosion and rip currents will be an added risk. Water temperatures are in the upper 30’s to upper 50’s with most waters in the 40’s to mid 50’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate all week.

NWS PHI Coastal Storm Briefing #1


Intensifying low pressure in Missouri will arrive in the Upper Great Lakes Monday, pulling a strong warm front north through the region on early Monday. A cold front, then move through the region and off the coast on Monday Night. High pressure follows for late Tuesday. A coastal storm forming off of the North Carolina Coast Wednesday Morning moves east and northeast towards New England for Thanksgiving. A cold front moves through the area on Thursday Evening and high pressure moves into the Carolinas next weekend.

The weekend looks dry with highs in the 30’s and 40’s and lows in the 20’s and 30’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be mixed from cautious to good, but mostly cautious at this point both days.

The Atlantic Tropics are quiet.

Have a great week and a great Thanksgiving! Be safe if you are traveling on Wednesday, it could be nasty. Thanks for reading.

Monday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy, Patchy fog in the morning
Precipitation:  60%-80% chance of rain during the day, 30%-40% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:    Mid 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s inland and along the coast, low 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  1-3 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:51am
Sunset: 4:35pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 20%-30% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 40’s to mid 50’s
Low:   Mid to upper 30’s inland, low 40’s along the coast, low 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:52am
Sunset: 4:34pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Cloudy
Precipitation:  100% chance of rain/snow
Temperatures
High:    Upper 30’s to mid 40’s
Low:   Low 30’s inland, mid 30’s along the coast, upper 20’s across northern areas
UV Index:  0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:53am
Sunset: 4:34pm


Thursday
Sky:   Partly sunny becoming partly cloudy, Windy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s
Low:   Mid 20’s inland, low to mid 30’s along the coast, low 20’s across northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:54am
Sunset: 4:33pm


Friday
Sky:   Partly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 30’s
Low:   Mid 20’s inland, low 30’s along the coast, low 20’s across the north
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:55am
Sunset: 4:33pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Probability of Snow (More than 1 inch) through Thursday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  41°F
Monday
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  S 15-20 knots with gusts to 40 knots decreasing to 30 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet
Monday Night
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet

Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots becoming NW 5-10 knot after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet subsiding to 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 10-15 knots increasing to NE 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  N 15-20 knots becoming NW after midnight with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Thursday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less becoming 2-3 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots becoming W 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less late
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                          



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  41°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 25 to 34 knots
Seas:  SSE 7 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet

Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  SSE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet

Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:   2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  52°F
Monday Morning
Winds: S 25 to 33 knots
Seas:  SSE 7 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  SE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: W 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: W 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  39°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  S 18-23 knots  with gusts to 32 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SSW 13-16 knots becoming W after midnight with gusts to 22 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Tuesday
Wind:  W 11-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 6-9 knots becoming NNW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 9-12 knots becoming NNE 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 19-24 knots becoming WNW 12-17 knots after midnight with gusts to 35 knots
Surf:  0-1 feet

Thursday
Wind:  W 9-14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  W 12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots becoming W 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  53°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 26 to 35 knots
Seas:  SSE 8 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet

Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 20 to 28 knots
Seas:  SE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet

Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet

Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NE 14 to 20 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  ENE 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  NNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  NNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  45°F
Monday
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  S 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots diminishing to 15-20 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet

Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots becoming W late
Seas:  2-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-3 feet

Tuesday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots late
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  N 15-20 knots increasing to 20-25 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  2-4 feet

Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  N 20-25 knots becoming NW 15-20 knots after midnight
Seas:  3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  2-4 feet

Thursday
Winds: W 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots becoming W 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  59°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 27 to 37 knots
Seas:  SSE 9 feet at 7 seconds
Monday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  S 12 feet at 9 seconds

Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ASDVISORY
Winds: WNW 20 to 28 knots
Seas:  SSE 9 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ASDVISORY
Winds: W 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSE 8 feet at 9 seconds

Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ASDVISORY
Winds: ENE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ASDVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  SSE 10 feet at 10 seconds

Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  SSE 8 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 24 to 32 knots
Seas:  NW 7 feet at 6 seconds

Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  NW 5 feet at 5 seconds

 
Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: November 24, 2014, 07:17:20 AM by Pfishingruven »


Offline Hunter 2

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Nov 24-28, 2014
« Reply #1 on: November 24, 2014, 05:22:27 AM »
Thanks for the report,  Too bad it's gonna be windy
Eddie "Hunter 2"
36' Topaz "Hallie Loren"    Charter boat sailing from Wagners Marina, Keyport NJ


 Life is short, Fish Hard.


Offline IrishAyes

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Nov 24-28, 2014
« Reply #2 on: November 24, 2014, 09:36:04 AM »
Will somebody pull the plug on that huge fan already!!!  rgmn rgmn rgmn
Captain Joe of the Irish Ayes

May the holes in your net be no larger than the fish in it.  ~Irish Blessing

Offline Still Running

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Nov 24-28, 2014
« Reply #3 on: November 24, 2014, 12:22:43 PM »
Thanks Matt,

With all of that said

Can we get out Saturday for some Blackfish?  :headscra:
Fishing Sandy Hook and anywhere I can get on a boat.




My biggest fear is when I die my wife sells all of my fishing tackle for what she thinks I paid for it!
Www.HNCTruckParts.com


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Nov 24-28, 2014
« Reply #4 on: November 24, 2014, 01:12:17 PM »
Thanks Matt,

With all of that said

Can we get out Saturday for some Blackfish?  :headscra:

Saturday is not looking all that bad!  TT^

Offline Still Running

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Nov 24-28, 2014
« Reply #5 on: November 24, 2014, 01:15:21 PM »
Thanks Matt,

With all of that said

Can we get out Saturday for some Blackfish?  :headscra:

Saturday is not looking all that bad!  TT^

 clp  t^ Thanks Matt!
Fishing Sandy Hook and anywhere I can get on a boat.




My biggest fear is when I die my wife sells all of my fishing tackle for what she thinks I paid for it!
Www.HNCTruckParts.com

Offline Hunter 2

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Nov 24-28, 2014
« Reply #6 on: November 24, 2014, 01:35:46 PM »
Wow,  it's 77 Deg in Matawan right now. ;D
Eddie "Hunter 2"
36' Topaz "Hallie Loren"    Charter boat sailing from Wagners Marina, Keyport NJ


 Life is short, Fish Hard.


 

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