NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: May 26-29, 2015

[Pfishingruven]

Continued heat and humidity with showers and thunderstorms the rest of the week with borderline to cautious water conditions. High pressure off the coast will continue to bring hot and humid air into the region. A mix of sun and clouds with chances of scattered showers and/or thunderstorms is possible the rest of the week. Some days could see some severe weather as well. Highs will be in the 80’s inland and 70’s at the shore with overnight lows in the mid to upper 60’s. Humidity will be moderate to high. Water conditions will vary from good to borderline to cautious depending on the time and day. Overall, borderline to cautious conditions will be present with some SCA’s. Fog is possible Tuesday and Wednesday in the evenings and mornings, limiting visibility. Winds will be gusty early to midweek and seas could build and sustain to 6 feet. Surf and beach conditions will be ok to good. Winds could be gusty at times and seas could build to 3-5 feet at max with 2-4 feet average and a low risk of rip currents. Water temperatures are steady in the mid 50’s to upper 60’s. UV Index will be Moderate to Extreme at 4-10/15.

High pressure will be stationary off of the East Coast through the end of the week.  A cold front will approach from the west on Wednesday and eventually dissipate as it tries to move through the area on Thursday. Another cold front will approach the area on Sunday and stall in the area on Monday.

The weekend looks like a continuation of this week, with sun and clouds with chance of scattered showers and/or thunderstorms. Highs will be in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s. Humidity will be moderate to high. Water, surf and beach conditions will be mixed with good conditions in the morning becoming borderline to cautious in the afternoons.

Have a great week and thanks for reading! This week is Hurricane Preparedness Week. Information from last year is basically the same. There are updated daily videos that I will be posting, if you choose to review them.

Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Mid 80’s inland, low to upper 70’s at the shore/on the water
Low:   Mid to upper 60’s
UV Index:  7-9/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:33am
Sunset: 8:13pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-50% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 80’s inland, low to mid 70’s at the shore/on the water
Low:   Mid to upper 60’s
UV Index:  8-10/15 (Very High-Extreme)
Sunrise: 5:33am
Sunset: 8:14pm


Thursday
Sky:   Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-50% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s inland, low to mid 70’s at the shore/on the water
Low:   Mid to upper 60’s
UV Index:  4-7/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:32am
Sunset: 8:15pm


Friday
Sky:   Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-40% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s inland, low to mid 70’s at the shore/on the water
Low:   Mid to upper 60’s
UV Index:  4-7/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:31am
Sunset: 8:16pm


Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Tuesday-Sunday



Tuesday & Wednesday Severe Weather Risks





Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  62°F
Tuesday
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS/Fog
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet subsiding to 1-2 feet after midnight, Fog after midnight, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS/Fog
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Fog, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet subsiding to 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Thursday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Friday
Wind:   S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
                   



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  62°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 14 to 20 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  56°F
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  53°F
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSW 14-16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSW 12-14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  SSW 12-17 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SSW 13-16 knots decreasing to 10-13 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  S 10-14 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SSW 8-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  S 7-10 knots increasing to 10-13 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  61°F
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: SSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: S 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   



Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  64°F-70°F
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Winds: S 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Winds: S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  55°F
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  SW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: SW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: WSW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

With the hot and humid temperatures there is a chances of showers and thunderstorms today. Some thunderstorms could be severe with heavy rains, dangerous lightning, and damaging winds. Storms are possible as scattered cells and also forming into more widely scattered organized squall lines.

Be aware of changing weather conditions today.

[Pfishingruven]

The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for ALL of NJ as well as parts PA, MD, DE, NY, CT, and into VT and down to VA. The Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be in effect until 7PM and includes Delaware Bay, as well as all other bays, except Raritan Bay/New York Harbor. However, I wouldn't trust that storms know boundaries.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

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Be alert to changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving any issued Advisories or Warnings!

Be safe!!

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch #227

[Pfishingruven]

There is a chance of thunderstorms today, with severe thunderstorms possible across Northern NJ. Storms could be capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning and damaging winds.

The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for the Northeast US until 7PM. This includes Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Morris, Passaic, Sussex, Union and Warren Counties in NJ and includes Raritan Bay/NY Harbor. The Watch extends to the northeast up through Maine.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch #233
Here are the Severe Weather Risk Forecasts