Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Oct 24-28, 2016  (Read 1638 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A more settled weather week, typical of Fall, but water conditions will be mainly cautious all week. Monday with have chances of showers during the day and Thursday will have a chance of rain all day. Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday look dry. Highs will be in the 40’s to 60’s with overnight lows in the 30’s to 50’s. Frost is possible on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday. The week will start off breezy, too. Water conditions will be borderline to mostly cautious all week with Small Craft Advisories. Winds will gust to 30+ knots with seas to 6+ feet. Surf and beach conditions will be cautious to Monday, Thursday, and Friday and good for Tuesday and Wednesday and parts of Thursday. Water temperatures in rivers and bays have dropped a few degrees, but ocean waters are steady in the 60’s still. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 0-4/15.

A cold front will slide through our region early Monday morning. High pressure centered over central Canada will build to our north during mid week. A warm front, followed quickly by another cold frontal passage is expected through our region late Thursday or early Friday. High pressure follows to our south across the Carolinas next Saturday with another cold frontal passage likely Saturday night or Sunday.


The weekend looks dry with highs in the 50’s and 60’s and lows in the 40’s and 50’s. Water, surf and beach conditions look to be borderline to cautious.

The Tropics are quiet again.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear, Breezy
Precipitation:  0% - 30% Chance of showers during the day (mainly northern areas)
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
Low:   Upper 30’s inland, low to mid 40’s at the shore, mid 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:16am
Sunset: 6:05pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy to partly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear, Breezy, Areas of frost
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 50’s
Low:   Low to mid 30’s inland, mid to upper 30’s at the shore, upper 20’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-4/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:17am
Sunset: 6:03pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear, Areas of frost
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 50’s
Low:   Low to mid 30’s inland, low 40’s at the shore, mid to upper 20’s northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:19am
Sunset: 6:02pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - 70% Chance of rain all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 50’s with upper 50’s for southern areas and upper 40’s for northern areas
Low:   Mid 40’s inland, low 50’s at the shore, low 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  0-4/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:20am
Sunset: 6:01pm


Friday
Sky:   Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
Low:   Low 40’s inland, upper 40’s at the shore, mid to upper 30’s for northern areas
UV Index:  1-4/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:21am
Sunset: 5:59pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Drought Monitor




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  59°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NW 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NW 15-20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots, diminishing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Wednesday Night
Wind:     N 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:     E 5-10 knots becoming SE in the afternoon, then S 10-15 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     S 10-15 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:     W 10-15 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     W 10-15 knots becoming NW 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  59°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:    SSW 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:    SW 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 20 to 26 knots
Seas:    WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 19 to 25 knots
Seas:    WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:    NW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    NNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:    NNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    ENE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    ESE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 17 to 24 knots
Seas:    S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:    S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-5 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  63°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    W 20 to 27 knots
Seas:    S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:    SSW 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:    NNW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:    NNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    NNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:    NNE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    NNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:    NNE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    ENE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:    ENE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:    SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-5 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     NW 19 knots with gusts to 27 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     NW 14-17 knots with gusts to 24 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     NW 14-17 knots increasing to 18-21 knots in the morning with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     NW 14-18 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     NNW 13-15 knots with gusts to 21 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     NNW 13-16 knots becoming NNE 8-11 knots after midnight with gusts to 22 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     E 8-11 knots becoming SSE 11-14 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:     S 19 knots with gusts to 27 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet

Friday
Wind:     W 10-15 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     W 10-15 knots becoming NW 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  60°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    W 21 to 28 knots
Seas:    WSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:    WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:    NNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:    NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Wednesday Morning
Winds:    NNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:    N 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds:    NNW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:   NE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds:    ENE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ENE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    SE 11 to 14 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 17 to 22 knots
Seas:    WSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:     2-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:    WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:     2-5 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  60°F - 64°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:     2-4 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight, then increasing to 15-20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots late
Seas:     2-4 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     NW 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots in the late morning and afternoon
Seas:     2-4 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:     NW 15-20 knots becoming N 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:     2-4 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet

Wednesday
Wind:     N 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     NE 5-10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Thursday
Winds:    E 5-10 knots becoming SE 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    S 15-20 knots
Seas:     3-4 feet
Surf:     2-3 feet

Friday
Wind:     W 15 knots
Seas:     3 feet
Surf:     2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     NW 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  63°F - 67°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 23 to 32 knots
Seas:    WSW 8 feet at 7 seconds

Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:    WNW 7 feet at 6 seconds

Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NW 22 to 29 knots
Seas:    NW 6 feet at 6 seconds

Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 21 to 29 knots
Seas:    NW 6 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    NNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:    NNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    NNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:    NNW 4 feet at 5 seconds

Thursday Morning
Winds:    ENE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    E 2 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds:    ESE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:    SW 7 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:    WNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:    WNW 6 feet at 6 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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