This weekend will start off dry and sunny and begin to switch over Saturday Night. Saturday Night through Sunday will have good chances of rain with these chances extending into the beginning of the week. Saturday Night's rain showers could be snow showers or flurries in interior areas of the state. High temperatures will reach the lower 50's with lows down into the 30's at night. Water conditions are rated good for all locations. Winds will be out of the north around 10 knots on Saturday with seas 2-3 feet. Sunday winds will switch to the SSE at 15-18 knots with seas 2-3 feet. Surf conditions will be normal with waves 1-2 feet.
Talk of a coastal storm/nor'easter with snow for sometime around December 19th is out there. The models have and will go back and forth on this. This far out is way too soon to know what we will get here. What we get depends on what develops and where it develops as well as the track. A track closer to the coast brings the possibility of snow to inland NJ and PA. A track farther out to sea could bring more snow to more of NJ including the coast. Too far off the coast and NJ sees nothing at all. So, we could get something or it could be nothing. I will keep you updated as it gets closer or as models trend and agree.
High Pressure to our north will push a dry backdoor cold front through the region on Saturday. A strong low pressure system over the Plains will move into the Great Lakes pushing the cold front to our south back north as a warm front. The cold front will then move through by Sunday Night while another low pressure system forms along the frontal boundary to our south.
Saturday
Sky: Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance during the day, 30% chance rain showers (snow showers northern and western areas)
Temperatures
High: Low 50's
Low: Upper 30's
Sunrise: 7:11am
Sunset: 4:32pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingCrescent.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt.com- 43/50
Sunday
Sky: Cloudy
Precipitation: 50% chance rain showers during the day, 60% chance of rain showers at night
Temperatures
High: Low 50's
Low: Upper 30's
Sunrise: 7:11am
Sunset: 4:32pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingCrescent.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt.com- 43/50
Saturday Night Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface12151.gif)
Saturday Night Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface12152.gif)
Sunday’s Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface1216.gif)
Friday - Monday Precipitation
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/HPCQPF0Z12141217.gif)
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:
Saturday Morning
Wind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Saturday Afternoon
Wind: E 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less, visibility 1-3 nm at night
Sunday Morning
Wind: SE 10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Sunday Afternoon
Wind: E 10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/SandyHook12151216.jpg)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/SandyHook121512161.jpg)
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature: 50F
Saturday Morning
Winds: N 7 to 9 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday Morning
Winds: SSE 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 sec.
Manasquan Inlet Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/MI12151216.jpg)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/MI121512161.jpg)
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature: 50F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NNE 7 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 5 to 6 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday Morning
Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Cape May (Ocean) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/CapeMay12151216.jpg)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/CapeMay121512161.jpg)
Delaware Bay
Water Temperature: 46F
Saturday Morning
Wind: NE 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Wind: NE 5-10 knots becoming SE 5 knots at night
Seas: 1-2 feet
Sunday Morning
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Wind: S 5-10 knots becoming SE after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet
Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/DelawareBay12151216.jpg)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/DelawareBay121512161.jpg)
Offshore Waters
Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature: 52F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NNE 8 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday Morning
Winds: SSE 13 to 17 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 10 sec.
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/HycomSST0Z1213.png)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/sst/Ncom_sst_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/currents/Ncom_Curr_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!
(http://www.njsaltwaterfisherman.com/buoyweather.jpg) (http://www.buoyweather.com)
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)