The first full week of August and we are in the “dog days” of summer. Again, temperatures will be normal to slightly above normal with moderate to higher humidity all week. These temperatures and humidity, along with some frontal boundaries moving through and across the area will bring a threat of showers and/or thunderstorms all week. The greatest chances of organized, widespread storms will be on Monday and Friday. Some storms could be strong to severe. There is also a threat of flash flooding with any of these storms, especially with heavy rains, due to the already saturated grounds. After recovering from Sunday’s higher winds and seas, water conditions are rated good all week inshore and midshore to offshore except for Monday Morning for the southern inshore and midshore & offshore. There is no forecasted threat of Small Craft Advisories after Monday morning.
Also to note, tropical activity has increased in the Atlantic Basin, with two tropical storms right now. Thee Cape Verde area off of Africa has become very active in the last week and will continue to do so for the next couple of months. TS Ernesto is forecast to impact Mexico or Texas and TS Florence should go out to sea, however this is a storm to keep an eye on for potential East Coast impact, if any.
High pressure that was in place off the Mid Atlantic Coast during the weekend has slowly drifted east. A cold front will cross the region Sunday Night into Monday bringing rain and thunderstorms. The cold front will then stall south of the area Monday into Tuesday. The cold front will then drift north, now as a warm front Wednesday. High pressure will build in below the warm front moving north on Thursday. Another cold front will arrive late Friday or by the upcoming weekend.
Monday
Sky: Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 60% chance showers/thunderstorms morning through afternoon clearing out for the evening/night
Temperatures
High: Mid 80’s
Low: Mid 60’s
Sunrise: 6:00am
Sunset: 8:05pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-3/10
Weather2Hunt.com-43/50
Tuesday-
Sky: Sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: Slight chance showers/thunderstorms morning/afternoon, 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms evening/night
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 80’s
Low: Upper 60’s
Sunrise: 6:00am
Sunset: 8:04pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-4/10
Weather2Hunt.com-40/50
Wednesday-
Sky: Partly Sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 30% chance showers/thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High: Upper 80’s
Low: Upper 60’s
Sunrise: 6:01am
Sunset: 8:03pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-6/10
Weather2Hunt.com-43/50
Thursday
Sky: Mostly cloudy all day
Precipitation: 30% chance showers/thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High: Upper 80’s
Low: Low 70’s
Sunrise: 6:02am
Sunset: 8:01pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/LastQuarter.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-4/10
Weather2Hunt.com-33/50
Friday-
Sky: Mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 40% chance showers/thunderstorms morning/afternoon, 80% chance showers/thunderstorms evening/night
Temperatures
High: Upper 80’s
Low: Low 70’s
Sunrise: 6:03am
Sunset: 8:00pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningCrescent.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-5/10
Weather2Hunt.com-37/50
Monday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface806.gif)
Tuesday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface8071.gif)
Wednesday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface808.gif)
Thursday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface809.gif)
Friday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface810.gif)
Total Accumulation of Rain from Sunday – Friday
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/HPCQPF0Z805810.gif)
Satellite of Atlantic Basin
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/TropicalAtlantic805-1.jpg)
National Hurricane Center Website (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/)
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: 81F
Monday Morning
Wind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Monday Afternoon
Wind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Tuesday Morning
Wind: NE 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Wednesday Morning
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Wed Afternoon
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Thursday Morning
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Thursday Afternoon
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Friday Morning
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Friday Night
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/SandyHook806810.jpg)
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature: 78F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: NW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 sec.
Tuesday Morning
Winds: N 7 to 9 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 2 to 3 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 4 to 5 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: S 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: SSE 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Manasquan Inlet Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/MI806810.jpg)
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature: 79F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 6 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 sec.
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNE 7 to 10 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 10 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 4 to 5 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: SSE 4 to 6 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 5 sec.
Cape May (Ocean) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/CapeMay806810.jpg)
Delaware Bay
Water Temperature: 82F
Monday Morning
Wind: SW 10-15 knots with gust up to 20 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Monday Afternoon
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Tuesday Morning
Wind: NE 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind: NE 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Wed Afternoon
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Thursday Morning
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Friday Morning
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/DelawareBay806810.jpg)
Offshore Waters
Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 18 to 25 knots
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 7 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 7 sec.
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNE 7 to 9 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 10 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 2 to 3 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 4 to 5 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: SW 3 to 5 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: SSE 11 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/HycomSST0Z805.png)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/sst/Ncom_sst_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/currents/Ncom_Curr_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather…The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!
(http://www.njsaltwaterfisherman.com/buoyweather.jpg) (http://www.buoyweather.com)
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Servic