NJ Saltwater Fisherman Forums

NJ Saltwater Fisherman => Weather and Hurricane Info => Topic started by: Pfishingruven on July 12, 2012, 01:43:37 PM

Title: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition July 14-15, 2012
Post by: Pfishingruven on July 12, 2012, 01:43:37 PM
After a nice stable week with great weather, this weekend will usher in a changing pattern.  This weekend will be hot and humid with a greater chance of rain and/or thunderstorms.  The greatest chance for storms will be Sunday.  Heavy rainfall is possible during these thunderstorms.  Of course, temperatures along the immediate coast and out on the water will be 3-5 degrees cooler than inland.  Water conditions are rated good overall, except some cautious conditions on Sunday for the bordering and offshore waters.  Water temperatures are up as well, with most waters around 78 degrees or warmer.


Weak low pressure will move northeast this weekend along a warm front just off the Mid Atlantic Coast.  The warm front will continue moving north through Sunday, followed by a cold front at the beginning of the week.  Hot and humid Bermuda High Pressure will then move into the area through midweek.

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  40% showers/thunderstorms (potential heavy rainfall in thunderstorms)
Temperatures
 High:  Upper 80’s low 90’s
Low:  Low to mid 70’s
Sunrise: 5:40am
Sunset: 8:25pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningCrescent.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-5/10
Weather2Hunt.com-40/50

Sunday-
Sky:  Partly sunny turning partly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-40% showers/thunderstorms (locally heavy rain during thunderstorms)
Temperatures
High:  Low 90’s
Low:  Mid 70’s
Sunrise: 5:40am
Sunset: 8:24pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningCrescent.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-2/10
Weather2Hunt.com-40/50

Saturday’s Surface Analysis

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface714.gif)

HPC 5 Day Quantitative Precipitation Forecast

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/HPCQPF714715.gif)

Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  78.8F
Saturday Morning
Wind: SW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Saturday  Afternoon
Wind:  S 5-10 knots, turning  SW in the evening, visibility 1-3nm
Seas:  1 foot or less
Sunday Morning
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots, visibility 1-3nm
Seas:  1 foot or less
Sunday Afternoon
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots, visibility 1-3nm
Seas:  1 foot or less

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/SandyHook07140715.jpg)

Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  78F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 6 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 6 sec.
Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.

 Manasquan Inlet Tides

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/MI714715.jpg)

Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  78F
Saturday Morning
Winds: N 4 to 6 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 6 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 6 sec.
Sunday Morning
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 9 sec.

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/CapeMay714715.jpg)

Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  82.9F
Saturday Morning
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2  feet  
Saturday  Afternoon
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/DelawareBay714715.jpg)

Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (40nm-50nm)
Saturday Morning
Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 6 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: NE 1 to 2 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 6 sec.
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 5 sec.
[b]Sunday Afternoon[/b]
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 10 sec.

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/HycomSST0Z712.png)

NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/sst/Ncom_sst_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Current 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/currents/Ncom_Curr_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather…The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!
 (http://www.njsaltwaterfisherman.com/buoyweather.jpg) (http://www.buoyweather.com)


*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
Title: Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition July 14-15, 2012
Post by: Reel McCoy on July 13, 2012, 07:21:30 AM
Thanks  t^
Title: Re: NEW EVENT Excessive Heat Watch Western Central NJ
Post by: Pfishingruven on July 14, 2012, 09:11:36 AM
Quote
Excessive Heat Watch
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
339 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL RETURN DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK...

.BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUMP INCREASINGLY WARM AND HUMID AIR
IN THE REGION STARTING THIS WEEKEND...WITH HOTTEST TEMPERATURES
SLATED FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES
AND INCREASING HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDEX VALUES TOPPING
100 DEGREES IN THE HIGHLY URBANIZED AREAS STARTING MONDAY AFTERNOON.
HEAT INDEX VALUES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON COULD REACH NEAR
105 DEGREES IN THE HIGHLY URBANIZED AREAS...WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.

A COLD FRONT SCHEDULED TO ARRIVE LATE WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WILL BRING RELIEF FROM THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY STARTING THURSDAY.

DEZ001-NJZ015-017>019-PAZ067>071-142100-
/O.NEW.KPHI.EH.A.0008.120716T1600Z-120719T0100Z/
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...TRENTON...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...WEST CHESTER...
NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA
339 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED AN
EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* HEAT INDEX VALUES...AROUND 102 DEGREES MONDAY AFTERNOON...RESULTING
  FROM TEMPERATURES NEAR 95 DEGREES AND DEW POINTS NEAR 70. HEAT
  INDEX VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 100 AND 105 DEGREES
  TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT LOWS MONDAY NIGHT AND
  TUESDAY NIGHT MAY NOT DROP LOWER THAN THE UPPER 70S IN THE
  HIGHLY URBANIZED AREAS.

* TIMING...THE EXCESSIVE HEAT IS EXPECTED TO START MONDAY
  AFTERNOON... WITH THE HIGHEST HEAT INDEX VALUES TUESDAY AND
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...THE CUMULATIVE IMPACTS OF THE HEAT ARE A DANGER
  ESPECIALLY FOR THE ELDERLY...INFIRM...THE VERY YOUNG...AND
  THOSE IN INNER CITY AREAS THAT DO NOT HAVE AIR CONDITIONING.
  PETS ALSO ARE SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE HEAT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH MEANS THAT A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HOT
TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND
HIGH HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A DANGEROUS SITUATION IN
WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY
IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP
ON RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS.

&&

$$
Title: Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition July 14-15, 2012
Post by: fluke - u on July 14, 2012, 06:05:35 PM
 t^...Thanks for your work.... chrz
Title: Re: NEW EVENT Excessive Heat Watch NOW Heat Warning
Post by: Pfishingruven on July 15, 2012, 03:48:33 PM
Quote
Excessive Heat Warning
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
344 PM EDT SUN JUL 15 2012

...HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL WORSEN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.HEAT INDICES THAT WERE IN THE MID 90S TODAY...WILL RISE INTO THE
UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE MOST
UNCOMFORTABLE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST WEDNESDAY WHEN TEMPERATURES
RISE WELL UP INTO THE 90S...AFTER MORNING LOWS OF 75 TO 80. THE
HEAT INDEX WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON SHOULD BE IN THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE
RANGE FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING SUBSTANTIAL
RELIEF FROM THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

DEZ001-NJZ015-017>019-PAZ067>071-160900-
/O.UPG.KPHI.EH.A.0008.120716T1600Z-120719T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.EH.W.0005.120717T1700Z-120719T0100Z/
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...TRENTON...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...WEST CHESTER...
NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA
344 PM EDT SUN JUL 15 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 9 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED AN
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO
9 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT HAVING BEEN REPLACED BY THIS WARNING.

* HEAT INDEX VALUES...CLOSE TO 100 DEGREES TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
  UP TO 105 WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE URBAN
  CORRIDOR TUESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN PHILADELPHIA SHOULD
  ONLY BE NEAR 80 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...THE CUMULATIVE IMPACTS OF THE HEAT ARE A DANGER
  ESPECIALLY FOR THE ELDERLY...INFIRM...THE VERY YOUNG...AND THOSE
  IN INNER CITY AREAS THAT DO NOT HAVE AIR CONDITIONING. PETS ALSO
  ARE SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE HEAT. CARS WITH WINDOWS ROLLED UP AND NO
  AIR CONDITIONING...HEAT UP EXCEEDINGLY FAST. CHECK TO MAKE SURE
  NO ONE IS LOCKED IN AN NON AIR CONDITIONED VEHICLE.

* CONFIDENCE...ABOVE AVERAGE. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT THERE
  WILL BE ENOUGH DEBRIS CLOUDINESS FROM UPSTREAM THUNDERSTORMS
  TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO PREVENT THE HEAT INDEX FROM
  REACHING THE PREDICTED VALUE. PRESUMING ITS MOSTLY SUNNY FROM
  DAYBREAK THROUGH 3 PM BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THE PREDICTED
  VALUES IN OUR FORECAST WILL BE REALIZED.

* RELIEF...SUBSTANTIAL RELIEF WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH
  COOLER NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOWER DEWPOINTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING MEANS THAT A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
DANGEROUSLY HOT TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF HOT
TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL CREATE A DANGEROUS SITUATION
IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE LIKELY. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY
IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP
ON RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS.

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITY TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY - CALL 9 1 1.

&&

$$


DRAG
Title: Re: Some Storms On the Way
Post by: Pfishingruven on July 15, 2012, 09:11:19 PM
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Radar715.jpg)
Title: Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition July 14-15, 2012
Post by: Hotrod on July 15, 2012, 09:16:27 PM
 fcp
Title: Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition July 14-15, 2012
Post by: fellinger on July 15, 2012, 09:31:42 PM
I agre... just flew around a couple of them. Some nice lightning here and there.
Title: Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition July 14-15, 2012
Post by: Mr Limpett on July 15, 2012, 09:35:56 PM
 slt
Title: Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition July 14-15, 2012
Post by: Pfishingruven on July 15, 2012, 09:37:34 PM
Quote from: fellinger on July 15, 2012, 09:31:42 PM
I agre... just flew around a couple of them. Some nice lightning here and there.

That must be a sight from the air cfzd fcp!!
Title: Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition July 14-15, 2012
Post by: fellinger on July 15, 2012, 10:03:40 PM
Quote from: Pfishingruven on July 15, 2012, 09:37:34 PM
Quote from: fellinger on July 15, 2012, 09:31:42 PM
I agre... just flew around a couple of them. Some nice lightning here and there.

That must be a sight from the air cfzd fcp!!

It can be very awesome... And occasionally a little unnerving. Thankfully we have nearly live, map based weather and a an actual weather radar on the ship.