Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Mar 23-27, 2015  (Read 1745 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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The remainder of Monday and all of Tuesday will be dry with increasing sun before rain and even snow chances move in on Wednesday and then all rain for Wednesday Night, Thursday and early Friday. Rain looks to be widely scattered showers tapering off to scattered showers by Friday. Friday will begin clearing for Friday Night. Rain, snow and/or mix is possible early on Wednesday, especially across northern areas. It could make for some hazardous surfaces. Highs will range from the 30’s and 40’s, up into the 60’s on Thursday before dropping back to the 40’s. Still chilly temperatures with a few warmer days mixed in. Overnight lows will range from the teens to 40’s. Water conditions will be good on Tuesday and begin deteriorating on Wednesday becoming cautious to hazardous for Thursday and early Friday before becoming borderline to cautious again on Friday and into the weekend. Surf conditions will be good, then ok to cautious on Thursday and Friday as winds increase and surf builds to 8+ feet. Water temperatures are a couple of degrees warmer, still in the upper 30’s to 40’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 2-4/15.

High pressure centered near the Northern Great Lakes will continue to build slowly southeastward and over the area through Tuesday. A warm front is then forecast to lift north through the region Wednesday, followed by a strong cold front Thursday Night. High pressure will build down from Central Canada on Friday and gradually build east toward the Mid Atlantic over the weekend, with another cold front possibly cross the region on Monday.

The weekend looks dry with highs in the low 40’s or so and overnight lows in the 30’s. Water surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious all weekend.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Partly cloudy with increasing clouds
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:    
Low:   Low 20’s inland, mid 20’s along the coast, low teens across northern areas
UV Index:
Sunrise: 6:56am
Sunset: 7:10pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Sunny with decreasing clouds, then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid 30’s to low 40’s
Low:   Mid to upper 20’s inland and along the coast, low 20’s across northern areas
UV Index:  4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:54am
Sunset: 7:11pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-40% chance of rain/snow during the day, 40%-50% chance of rain at night
Temperatures
High:    Mid to upper 40’s
Low:   Low to mid 40’s
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:53am
Sunset: 7:12pm


Thursday
Sky:   Cloudy
Precipitation:  50%-70% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
Low:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:51am
Sunset: 7:13pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly cloudy becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of showers during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s
Low:   Upper 20’s to low 30’s
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:50am
Sunset: 7:14pm
First Qtr: 3:44am


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  40°F
Monday Night
Wind:  N 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots becoming NW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots becoming SW 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet, Fog, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots becoming W 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  5-8 feet

Friday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  40°F
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots late
Seas:  2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf:  1-3 feet

Tuesday Morning
Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SSW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  S 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet

Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSE 6 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet

Friday Afternoon
Winds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  39°F
Monday Night
Winds: NW 10-15 knots becoming N
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ENE 1 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 23 to 32 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  5-7 feet

Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet

Friday Afternoon
Winds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  40°F
Monday Night
Wind:  N 7-9 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  N 5-7 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming SSE 7-12 knots in the morning
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSW 11-14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSW 14-17 knots increasing to 18-21 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 29 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSW 15-20 knots becoming W 10-15 knots after midnight with gusts to 28 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Friday
Wind:  WNW 6-8 knots becoming W 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NNW 6-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  39°F
NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Mainly in E swell with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Monday Night
Winds: NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: E 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:  SSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  S 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet

Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet

Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  39°F-42°F
Monday Night
Wind:  N 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:   2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:  SW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots becoming W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet

Friday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming N 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  40°F
Monday Night
Winds: WNW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: E 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSW 3 feet at 4 seconds

Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  SSW 7 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  S 10 feet at 10 seconds

Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 8 feet at 10 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Thunderstorms Possibly Severe
« Reply #1 on: March 26, 2015, 09:12:22 AM »
As rain chances continue today, this afternoon thunderstorms are possible with some of them in Southern and Coastal NJ strong to severe. Damaging winds are a low possibility today with any thunderstorms, as is heavy rains and dangerous lightning.

I will have an update to Friday's weather, as precipitation, even some snow to mix to rain is possible Friday Night and Saturday Day. Full Weekend Outlook by later this evening.

Be safe!




Offline IrishAyes

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Mar 23-27, 2015
« Reply #2 on: March 26, 2015, 10:17:58 AM »
Got lotsa green in there.  TT^
Captain Joe of the Irish Ayes

May the holes in your net be no larger than the fish in it.  ~Irish Blessing

Offline Pfishingruven

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