This week will have a very unsettled weather pattern. There will be a chance of precipitation every day this week, starting off with a wintry mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain on Monday, followed by rain showers in the middle of the week and snow showers at the end of the week going into the weekend. Temperatures will start off cold with highs only in the 30's and gradually warm to highs in the 60's and again returning back to the 30's by the end of the week. Lows will range from the low 20'sto the mid to upper 40's. With increasing temperatures from a southern warm front, Wednesday into Thursday could bring thunderstorms and some severe weather for some areas of NJ. Water conditions will be cautious to hazardous for inshore to midshore to offshore locations. There will be a few small windows where water conditions will be rated good, early in the week on Monday and Tuesday. Small Craft Advisories are likely most of the week with winds up over 30 knots, Gale Force wind gusts and seas to 7 feet in places. Fog is also possible Tuesday into Tuesday Night. Surf conditions will not be much better this week. While wave heights won't exceed 3-4 max with 0-2 and 1-2 feet the average all week, predominantly western winds will gust well over 30 knots.
High pressure will control the area starting on Monday. A warm front will then move slowly northeast through the region later on Monday into Tuesday. A strong cold front will move through the Middle Atlantic on Wednesday Night followed by reinforcing cold fronts on Friday and into the weekend.
Monday
Sky: Cloudy
Precipitation: 60% chance of wintry mix/freezing rain/rain during the day and 40% chance of rain at night
Temperatures
High: Upper 30's
Low: Upper 30's
Sunrise: 7:08am
Sunset: 5:10pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt.com- 47/50
Tuesday
Sky: Mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 20% chance of rain/drizzle day and night
Temperatures
High: Low 50's
Low: Mid to upper 40's
Sunrise: 7:08am
Sunset: 5:11pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt.com- 43/50
Wednesday
Sky: Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 70% chance of rains showers/thunderstorms during the day, 60% chance of rain showers at night
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 60's
Low: Upper 30's
Sunrise: 7:07am
Sunset: 5:12pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Good
Weather2Hunt.com- 33/50
Thursday
Sky: Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 40% chance of rain showers during the day, 0% to slight chance at night
Temperatures
High: Mid 40’s
Low: Mid to upper 20's
Sunrise: 7:06am
Sunset: 5:14pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt.com- 33/50
Friday
Sky: Partly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 30% chance of snow showers during the day, 0% to slight chance at night
Temperatures
High: Low 30's
Low: Low 20's
Sunrise: 7:05am
Sunset: 5:15pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt- 33/50
Monday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface0128_zps25b38911.gif)
Tuesday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface0129_zps3af247cf.gif)
Wednesday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface0130_zps637e077b.gif)
Thursday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface0131_zpsdcfaeeba.gif)
Friday Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface0201_zpsbe478c63.gif)
Total Precipitation Monday - Saturday
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/HPCQPF0Z01280202_zps5d9b46cb.gif)
Sunday into Monday Snowfall Totals
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/PHISnowfallTotalSundayMonday_zps370b90a5.png)
Monday into Tuesday Snowfall Totals
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/PHISnowfallTotalMondayTuesday_zps63e3eb63.png)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/OKXSnowfallTotalMondayTuesday_zpsb77eb8eb.png)
Monday into Tuesday Ice Totals
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/PHIIceTotalMondayTuesday_zps360b4688.png)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/OKXIceTotalMondayTuesday_zps1c4775e4.png)
Severe Weather Threat for Wednesday
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/SPCDay4Outlook_zpsbb0ef309.gif)
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: Unavailable (Primary and Backup Buoys damaged by Sandy)
Monday Morning
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less, visibility 1-3 nm
Monday Afternoon
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Tuesday Morning
Wind: SW 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind: S 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Wednesday Morning
Wind: S 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Wed Afternoon
Wind: S 15-20 knots with gusts to 35 knots becoming gusts to 40 knots at night then W with gusts to 30 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Wind: W 15-20 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Wind: W 15-20 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet subsiding 1-2 feet throughout the late afternoon
Friday Morning
Wind: W 15-20 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Wind: W 15-20 knots becoming NW 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/SandyHook01280201_zpsc69157a0.jpg)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/SandyHook012802011_zpse68893c6.jpg)
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature: 42F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 3 sec.
Tuesday Morning
Winds: W 11 to 15 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 6 sec..
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 6 sec.
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 6 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 20 to 28 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 7 sec.
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 19 to 25 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 10 sec
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 8 sec.
Manasquan Inlet Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/MI01280201_zps7b6f8d77.jpg)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/MI012802011_zps97579ff2.jpg)
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature: 37F
Monday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 sec.
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 4 sec.
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 5 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 6 sec.
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 6 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 24 to 33 knots
Seas: S 7 feet at 6 sec.
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 9 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 19 to 26 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 10 sec.
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 19 to 26 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 4 sec.
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 25 knots
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 4 sec.
Cape May (Ocean) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/CapeMay01280201_zpsd1ddf78e.jpg)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/CapeMay012802011_zps0d5c2f4a.jpg)
Delaware Bay
Water Temperature: 35F
Monday Morning
Wind: SW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Wind: SW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind: SW 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet increasing 2-4 feet at night
Wednesday Morning
Wind: SW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Wed Afternoon
Wind: SW 20-25 knots becoming W 15 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Wind: W 15-20 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Wind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Wind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Wind: NW 15-20 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/DelawareBay01280201_zps5bd22f45.jpg)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/DelawareBay012802011_zps94496903.jpg)
Offshore Waters
Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature: 44F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 3 sec.
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SW 3 feet at 4 sec.
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 7 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: W 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 6 sec.
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 6 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 25 to 34 knots
Seas: SSW 9 feet at 7 sec.
Thursday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: S 11 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 22 to 29 knots
Seas: S 9 feet at 10 sec.
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 21 to 29 knots
Seas: WSW 7 feet at 6 sec.
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 25 knots
Seas: W 6 feet at 5 sec.
Sea Surface Temperatures
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/HycomSST0Z0127_zpsfaa46800.png)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/sst/Ncom_sst_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/currents/Ncom_Curr_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!
(http://www.njsaltwaterfisherman.com/buoyweather.jpg) (http://www.buoyweather.com)
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)