Here is the Outlook for Memorial Day Weekend, Saturday through Monday. Unfortunately, the weather pattern will be very unsettled and water conditions could be worse than the weather. Saturday into Saturday Night will bring the greatest chances of rain, showers and even a thunderstorm. This should be mostly scattered to isolated showers. Any rain and clouds will slowly clear out as the day progresses. Sunday and Monday will be clear with more sun than clouds. High temperatures will be in the low 60's on Saturday and then low to mid 70's on Sunday and Monday. Overnight lows will dip down into the upper 40's again and low 50's. Water conditions will vary by day and location. In general, though, Saturday and Sunday will have cautious to hazardous conditions with Small Craft Advisories from a strong northwesterly flow. Winds will be in the 20-25 knot range with gusts over 35 knots. Bays will see 2-5 foot seas with only 4 second period. Inshore waters could see 3-6 foot waves with only a 4 second period. Midshore to Offshore will see waves 5-7 feet at 5-7 seconds. The winds will be the major factor here. Winds may begin to diminish by Sunday Night, which will allow waters to lay down fairly quickly. By Monday winds should diminish to 10-15 knots out of the northwest and seas down to 1-2 feet at 8 seconds making water conditions good. Midshore to Offshore may see some residual into Monday Morning. If you are planning to get out this weekend, I wouldn't consider Saturday and Sunday a wash. This is all dependent on the timing and positioning of a Low off the coast. I would play it by ear and definitely check current conditions via buoy data and current forecasts the night before or even the morning of. I will keep an eye out for any major changes, as I know this is a big boating and fishing weekend. Water temperatures are holding about the same, maybe a couple of degrees warmer. Rivers and Bays are low to mid 60's. Inshore waters are in the upper 50's across the northern coastal areas and into the low 60's in some southern areas. Midshore to Offshore has moved into the mid to upper 50's. These temperatures may cool off some due to the cold front moving through. Surf conditions will be moderate to normal, with 2-4 feet through Sunday then decreasing 0-2 feet on Monday. The wind will be a factor Saturday and Sunday with 35 knot gusts out of the northwest.
Have a safe and enjoyable holiday!
The upcoming week will be more settled, so far. Rain chances will be very minimal with temperatures climbing to the upper 70's, maybe even 80's by the middle of the week. Lows will increase into the 50's and even 60's.
The cold front that passed through the area on Thursday Night and Friday will push off the coast. A low pressure system will develop on the front off the coast Friday and move very slowly northeast before it reaches the Canadian Maritimes on Monday. High pressure will then build in behind it.
Saturday
Sky: Mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 70% chance of showers during the day, 20% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High: Low 60's
Low: Mid 40's
Sunrise: 5:34am
Sunset: 8:13pm
Full Moon: 12:26am
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/FullMoon.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt.com- 33/50
Sunday
Sky: Partly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Low 70's
Low: Upper 40's
Sunrise: 5:33am
Sunset: 8:14pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Good
Weather2Hunt.com- 37/50
Monday
Sky: Sunny and mostly clear
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Mid 70's
Low: Low 50's
Sunrise: 5:32am
Sunset: 8:15pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Good
Weather2Hunt.com- 37/50
Friday Night Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface05251_zps2c4df789.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface05251_zps2c4df789.gif.html)
Saturday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface05252_zps86aeb847.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface05252_zps86aeb847.gif.html)
Sunday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface0526_zps1280020a.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface0526_zps1280020a.gif.html)
Monday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface0527_zps8df1e638.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/Surface0527_zps8df1e638.gif.html)
Friday - Monday Precipitation Total
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WPCQPF05240527_zps8c3a00f1.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WPCQPF05240527_zps8c3a00f1.gif.html)
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: 67°F
Saturday
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots increasing to 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas: 1-2 then 2-3, Visibility 1-3 nm
Saturday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 20-25 knots diminishing 15-20 knots in the late evening with gusts to 35 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet subsiding 1-2 feet
Sunday
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Sunday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Monday
Wind: NW 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/SandyHook05250527_zps378c5be0.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/SandyHook05250527_zps378c5be0.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/SandyHook052505271_zps2a8dd5d2.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/SandyHook052505271_zps2a8dd5d2.jpg.html)
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature: 57°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: NNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: N 3 feet at 4 seconds
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Manasquan Inlet Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/MI05250527_zps533e6aee.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/MI05250527_zps533e6aee.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/MI052505271_zps9c452925.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/MI052505271_zps9c452925.jpg.html)
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature: 55-60°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: NW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 24 to 32 knots
Seas: NNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: NW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Monday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 8 to 10 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Cape May (Ocean) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/CapeMay05250527_zpsd98cd85a.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/CapeMay05250527_zpsd98cd85a.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/CapeMay052505271_zps5668f5b6.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/CapeMay052505271_zps5668f5b6.jpg.html)
Delaware Bay
Water Temperature: 67°F
Saturday
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Saturday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 15-20 knots increasing 20-25 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-4 feet
Sunday
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 20-25 knots diminishing 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 2-3 feet
Sunday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet
Monday
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/DelawareBay05250527_zps8eca0ddc.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/DelawareBay05250527_zps8eca0ddc.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/DelawareBay052505271_zpsda738bf5.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/DelawareBay052505271_zpsda738bf5.jpg.html)
Offshore Waters
Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature: 56°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 22 to 30 knots
Seas: NW 6 feet at 5 seconds
Sunday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 24 to 33 knots
Seas: NW 7 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 24 knots
Seas: WNW 6 feet at 6 seconds
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Sea Surface Temperatures
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/HycomSST0523_zps458d0708.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/HycomSST0523_zps458d0708.png.html)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/sst/Ncom_sst_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/currents/Ncom_Curr_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!
(http://www.njsaltwaterfisherman.com/buoyweather.jpg) (http://www.buoyweather.com)
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)