Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: July 4-5, 2015  (Read 2526 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Overall not a bad 4th of July Weekend. Weather will be workable and water conditions borderline. Friday will start the weekend for many (by the looks of the GSP today) with patchy fog in the morning and a mix of sun and clouds, with clouds increasing into Friday Night. There could be some scattered showers or thunderstorms on Friday with greater chances into Friday Night. Those chances will carry over into Saturday and Saturday Night as well, as 4th of July could see some scattered to even widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Sunday looks to clear out with more sun than clouds. Highs will not get anywhere near what was forecast at the beginning of the week, so we will be spared the excessive heat. Temperatures will be average in the 70’s to mid 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s and low 70’s with some 50’s across northern areas. Humidity will be moderate overall. Water conditions are going to be very mixed and dependent on location, day and time. Overall, borderline to cautious conditions are possible. However, breaking it down better, rivers and bays look good with winds tops to 15 knots for the next 3 days. Inshore waters will slowly see an increase in winds on Friday to 15 knots or so with seas building to 3-4 feet. Winds will increase with gusts to 20 knots and seas staying around 3-4 feet, hence the borderline to cautious conditions. However, winds could definitely stay around the 15 knot mark and seas closer to 3 feet than 4 feet. Just know that winds and seas could build if you find decent conditions initially. With conditions so borderline, either way, it really is a weekend to check out those conditions and look for live updates. Also, some boats may be prevented by certain conditions, while not affecting others, so check with the captain before making any decisions. The weekend is certainly not a wash or blow out, so enjoy and be safe! Midshore to offshore will be borderline to cautious as well with seas pushing 6 feet. Winds will improve for Sunday and seas could respond fairly quickly as winds change from predominantly eastern to more of a southwest to western direction. Surf and beach conditions will be mainly good, however surf could be high at times averaging 2-4 feet with some 3-5 foot waves likely. Moderate to High Risk of Rip Currents will be in effect, so be careful in and around the water on the beaches. Make sure to swim in Guarded areas only and follow all instructions of the local Beach Patrols. Water temperatures are steady in the 60’s to even 80’s. UV Index will be Moderate to Very High at 3-9/15.

Weak high pressure will build to the north on Thursday Night into Friday as another wave of low pressure moves along a stalled front to the south. Another area of high pressure will then move into the region through the holiday weekend. A cold front will cross the area by Wednesday.

Next week will start off dry with showers and thunderstorm chances increasing for Wednesday and the rest of the week. Highs will be in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s and 70’s. Water, surf and beach conditions

The Atlantic Tropics are still quiet.

Have a great 4th of July Weekend! Be safe and thanks for reading!!

Saturday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:     Mid 70’s to low 80’s
Low:     Low to mid 60’s with mid 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-9/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:33am
Sunset: 8:29pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:     Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low:     Mid 60’s to low 70’s with low 60’s across northern areas
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:33am
Sunset: 8:28pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  72°F
Saturday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):   2-4 feet
Sunday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  72°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: E 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  70°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ESE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: S 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  67°F
Saturday
Wind:  ENE 10-13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  NNE 7-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  N 6-9 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  SSW 8-11 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  73°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SW 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SE 1 to 1 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  71°F-83°F
Saturday
Wind:  E 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Saturday Night
Wind:  NE 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  67°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ESE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Sunday Morning
Winds: N 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 8 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 8 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)




Ocean Currents

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)









Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Higher Chances of Rain for Saturday
« Reply #1 on: July 03, 2015, 02:56:32 PM »
Last night's and today's models suggest higher chances of showers for Saturday. Greater than 50% chance of showers statewide with some areas approaching 60%-70% chances. This equates to scattered to widely scattered to even widespread showers during the day tapering off throughout the day and hopefully clearing out for the evening in time for fireworks. This is still not a washout, but some may see more rain than others.

Have a great holiday!


Online Hotrod

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: July 4-5, 2015
« Reply #2 on: July 03, 2015, 03:18:31 PM »
Thank you for all your hard work Matt t^



Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: July 4-5, 2015
« Reply #3 on: July 03, 2015, 04:28:13 PM »
Thank you for all your hard work Matt t^

Thanks Rod...anytime  TT^


Offline fluke - u

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: July 4-5, 2015
« Reply #4 on: July 03, 2015, 05:21:11 PM »
Thank you for all your hard work Matt t^




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