Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Feb 13-14, 2015  (Read 1013 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Extremely cold air moves into the area and mostly hazardous water conditions. Saturday will have some chances of snow showers carrying over from Friday. Even with snow chances, there will be a mix of sun and clouds. Snow will not be accumulating. Sunday will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds. Both days will be very windy. Highs will only be in the teens and 20’s with overnight lows on Saturday in the negative and single digits and single digits and teens on Sunday Night. Wind chills will make temperatures feel well below zero. This is dangerous cold for people and animals. Frostbite and cold emergencies can happen quickly in these temperatures. The young, sick, and elderly can be overcome by cold, as well. Any loss of power/heat will become an urgent situation. Be safe and stay warm! Water conditions will be mainly hazardous with some areas cautious with winds to 40 knots and seas to 10 feet inshore and 20 feet offshore. Freezing spray and limited visibility will also be an issue. Winds and seas will settle for late Sunday Night/Monday Morning. Small Craft Advisories are a given, but Gale Watches have been posted and Gale Warnings are likely at some point this weekend, mainly Saturday/Saturday Night. Surf conditions will be cautious with gusty winds to 35+ knots and surf heights to 5 feet. Winds will mainly be out of the west, so surf will not pick up as much, but it will still be dangerous, coupled with extreme cold and wind chills. Beach conditions are guarded to cautious, as moderate beach erosion occurred in many areas with the last storm. Use caution in these areas, as beaches could be unstable and present with debris. Water temperatures are still in the 30’s and lower 40’s and likely to drop over the next few days. UV Index is Low to Moderate at 1-4/15.

High pressure will settled across the area on Thursday Night and then move to the East Friday. A low pressure area will move across Southern Canada and cause an Arctic Front to cross the area Friday Night. High pressure will build in over the weekend and peak on Sunday Night. Low pressure will affect the area early next week.

The week will start off with precipitation chances through Wednesday. Mainly rain and snow showers. Tuesday may be an accumulation event for Western and Northern parts of the state. Thursday and Friday look mostly dry right now. These three days will be the ones to watch for potential storm development. The extremely cold air will retreat back north. Highs will range from the 30’s to upper 40’s even low 50’s. Overnight lows will range from 20’s to 30’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be very mixed. Monday will be good to cautious, then cautious to hazardous for the rest of the week with some pockets of good conditions as well. Wednesday looks to be the worst day with hazardous conditions and winds to 35 knots.
 
Saturday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly cloudy, Windy
Precipitation:  20% chance of snow showers during the day
Temperatures
High:     Mid teens to low 20’s
Low:     Low single digits inland, mid single digits at the shore, low negative single digits northern areas
UV Index:  1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:53am
Sunset: 5:28pm


Sunday
Sky:  Sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy, Windy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:     Low to upper teens
Low:     low teens inland, mid teens at the shore, low single digits northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:52am
Sunset: 5:29pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  36°F
Saturday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 20-25 knots increasing to 25-30 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet, Freezing spray
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Night
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 25-30 knots diminishing to 20-25 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet, Freezing spray
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots diminishing to 10 -15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 5-10 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet


Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  36°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 25 to 33 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 26 to 35 knots
Seas:  WNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet


Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  42°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 23 to 32 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 26 to 35 knots
Seas:  NNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  N 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  N 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  38°F
Saturday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  WNW 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 18-20 knots diminishing to 12-15 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Sunday Night
Wind:  WNW 7-12 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  42°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 27 to 36 knots
Seas:  WNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 28 to 38 knots
Seas:  NW 6 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Sunday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 22 to 29 knots
Seas:  NW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet

Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  NNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  36°F
Saturday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet, Freezing spray, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  2-4 feet
Saturday Night
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet, Freezing spray
Surf:  2-4 feet

Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots diminishing to 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-4 feet, Freezing spray
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming W 5 knot after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  43°F-47°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 25 to 34 knots
Seas: WNW 6 feet at 6 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 30 to 40 knots
Seas:  WNW 9 feet at 7 seconds
Sunday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 24 to 32 knots
Seas:  NW 8 feet at 7 seconds

Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  NW 5 feet at 6 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Ocean Currents

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)







Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: February 12, 2016, 03:46:14 AM by Pfishingruven »


 

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