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NJ Saltwater Fisherman => Weather and Hurricane Info => Topic started by: Pfishingruven on September 02, 2012, 06:49:59 PM

Title: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Sept 4 - 7, 2012
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 02, 2012, 06:49:59 PM

The remainder of this week is going to be wet.  With the remnants of Isaac bringing rain Tuesday through Wednesday, parts of NJ and the surrounding area could see between 2-4 inches of rain and even 4+ inches locally.  Temperatures will remain seasonal with highs in the low to mid 80’s with lows in the mid 60’s.  Water conditions are rated good, with cautious and Small Craft Advisories on Wednesday Morning Inshore and Wednesday Morning and Afternoon Midshore to Offshore.  Large period swells with rising seas to 5 feet will be persistent all week and gusty winds to 25 knots could affect the area through most of the week.  Small Craft Advisories are possible during the remainder of this week.

The tropics are relatively quiet again, with Tropical Storm Leslie forecast to move out to sea away from the US.  TS Leslie is still one to watch, as the storm has moved farther west than it was forecast.  There is a new area of interest that has a 10% chance of tropical development.  This should be watched, but does not look like a threat at this time.  Kirk, is a post tropical depression moving off towards Europe.  

A frontal boundary across the region will sink south and then stall on Monday.  The boundary will move north later Monday as a warm front.  It will remain over the area during the midweek as weak areas of low pressure move along it.  A cold front from the northwest will move into the area on Thursday Night followed by high pressure for Friday into the weekend.  

Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  60% chance of showers/thunderstorms during the day, 70% chance of showers/thunderstorms at night, between 1-4 inches of rain possible
Temperatures
High:  Low 80’s
Low:  Upper 60’s
Sunrise: 6:27am
Sunset: 7:24pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-2/10
Weather2Hunt.com-43/50

Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  50% chance of showers/thunderstorms during the day, 40% chance of showers/thunderstorms at night, ½ to ¾ of an inch of rain possible
Temperatures
High:  Mid 80’s
Low:  Upper 60’s
Sunrise: 6:28am
Sunset: 7:22pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-3/10
Weather2Hunt.com-43/50

Thursday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  40% chance of showers/thunderstorms during the day
Temperatures
High:  Mid 80’s
Low:  Mid 60’s
Sunrise: 6:29am
Sunset: 7:21pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-5/10
Weather2Hunt.com-43/50

Friday
Sky:  Mostly Sunny becoming mostly clear
Precipitation:  Slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Low to mid 80’s
Low:  Low 60’s
Sunrise: 6:30am
Sunset: 7:19pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-
Weather2Hunt.com-

Tuesday Surface Analysis

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface904.gif)

Wednesday Surface Analysis

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface905.gif)

Thursday Surface Analysis

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface906.gif)

Friday Surface Analysis

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface907.gif)

Total Accumulation of Rain from Sunday – Friday

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/HPCQPF0Z902907.gif)

NHC Tropics Satellite from September 2, 2012

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NWSTropics902.gif)

Leslie Official NHC Track

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NHCLeslieOfficialTrack.gif)

Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  80F
Tuesday Morning
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, visibility 1-3 nm
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind:  S 10-15 knots, gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, visibility 1-3 nm
Wednesday Morning
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, visibility 1-3 nm
Wed Afternoon
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Thursday Morning
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Thursday Afternoon
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Friday Morning
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
                              
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/SandyHook904907.jpg)

Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  77F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: S 7 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SE 5 feet at 13 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 2 to 2 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 13 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 14 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 14 sec.

Manasquan Inlet Tides

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/MI904907.jpg)

Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  77F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: S 10 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 17 to 22 knots
Seas: SE 6 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SE 5 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 4 to 6 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 13 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 14 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 14 sec.

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/CapeMay904907.jpg)

Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  78F
Tuesday Morning
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Wed Afternoon
Wind:  SW 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Friday Morning
Wind:  N 5 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SE 5 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/DelawareBay904907.jpg)

Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)

Tuesday Morning
Winds: SSE 11 to 16 knots
Seas: SE 5 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 12 to 17 knots
Seas: SE 5 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: SE 8 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SE 8 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SE 6 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 4 to 6 knots
Seas: SE 6 feet at 13 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SE 6 feet at 14 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 2 to 3 knots
Seas: SE 6 feet at 14 sec.

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/HycomSST0Z902.png)

NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/sst/Ncom_sst_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/currents/Ncom_Curr_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!
 (http://www.njsaltwaterfisherman.com/buoyweather.jpg) (http://www.buoyweather.com)

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

Title: Re: Rain & Tropics Update
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 03, 2012, 03:27:16 PM

I just wanted to update the rain/flooding potential this week and the new developments and changes in the tropics

There is a lot of tropical moisture in the atmosphere as remnants of Hurricane Isaac make their way through our area on Tuesday and Wednesday.  The Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC) is forecasting 2.5 – 4 inches of rain and even more locally for the area.  Northern areas of NJ will receive the most rain, while southern areas will see less amounts.  Right now, there are not any Watches, Warnings or Advisories posted by the NWS, but areas to our west and south (Pennsylvania, Delaware, and Maryland) have had Flood Advisories and even Flood Warnings already from thunderstorms moving through those areas.  The Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center (MARFC) has issued a “Significant River Flooding Possible” for NJ on Tuesday and Wednesday.  This outlook is issued for larger rivers.  Smaller rivers and streams will most likely experience some flooding or flash flooding.  Flash flooding could also be an issue for the entire area.  If you are in low lying areas or experience localized flooding and flash flooding from rain storms, make sure you take the proper precautions for Tuesday and Wednesday.  Clearing out storm/sewer drains on your street can also help prevent flooding conditions or large amounts of standing water to back up on the streets.  Over the next several days, make sure you are keeping an eye on the weather and follow any local warnings.  Remember, NEVER drive a vehicle through flooded roadways…”TURN AROUND, DON’T DROWN!” “HIDE FROM WIND, RUN FROM WATER!”

Water Vapor Satellite Image (current)

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/GOESEastWV1745Z.jpg)

HPC Quantitative Precipitation Forecast for Monday - Thursday

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/HPCQPF12Z903906.gif)

HPC Quantitative Precipitation Forecast for Monday - Saturday

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/HPCQPF0Z903908.gif)

NAM Model Forecast of Precipitable Water

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NAM12ZPW12Z904.png)

Flash Flood Guidance-1 Hour

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NWSFFG1hour903.png)

Flash Flood Guidance-3 Hour

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NWSFFG3hour903.png)

Flash Flood Guidance-6 Hour

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NWSFFG6hour903.png)

Significant River Flood Outlook

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/SignificantRiverFloodOutlook.jpg)

Now for the tropics.  There are not any big changes.  Tropical Storm Leslie and now Invest 99L are active in the Atlantic.  Tropical Storm Leslie currently has winds of 60 mph and a central pressure of 998mb.  The NHC is forecasting this storm to become a strong Category 1 Hurricane with 90 mph winds.  Leslie is still forecast to remain out at sea, however the recent track has moved west more and brings the storm closer to the coast.  Leslie will likely impact Bermuda as a hurricane, sometime on Saturday.  This is going to bring longer period swells, building sea heights, gusty winds, dangerous rip currents, high surf, possibly beach erosion and even some minor coastal flooding to the area for the rest of this week, persisting into the weekend and even next week.  Right now, Leslie is not a very large storm, but does have the potential to become a moderate sized storm with a wide core of hurricane and tropical storm force winds extending from the center.

TS Leslie Advisory

Quote

000
WTNT32 KNHC 031448
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
1100 AM AST MON SEP 03 2012

...LESLIE MAINTAINING 60 MPH WINDS...
...LARGE SWELLS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE U.S. EAST COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 63.1W
ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM N OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 555 MI...895 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.1 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH AND A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR ANOTHER
DAY OR SO. SWELLS COULD ALSO AFFECT BERMUDA AND THE U.S. EAST COAST
FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE
SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Tropics Visible Satellite

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NHCTropics903.gif)

NHC Official Leslie Track

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NHCLeslieOfficialTrack903.gif)

Leslie Model Tracks

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/LeslieModelTracks9031.gif)

Leslie Surface Wind Field

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/LeslieSurfaceWindField903.gif)

Leslie GFS Model 141hrs

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/GFS12Z903141hr.gif)

Leslie Euro Model 141hrs

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Euro12Z903141hr.jpg)

Leslie Euro Model 180hrs
 
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Euro12Z903180hr.jpg)

Leslie Satellite Loops

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/12L/flash-rb-long.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/12L/flash-vis-long.html


Invest 99L was the area of interest in the Atlantic Ocean that has now been given a 60% chance of tropical development over the next 48 hours.  I believe we will see this become a tropical depression and then a named storm within this 48 hour period.  It is too early to tell where this will go, but likely will remain out at sea.  Of course, just because it does not make landfall doesn’t mean it won’t affect the coast with the same effects Tropical Storm Leslie will cause.

Invest 99L  Model Tracks
 
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Invest99LModelTracks903.gif)

GFS 384hrs

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/GFS12Z903384hr.gif)

Invest 99L Satellite Loops

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/99L/flash-vis-long.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/99L/flash-rb-long.html


**If anyone has any questions on anything, especially the graphics, please feel free to comment within here or send me a PM or email.

-Matt TT^

Title: Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Sept 4 - 7, 2012
Post by: IKAT on September 03, 2012, 03:32:08 PM

Thanks P-man

More info then anyone needs    t^

Top Notch Sir   slt

Title: Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Sept 4 - 7, 2012
Post by: Hotrod on September 03, 2012, 03:51:41 PM

 whs t^

Title: Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Sept 4 - 7, 2012
Post by: fellinger on September 03, 2012, 06:43:29 PM

Thanks for the info! Some day I'll learn what all the big words mean.

Title: Re: Tropics Update Invest 99L is TD #13
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 03, 2012, 06:56:32 PM

Already changes in the tropics.  Invest 99L has already been upgraded to Tropical Depression #13 and will likely become Tropical Storm Michael.  The NHC says this storm will only make it to a tropical storm and then weaken.  NHC track also keeps it way out in the eastern Atlantic and will not pose a threat to the US.

There is a wave being modeled to come off of Africa in several days that may affect the East Coast in some form or another.  If it develops it will be one to watch!

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NHCTD13OfficialTrack903.gif)

Title: Re: NEW EVENT Flash Flood Warning Burlington & Ocean Counties
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 04, 2012, 01:38:15 AM

Flash Flood Warning has been issued for Southeastern Burlington County and Southern Ocean County until 5:30 AM.

Quote

Flash Flood Warning
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NJC005-029-040930-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FF.W.0050.120904T0534Z-120904T0930Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
134 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON COUNTY...
  SOUTHERN OCEAN COUNTY...

* UNTIL 530 AM EDT...

* AT 130 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON
  AND SOUTHERN OCEAN COUNTIES. RADAR INDICATED THAT 3 TO 5 INCHES
  OF RAIN MAY ALREADY HAVE FALLEN FROM AROUND NEW GRETNA UP
  THROUGH WARREN GROVE TO NEAR BAMBER LAKE. ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES
  OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BARNEGAT...
  BEACH HAVEN WEST...CHATSWORTH...TUCKERTON...BAMBER LAKE...BASS
  RIVER STATE FOREST...BROOKVILLE...NEW GRETNA...OLD HALFWAY...PENN
  STATE FOREST...WARREN GROVE AND WADING RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR IN AN
AUTOMOBILE. TURN AROUND DON`T DROWN!

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING...HAIL OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772.

&&

LAT...LON 3959 7427 3959 7430 3958 7431 3957 7428
      3950 7432 3951 7436 3954 7435 3953 7440
      3955 7442 3954 7444 3956 7445 3956 7449
      3963 7464 3996 7447 3989 7412

$$

IOVINO

Title: Re: Tuesday Update
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 04, 2012, 01:35:52 PM

Very active weather day already.  Rain and thunderstorms moved into the area last night and have been on and off all day today.  There is a large cluster of storms in northern Ocean County and southern Monmouth County moving northeast.  Parts of this cluster are severe warned.  There is also a large list of Watches, Warnings and Advisories for NJ and the surrounding areas!

Flash Flood Watch continues for Salem, Gloucester, Camden, Mercer and parts of Burlington Counties through Wednesday Night

Flood Warning for Camden, Gloucester, Salem, Atlantic, Middlesex, Burlington, Monmouth & Ocean Counties until 4PM and will likely be extended.

Small Craft Advisory for all coastal ocean waters of NY, NJ and DE, from Montauk Point, NY to Fenwick Island, DE.  This does not include New York Harbor, Raritan Bay or Delaware Bay.

Rip Current Risk High today for all ocean coastal waters of NJ, NY, & DE

Quote

Flash Flood Watch
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
631 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...TROPICAL RAINS THREATEN TO PRODUCE POCKETS OF FLASH FLOODING
AT TIMES INTO WEDNESDAY...

.A WARM FRONT ACROSS THE UPPER DELMARVA WILL BE SLOWLY LIFTING
NORTH TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TOWARD NEW
YORK STATE. THE LOW SHOULD TRAIL A WEAK COOL FRONT SOUTHWARD INTO
THE DELAWARE VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. POCKETS OF SHORT DURATION
EXCESSIVE RAINS ARE PROBABLE IN THIS PATTERN...ESPECIALLY SINCE
THE BANDS OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING
VERY SLOWLY.

DEZ001-NJZ015>019-PAZ067>071-042100-
/O.CON.KPHI.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120906T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA
631 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN DELAWARE...NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST
  PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN
  DELAWARE...NEW CASTLE. IN NEW JERSEY...CAMDEN...GLOUCESTER...
  MERCER...NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON AND SALEM. IN SOUTHEAST
  PENNSYLVANIA...BUCKS...CHESTER...DELAWARE...MONTGOMERY AND
  PHILADELPHIA.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* GENERAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH
  WEDNESDAY IN THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR FROM NEAR TRENTON
  THROUGH THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA INTO NORTHERN DELAWARE.

* FOR NOW...THE PRIMARY FLOOD THREAT IS FOR SMALL STREAMS AND
  POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. BANDS OF HEAVY SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED
  THUNDERSTORMS CAN EASILY PRODUCE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN AN
  HOURS TIME. IF A BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS LINGERS...EXCESSIVE
  RAINFALL WOULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND POOR
  DRAINAGE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

Quote

Flood Warning
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
125 PM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

DEC003-NJC001-007-015-033-PAC011-029-045-091-101-042015-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0022.000000T0000Z-120904T2015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMDEN NJ-BERKS PA-MONTGOMERY PA-PHILADELPHIA PA-DELAWARE PA-
GLOUCESTER NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-CHESTER PA-ATLANTIC NJ-SALEM NJ-
125 PM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT FOR URBAN
AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN NORTHERN SALEM...WEST CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
CHESTER...NORTHERN NEW CASTLE...GLOUCESTER...DELAWARE...WESTERN
PHILADELPHIA...SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY...SOUTHEASTERN BERKS AND WESTERN
CAMDEN COUNTIES...

AT 122 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL EXTENDING
SOUTHEAST FROM CHESTER AND DELAWARE COUNTIES IN PENNSYLVANIA...
THROUGH NORTHERN NEW CASTLE COUNTY IN DELAWARE...TO SALEM AND
GLOUCESTER COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY. THE PRECIPITATION WAS MOVING TO
THE NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH. THE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
RAINFALL TOTALS OF AN INCH OR TWO IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME.
LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

THE HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE FLOODING ON AREA ROADWAYS, AS WELL AS
FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE AND ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

DRIVING INTO FLOOD WATERS COULD PUT YOUR LIFE AT RISK AND COST YOU
THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS IN VEHICLE REPAIRS. FLOOD WATERS MAY BE DEEPER
THAN YOU THINK. TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.

&&

LAT...LON 3946 7479 3953 7501 3957 7506 3955 7507
      3976 7583 4016 7591 4032 7564 4016 7522

$$

KRUZDLO
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1208 PM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

NJC001-005-007-021-023-025-029-035-PAC017-091-101-042000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.W.0021.120904T1608Z-120904T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMDEN NJ-MERCER NJ-SOMERSET NJ-BUCKS PA-MONTGOMERY PA-
PHILADELPHIA PA-MIDDLESEX NJ-BURLINGTON NJ-MONMOUTH NJ-ATLANTIC NJ-
OCEAN NJ-
1208 PM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
  CAMDEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  MERCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
  SOUTH CENTRAL SOMERSET COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  SOUTHEASTERN BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  NORTHEASTERN PHILADELPHIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  SOUTHWESTERN MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
  ATLANTIC COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 400 PM EDT

* AT 1201 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL EXTENDING
SOUTHEAST FROM PHILADELPHIA AND BUCKS COUNTIES IN PENNSYLVANIA TO
ATLANTIC COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY. THE PRECIPITATION WAS MOVING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH. THE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
RAINFALL TOTALS OF AN INCH OR TWO IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME.
LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

THE HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE FLOODING ON AREA ROADWAYS, AS WELL AS
FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE AND ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS.

THE PENNYPACK CREEK IN PHILADELPHIA COUNTY HAS ALREADY EXCEEDED
FLOOD STAGE AND WATER IS OUT OF IT`S BANKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

DRIVING INTO FLOOD WATERS COULD PUT YOUR LIFE AT RISK AND COST YOU
THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS IN VEHICLE REPAIRS. FLOOD WATERS MAY BE DEEPER
THAN YOU THINK. TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 7422 3950 7435 3953 7435 3953 7440
      3948 7438 3931 7471 3960 7489 3966 7491
      3970 7495 4016 7524 4048 7455 3980 7416
      3975 7418 3972 7415 3977 7414 3972 7411

$$

KRUZDLO

Quote

Small Craft Advisory
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
957 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452-453-050115-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
957 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF TSTMS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE THIS MORNING...THEN A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO
5 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
.WED...SW WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY. A CHANCE OF TSTMS.
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
4 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
.THU...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN
THE EVENING.
.FRI...W WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING S. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
957 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ454-455-050115-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
957 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF TSTMS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE THIS MORNING...THEN A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
.WED...SW WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO
5 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY. A CHANCE OF TSTMS.
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
3 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
.THU...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE EVENING.
.FRI...W WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING S AROUND 5 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT.
.SAT...SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
957 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-050115-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
957 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF TSTMS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE THIS MORNING...THEN A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING SW 15 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF TSTMS.
.WED...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY. A
CHANCE OF TSTMS.
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
4 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
.THU...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN
THE EVENING.
.FRI...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$

Quote

Rip Current Statement
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1239 PM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-051000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.RP.S.0006.120904T1639Z-120905T1000Z/
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
1239 PM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A HIGH RIP
CURRENT RISK...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* LOCATION...THE COASTLINES OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.

* RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...HIGH.

* SURF HEIGHT...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IMPLIES THAT WIND AND/OR WAVE
CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF VERY STRONG RIPS
CURRENTS. THESE RIP CURRENTS WILL BE LIFE THREATENING TO ANYONE
WHO ENTERS THE SURF.

PLEASE USE THE FOLLOWING WEBSITE TO SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON THE
NEW RIP CURRENT HAZARD...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-
SURVEY.PHP?CODE=RCVTECCHM (ALL LOWER CASE).

&&

$$
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1035 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FOR OCEAN BEACHES OF SOUTHEASTERN
SUFFOLK...

NYZ081-042245-
/O.CON.KOKX.RP.S.0008.000000T0000Z-120905T0000Z/
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1035 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...ATLANTIC OCEAN BEACHES OF SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK
  COUNTY.

* RIP CURRENT RISK...HIGH

* SURF HEIGHT...4 TO 5 FT.

* LIGHTNING RISK...LOW.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE
SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS...
JETTIES AND PIERS. TALK TO LIFEGUARDS AND BEACH OFFICIALS TO
LEARN ABOUT ANY SURF HAZARDS AND HEED THEIR ADVICE. PAY ATTENTION
TO FLAGS AND POSTED SIGNS AND SWIM IN LIFE GUARDED AREAS.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT PANIC. REMAIN CALM
AND BEGIN TO SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE. ONCE YOU ARE AWAY FROM THE
FORCE OF THE RIP CURRENT...BEGIN TO SWIM BACK TO THE BEACH. DO
NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT. EVEN A STRONG
SWIMMER CAN BECOME EXHAUSTED QUICKLY.

&&

$$

Title: Re: NEW EVENT Just Issued Flash Flood Warning Monmouth & Ocean
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 04, 2012, 01:41:03 PM

Flash Flood Warning has just been issued by the NWS PHI for Monmouth County and Northeastern Ocean County until 5:30 PM.

Quote

Flash Flood Warning
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NJC025-029-042130-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FF.W.0052.120904T1736Z-120904T2130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
136 PM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  MONMOUTH COUNTY...
  NORTHEASTERN OCEAN COUNTY...

* UNTIL 530 PM EDT...

* AT 130 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF MONMOUTH AND NORTHEASTERN OCEAN
COUNTIES.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ASBURY
  PARK...LONG BRANCH AND TOMS RIVER.

THE PRECIPITATION WAS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH AND
COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF AN INCH OR TWO IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF
TIME. LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
TURN AROUND DON`T DROWN!

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING...HAIL OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772.

DRIVING INTO FLOOD WATERS COULD COST YOU YOUR LIFE...OR AT THE VERY
LEAST...THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS OF VEHICLE DAMAGE. NEARLY HALF OF ALL
FLASH FLOOD FATALITIES ARE AUTO RELATED. TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3973 7411 3977 7415 3982 7410 3992 7409
      3990 7412 3986 7412 3981 7416 4026 7444
      4028 7439 4046 7421 4046 7412 4042 7401
      4047 7403 4048 7400 4044 7397 4030 7396

$$

KRUZDLO

Title: Re: NEW EVENT Flood Advisory West Central NJ
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 04, 2012, 03:03:23 PM

The NWS PHI has issued a Flood Advisory for Mercer, Warren, Somerset & Hunterdon Counties as well as parts of eastern PA until 6:15 PM

Quote

Flood Advisory
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
222 PM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

NJC019-021-035-041-PAC011-017-029-045-077-091-095-042215-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.Y.0196.120904T1822Z-120904T2215Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WARREN NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-MERCER NJ-SOMERSET NJ-BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-
LEHIGH PA-MONTGOMERY PA-DELAWARE PA-NORTHAMPTON PA-CHESTER PA-
222 PM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...
  HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...
  NORTHWESTERN MERCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
  SOUTHWESTERN SOMERSET COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  SOUTHERN BERKS COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...
  BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN LEHIGH COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...
  MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  NORTH CENTRAL DELAWARE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN NORTHAMPTON COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...
  NORTHEASTERN CHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...

* UNTIL 615 PM EDT

* AT 217 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL EXTENDING
NORTHEAST FROM CHESTER AND BERKS COUNTIES IN PENNSYLVANIA TO
HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY. THE PRECIPITATION WAS MOVING AROUND
15 MPH TOWARD WARREN AND SOMERSET COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY. THE
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS UP TO AN INCH IN A
SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME WITH LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO TWO
INCHES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4031 7612 4082 7511 4048 7455 3994 7551

$$

KRUZDLO

Title: Re: NEW EVENT Tornado Warning Burlington & Ocean Counties
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 04, 2012, 03:23:34 PM

Tornado Warning for Burlington & Ocean Counties.  Cell is moving northeast from the southwest.  This is Doppler indicated and has not been confirmed.  There is very strong rotation in this cell!

Quote

Tornado Warning
TORNADO WARNING
NJC005-029-041945-
/O.NEW.KPHI.TO.W.0004.120904T1913Z-120904T1945Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
313 PM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  SOUTHERN OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT

* AT 309 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR PENN STATE
  FOREST...OR 24 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TOMS RIVER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
  20 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  PENN STATE FOREST AND CHATSWORTH BY 320 PM EDT...
  WARREN GROVE BY 330 PM EDT...
  BROOKVILLE...BAMBER LAKE AND 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARNEGAT BY 345
  PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3991 7433 3974 7421 3967 7454 3978 7461
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 242DEG 18KT 3974 7450

$$

HEAVENER

(https://sphotos-b.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-ash4/375827_3822358043066_609547502_n.jpg)

Title: Re: Tornado Warning
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 04, 2012, 03:28:58 PM

If you are in the path of this storm, do not wait to take cover until you see it...if there is a tornado it will be rain wrapped and almost impossible to see!

Title: Re: Tornado Warning Canceled
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 04, 2012, 03:43:14 PM

The Tornado Warning for Burlington & Ocean Counties has been CANCELED!  If you are in the path of this cell you could still see gusty winds, dangerous lightning, small hail and heavy rains!

Title: Re: Current Radar
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 04, 2012, 03:45:49 PM

(https://sphotos-a.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-ash3/563021_3822470885887_956913032_n.jpg)

Title: Re: Tropics Update Tuesday September 4, 2012
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 04, 2012, 05:14:03 PM

The tropics remain the same, except for the addition of Tropical Storm Michael.  TS Michael was Tropical Depression #13.  TS Leslie is still out there as well and may become the first major hurricane (Category 3 or higher) this season.  Both storms are forecast to remain out at sea and not affect the US.  Leslie will track the closest to the coast, as the models and official tracks continue to move west with each advisory.  The closer it tracks to the coast, the worse effects from the storm we will see.  TS Michael should remain far out to see with little to no effects for our area.

Current Advisory for Leslie

Quote

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
500 PM AST TUE SEP 04 2012

...LESLIE BECOMING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.3N 62.6W
ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.6 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A SLOW NORTHWARD
MOTION...WHICH MAY BE ERRATIC AT TIMES...IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AND LESLIE COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
BERMUDA...THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/CANGIALOSI

Current Advisory for Michael

Quote

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
500 PM AST TUE SEP 04 2012

...SMALL MICHAEL STRENGTHENS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.5N 43.7W
ABOUT 1210 MI...1945 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.7 WEST. MICHAEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  A NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

NHC Tropics Visible Satellite

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NHCTropics904.gif)

NHC Leslie Official Track

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NHCLeslieOfficialTrack904.gif)

NHC Michael Official Track

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NHCMichaelOfficialTrack904.gif)

Title: Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Sept 4 - 7, 2012
Post by: Mr Limpett on September 04, 2012, 05:25:25 PM

Wow, must be a bumpy ride, flying out of Newark. If they are flying!

Title: Re: Tuesday Night Update
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 04, 2012, 07:40:44 PM

Storms will continue to move in throughout the night and during tomorrow.  They will come in squalls, much like they did today.  Some storms could be strong to severe with damaging winds, dangerous lightning, hail and heavy rains.  Some storms could even spawn tornadoes.  This is just the nature of these tropical remnants.  Flood and Flash Flood conditions will continue as well with these storms.

There are not widespread conditions enough to post Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watches at this time, but individual cells embedded within the storm clusters could bring severe thunderstorms.  There have been 2 Tornado Warnings today within NJ, both initially Doppler Radar indicated.  This means that the NWS PHI/Mount Holly saw conditions on radar that would indicate a possible tornado or imminent tornado and issued a Warning for the area in the path of the storm.  1 of these warnings did cause a funnel cloud and trees down and could have caused a tornado.  That will be determined in the upcoming days.

When a Tornado Warning is issued, it is issued for an entire County.  Unless you have the ability to read radar and determine direction of travel, you should immediately take cover if you are in the Warned Area.    Conditions within the Tornado Warning Areas could quickly become dangerous and deadly and tornadoes can not always be seen!

Best to keep some form of Weather Alert on tonight, just in case weather conditions get bad!

 TT^

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Radar9041115Z.jpg)

Title: Re: Tornado Safety Tips from the NWS
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 04, 2012, 08:03:24 PM

Tornado Safety Tips (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/faq/tornado/safety.html)

Title: Re: NEW EVENT Tornado Warning Warren County & PA Counties
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 04, 2012, 08:30:35 PM

Quote

Tornado Warning
TORNADO WARNING
NJC041-PAC089-095-050100-
/O.NEW.KPHI.TO.W.0006.120905T0026Z-120905T0100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
826 PM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN NORTHAMPTON COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...
  EAST CENTRAL MONROE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  NORTHERN WARREN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 900 PM EDT

* AT 825 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR COLUMBIA...
  OR 15 MILES NORTH OF EASTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  COLUMBIA BY 835 PM EDT...
  BLAIRSTOWN BY 855 PM EDT...
  WERRY LAKE BY 900 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4109 7503 4110 7499 4109 7499 4109 7497
      4107 7494 4099 7485 4098 7485 4086 7509
      4091 7522 4111 7505
TIME...MOT...LOC 0027Z 224DEG 16KT 4090 7513

$$

HEAVENER

(https://sphotos-b.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-snc6/217955_3823387468801_435095630_n.jpg)

Title: Re: Wednesday Update September 5, 2012
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 05, 2012, 11:05:57 AM

The majority of the rain and thunderstorms will be concentrated over northern NJ today.  There are already several Watches & Advisories up already.  Surf conditions will continue to be dangerous with 6-8 foot waves from the long period swells approaching the coastline.  This long period swell and building seas will continue for upwards of 7-10 more days until Leslie gets passed the area.

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/PHI905.jpg)

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Radar9051445Z.jpg)

Currently in NJ

Flash Flood Watch for Mercer, Salem, Gloucester, Camden and northwest Burlington Counties until this evening

Quote

Flash Flood Watch
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
355 AM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

DEZ001-NJZ015>019-PAZ067>071-060000-
/O.CON.KPHI.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-120906T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA
355 AM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES. IN DELAWARE...NEW CASTLE. IN NEW
  JERSEY...CAMDEN...GLOUCESTER...MERCER...NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON
  AND SALEM. IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...BUCKS...CHESTER...
  DELAWARE...MONTGOMERY AND PHILADELPHIA.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* HEAVY RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN MUCH OF THE REGION. ANOTHER
  ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED
  FOR TODAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF AN INCH OR TWO ARE ANTICIPATED TO
  BE COMMON TODAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. SOME PLACES COULD
  PICK UP AN ADDITIONAL TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN.

* URBAN AREAS REMAIN HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. STORM
  DRAINS ARE USUALLY NOT ABLE TO DEAL WITH A LARGE VOLUME OF RAIN
  WATER IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME...RESULTING IN FLOODING OF
  ROADWAYS AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE.

* THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN WILL COME TO AN END TONIGHT AS A WEAK
  FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES THE EXCESSIVELY HUMID AIR MASS OFF THE
  COAST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR THE FORECAST AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
IF FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

&&

$$

IOVINO

Small Craft Advisory for the entire East Coast Northern Maine through South Carolina and Georgia.  This includes Montauk Point, NY through Fenwick Island, DE and the New York Harbor and Raritan Bay.  This will be in effect through Thursday afternoon!

Quote

Small Craft Advisory
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
956 AM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452>455-060115-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
956 AM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
THIS MORNING. SCATTERED TSTMS LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM LATE THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...
DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SHOWERS
LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND TSTMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE EVENING.
.THU...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.FRI...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
956 AM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-060115-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
956 AM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO
7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS MORNING. SCATTERED TSTMS. SHOWERS
LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM LATE THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...BECOMING
W 5 TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS IN THE EVENING WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.THU...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS AROUND 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$

High Rip Current Risk for all NJ Ocean Coastal Waters

Quote

Rip Current Statement
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
450 AM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-060200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.RP.S.0006.000000T0000Z-120906T0200Z/
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
450 AM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...THE COASTLINES OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.

* RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...HIGH.

* SURF HEIGHT...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IMPLIES THAT WIND AND/OR WAVE
CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF VERY STRONG RIP
CURRENTS. THE RIP CURRENTS WILL BE LIFE THREATENING TO ANYONE WHO
ENTERS THE SURF.

&&

$$

IOVINO

Title: Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Sept 4 - 7, 2012
Post by: Capt. Carl on September 05, 2012, 11:12:06 AM

Put the Fluke Gear away....come on Stripers!

Title: Re: Wave Watch III Animations
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 05, 2012, 11:15:24 AM

For those of you who do not have Premium Buoy Weather, here is the NOAA website that has animated model forecasts of wave heights and periods.  You can select any of the models and then either a Wave Height Spec or Wave Period Spec and watch the animated model forecast.  This will give you an idea what we are in for with soon to be Hurricane Leslie passing.

Wave Watch 3 (http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/waves/viewer.shtml?-multi_1-latest-hs-US_eastcoast-)

Anyone with Premium Buoy Weather, take a look at the Wave Charts for the next 7 days!

 TT^

Title: Re: NEW EVENT Severe Thunderstorm Warning Burlington & Ocean
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 05, 2012, 01:22:53 PM

Line of storms is affecting central NJ right now from Monmouth County south to Ocean County and west to Burlington & Mercer Counties.  There is a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Burlington & Ocean Counties as well as Marine Warnings posted for adjacent coastal waters.

(https://sphotos-a.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-snc7/579977_3825682086165_1638445453_n.jpg)

Title: Re: Thursday Update
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 06, 2012, 10:26:33 AM

Looks like today will be partly sunny and dry with highs in the upper 80's and lows in the upper 60's.  Tonight into tomorrow morning expect patchy fog conditions between 3am through 7am or so.  There is also a Small Craft Advisory in effect for most of the east coast again, for our general area affecting Montauk, NY through Fenwick Island, DE.  This does not include New York Harbor, Raritan Bay or Delaware Bay.

Quote

Small Craft Advisory
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
956 AM EDT THU SEP 6 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ454-455-070115-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
956 AM EDT THU SEP 6 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...NW WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING SE. SEAS 4 TO 6
FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TSTMS EARLY. VSBY
LOCALLY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.FRI...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH VSBY
1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...
BECOMING SW 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. A CHANCE OF TSTMS. SHOWERS LIKELY. VSBY 1 TO
3 NM.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS
5 TO 8 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.MON...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
956 AM EDT THU SEP 6 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452-453-070115-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
956 AM EDT THU SEP 6 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...N WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING SE. SEAS 3 TO 6
FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 TO 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...
BECOMING SW 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. A CHANCE OF TSTMS. SHOWERS LIKELY. VSBY 1 TO
3 NM.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS
5 TO 8 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.MON...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
956 AM EDT THU SEP 6 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-070115-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
956 AM EDT THU SEP 6 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...N WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING E...THEN
SE LATE. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 TO 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO
8 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH VSBY
1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...
BECOMING SW 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. A CHANCE OF TSTMS. SHOWERS LIKELY. VSBY 1 TO
3 NM.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS
5 TO 8 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.MON...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$

Tomorrow, will be mostly sunny with highs in the mid 80's and lows in the upper 60's.  Friday night will bring a chance of more rain and thunderstorms.

A few changes in the tropics with a new addition.  Leslie and Michael have both been upgraded to hurricanes and there is an area, Invest 90L, in the Gulf of Mexico, now just off the Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama Coast that has a 40% chance of developing.  This is a piece of Isaac that made its way back south and into the GOM.

NHC Tropics Visible Satellite

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NHCTropics906.gif)

Hurricane Leslie is a Category 1 Hurricane with 75 mph winds.  Leslie has grown quite a bit in size and is now a large storm, similar to Isaac.  They are forecasting a Category 2 storm with 105 mph winds and the track is still taking the storm almost directly into Bermuda, then very close up the East Coast into Canada.  This Official Track has most models in agreement.

Quote

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
500 AM AST THU SEP 06 2012

...LESLIE CREEPING NORTHWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.3N 62.4W
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESLIE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST. LESLIE IS
DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H. A NORTHWARD OR NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAINS NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LESLIE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

LESLIE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM. NOAA
BUOY 41049...LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...NORTHWEST OF THE
CENTER OF LESLIE RECENTLY REPORTED A 1-MINUTE SUSTAINED WIND OF 54
MPH...86 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...
THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

Quote

Leslie NHC Official Track

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NHCLeslieOfficialTrack906.gif)

Leslie Satellite Loops

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/12L/flash-vis-long.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/12L/flash-rb-long.html

Hurricane Michael is a small, but intense hurricane that rapidly intensified.  Michael is already a Category 3 storm with 115 mph winds and is expected to strengthen to 120 mph winds.  Luckily, Michael doe s not pose any threat to the US or immediate lands or islands

Quote

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
500 AM AST THU SEP 06 2012

...MICHAEL BECOMES THE FIRST CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE OF THE YEAR...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.6N 41.7W
ABOUT 1020 MI...1645 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.7 WEST. MICHAEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND A TURN TO
THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST TODAY...WITH SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY.

MICHAEL IS A SMALL BUT POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

NHC Michael Official Track

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NHCMichaelOfficialTrack906.gif)

Michael Satellite Loops

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/13L/flash-vis-long.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/13L/flash-rb-long.html

Invest 90L, which is a remnant of Isaac is sitting in the Gulf of Mexico drifting south.  It has a 40% chance of development.  It has some moderate signs of life and some rotation, but since it got into the GOM yesterday, it really has not done much.  Conditions in the upcoming days are not favorable for development or strengthening, but the Gulf Coast states need to keep a watch on this!

Invest 90L Model Tracks

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Invest90LModelTracks906.gif)

Invest 90L Satellite Loops

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/90L/flash-vis-long.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/90L/flash-rb-long.html

Title: Re: Friday Update
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 07, 2012, 10:50:19 AM

Today should remain dry and mostly sunny turning partly cloudy this evening.  Highs in the mid to upper 80's with overnight lows in the low 70's.  Humidity is higher today.  It is very muggy out making it feel warmer than it actually is.

Not many changes in the tropics.  There are no changes in the systems.  Hurricane Leslie is basically unchanged and has stalled just south of Bermuda.  The track is essentially the same as well.  Hurricane Michael has weakened a bit down to a Category 2 Hurricane.  Track is also unchanged, however they are now bringing the storm into Canada.  Both Leslie and Michael may get very close to each other sometime next week and may have some type of interaction.  Invest 90L has been downgraded to only a 20% chance of development and has entered into so unfavorable conditions.  This will probably not develop and go into Florida as rain.

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NHCTropics907.gif)

Please check out the Weekend Outlook and chance of Severe Weather on Saturday into Sunday!!

Title: Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Sept 4 - 7, 2012
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 07, 2012, 02:13:08 PM

Please see the Severe Weather Update for tomorrow, Saturday September 8, 2012 on the Weekend Outlook!


NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition Sept 8 - 9, 2012 (http://njsaltwaterfisherman.com/forums/index.php?topic=28938.msg247885#new)

Title: Re: NEW EVENT Small Craft Advisory
Post by: Pfishingruven on September 07, 2012, 04:36:13 PM

There are Small Craft Advisories in effect for most of the Eastern seaboard, again from Maine through North Carolina.

For our area Small Craft Advisories are in effect for Sandy Hook, NJ to Fenwick Island, DE INCLUDING New York Harbor/Raritan Bay and Delaware Bay until Saturday Evening!

Quote

Small Craft Advisory
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
348 PM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-080715-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
348 PM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE
AFTERNOON WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS LIKELY IN
THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY WITH SCATTERED TSTMS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.MON...N WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT.
.TUE...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT.
.WED...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
348 PM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452>455-080715-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
348 PM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH VSBY
1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS LIKELY IN
THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY WITH SCATTERED TSTMS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.MON...N WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT.
.TUE...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT.
.WED...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
348 PM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ431-080715-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
348 PM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT LATE
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH VSBY
1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...
BECOMING NW 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY WITH SCATTERED TSTMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. VSBY 1 TO
3 NM IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.MON...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.TUE...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 KT. SEAS
2 TO 3 FT.
.WED...NW WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING SW. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
348 PM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ430-080715-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
348 PM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...INCREASING TO
15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 TO
2 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH VSBY
1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING NW 10 TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS LIKELY IN THE
EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY WITH SCATTERED TSTMS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.MON...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.TUE...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 KT. SEAS
2 TO 3 FT.
.WED...NW WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING SW. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$