Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition Aug 11-12, 2012  (Read 2850 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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The weekend will start out wet, with rain and/or thunderstorms left over from Friday ending during the day on Saturday.  After the rain ends, drier air will move into the area later Saturday and all day Sunday.  Temperatures will be seasonal in the mid 80’s with overnight lows in the mid 60’s with lower to moderate humidity.  With a system moving through Friday Night into Saturday Day, there is a high probability of Small Craft Advisories.  Winds could reach 30 knots with higher gusts and seas will build near 5 feet in the ocean.  Inshore water conditions are rated good for the weekend right now, but Saturday is definitely seeing higher winds and seas.  Midshore to Offshore has cautious conditions on Saturday with seas near 7 feet at 7 seconds and good on Sunday, however seas are still near 5 feet at 7 seconds.

The tropics are still very active with Hurricane Ernesto in the Bay of Campeche affecting Mexico.  Tropical Storm Florence has dissipated and is going farther out to sea.  There is another invest in the Atlantic off of Cape Verde that will likely become a tropical depression and will need to be watched.  There is also another wave over Africa that will need to be watched once it gets over water.

Low pressure will dominate the area from the end of the week through Saturday with an associated cold front moving across the region on Saturday as well.  Weak high pressure will build in behind the moving low pressure/cold front on Sunday through the beginning of next week.

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  60% chance of showers/thunderstorms during the day, 0% to slight chance evening/night
Temperatures
High:  Mid 80’s
Low:  Mid 60’s
Sunrise: 6:04am
Sunset: 7:59pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-5/10
Weather2Hunt.com-40/50

Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny & clear
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Mid to upper 80’s 
Low:  Mid 60’s
Sunrise: 6:05am
Sunset: 7:58pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-7/10
Weather2Hunt.com-40/50

Friday Night into Saturday Morning Surface Analysis



Saturday’s Surface Analysis



Sunday’s Surface Analysis



HPC Saturday Quantitative Precipitation Forecast



HPC Sunday - Tuesday Quantitative Precipitation Forecast



Tropics courtesy of The Weather Channel



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  82F
Saturday Morning
Wind: SW 5-10 knots becoming S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Saturday  Afternoon
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots around midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less, visibility 1-3 nm
Sunday Morning
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Sunday Afternoon
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less becoming 1-2 feet around midnight

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides



Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  78F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 7 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 13 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 8 sec.
Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 sec.

Manasquan Inlet Tides



Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  78F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 7 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SW 8 to 10 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 7 sec.
Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 sec.

Cape May (Ocean) Tides



Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  82F
Saturday Morning
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet 
Saturday  Afternoon
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots becoming W 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides



Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: S 7 feet at 7 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: S 6 feet at 8 sec.

Sunday Morning
Winds: SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 7 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 7 sec.



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather…The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Hotrod

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition Aug 11-12, 2012
« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2012, 11:14:49 AM »
Great report Matt t^




Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Continued Small Craft Advisories
« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2012, 10:02:19 AM »
Small Craft Advisories are still in effect for all adjacent ocean waters from Sandy Hook to Cape May including adjacent ocean waters on Long Island extending south through Delaware until 6am Sunday!

Quote
Small Craft Advisory
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
325 AM EDT SAT AUG 11 2012

ANZ450>455-112030-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-120812T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
325 AM EDT SAT AUG 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT DURING THE ADVISORY PERIOD.

&&

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
325 AM EDT SAT AUG 11 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452>455-112000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
325 AM EDT SAT AUG 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY WITH SCATTERED TSTMS.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY WITH SCATTERED
TSTMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.MON...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 TO 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS AROUND 3 FT.
.TUE...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SW 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
.WED...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
325 AM EDT SAT AUG 11 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-112000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
325 AM EDT SAT AUG 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY WITH SCATTERED TSTMS.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY WITH SCATTERED TSTMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS AROUND 10 KT...BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.MON...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS AROUND 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
.WED...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$

Offline Reel McCoy

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition Aug 11-12, 2012
« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2012, 12:29:56 PM »
Thanks, Matt  t^
22' Grady-White Reel McCoy II


Offline fluke - u

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition Aug 11-12, 2012
« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2012, 05:57:05 PM »
 t^...Thanks
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