Another very unsettled weather pattern this week! The week will start off unseasonably cooler with dry air and dry conditions. By Monday Night chances of rain will begin and increase throughout the week with chances of strong to severe thunderstorms as well. By Wednesday hotter and humid air will move in and chances of more widespread rain are possible through Friday. 2+ inches of rain are likely across the state this week with some areas seeing more locally from storms producing heavy rains. All types of flooding conditions are a concern this week! High temperatures will start off in the upper 70's to low 80's and increase to low to upper 80's by the end of the week. Overnight lows will vary from the low 50's to low 70's this week. Inland areas will see the warmest temperatures during the day with northern and coastal areas seeing the cooler end of the highs and all inland areas will see the cooler lows at night while the warmer ocean waters keep the coastal lows warmer than the rests of the state. Sunday Night into Monday will bring very calm winds and little clouds, especially over northern areas of the state, allowing for significant radiational cooling with lows down into the low 50's! Water conditions are rated mostly good this week. A strong southerly flow will develop on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. Inshore ocean waters could see cautious to hazardous conditions on Thursday with gusty winds in excess of 25 knots and seas building to 5-6 feet. Midshore to Offshore could see cautious conditions on Wednesday and Thursday with winds close to 30 knots and seas building 4-6 feet. Small Craft Advisories are possible for these locations on Wednesday and Thursday. These conditions have nothing to do with any tropical remnants, but are simply from frontal boundaries and systems passing over the area and their placement over ocean waters. Water temperatures are holding steady with bays and rivers in the upper 70's, Inshore ocean waters in the low 70's, Midshore to Offshore waters in the low to upper 70's and surf temperatures in the low 70's. The 3 day southerly flow should not affect overall temperatures too quickly, but by Thursday shallower and surf temperatures could see a decrease due to southerly upwelling of colder water. If temperatures drop, they should recover by or throughout the weekend with the help of northern and easterly winds. Surf and beach conditions look good with Low to Moderate Risks of rip currents and normal surf conditions. Tuesday through Thursday could see some rougher surf and increased wave heights with Thursday bringing gusty winds, rough to dangerous high surf and likely Moderate to High Risks of rip currents. UV Index will be mostly Moderate around 4-5/15 with Monday starting Very High at 8/15 and possibly Wednesday as well.
The center of the High Pressure that was over the region on Sunday will pass off the Mid Atlantic Coast on Monday Afternoon. A couple of weak upper level disturbances from the west will pass over the area on Tuesday. A warm front will approach from the south and southwest and lift through the areas on Wednesday. Another frontal boundary from the northwest will drop into the region on Thursday Night and Friday followed by a cold front on the weekend.
The upcoming weekend is looking OK, with warmer temperatures in the low to upper 80's with drier air overall. Saturday could bring some chances of rain and thunderstorms while Sunday will be dry and sunny right now. Water and surf conditions are looking good right now as well.
With the remnants of Dorian moving out to see the tropics are quiet and should remain that way this week.
Happy Shark Week!!
Monday
Sky: Sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance during the day, 20% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High: Upper 70's to low 80's inland, Mid 70's along/on the water
Low: Low 50's to Low 60's
UV Index: Very High 8/15
Sunrise: 5:58am
Sunset: 8:06pm
Full Moon: 2:17pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningCrescent.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Very Good
Weather2Hunt - 40/50
Tuesday
Sky: Mostly cloudy, Fog late
Precipitation: 40% chance showers and thunderstorms (some strong to severe) all day
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 70's
Low: Low to mid 60's
UV Index: Moderate 4/15
Sunrise: 5:59am
Sunset: 8:05pm
New Moon: 5:52pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NewMoon.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Very Good
Weather2Hunt - 47/50
Wednesday
Sky: Mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms (some strong to severe) all day
Temperatures
High: Upper 70's to low 80's (humid)
Low: Mid 60's to low 70's
UV Index: Very High 8/15
Sunrise: 6:00am
Sunset: 8:04pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingCrescent.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Very Good
Weather2Hunt - 47/50
Thursday
Sky: Mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 40% - 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 80's (humid)
Low: Mid 60's to low 70's
UV Index: Moderate 4/15
Sunrise: 6:01am
Sunset: 8:03pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingCrescent.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Very Good
Weather2Hunt - 33/50
Friday
Sky: Mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day, 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 80's (humid)
Low: Low to upper 60's
UV Index: Moderate 4/15
Sunrise: 6:02am
Sunset: 8:02pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingCrescent.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Fair
Weather2Hunt - 30/50
Monday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS043/94f_zps50e970ad.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS043/94f_zps50e970ad.gif.html)
Tuesday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS043/98f_zpsbd098722.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS043/98f_zpsbd098722.gif.html)
Wednesday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS041/9jh_zpsea40771e.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS041/9jh_zpsea40771e.gif.html)
Thursday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS042/9kh_zps9c79f827.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS042/9kh_zps9c79f827.gif.html)
Friday Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS042/9lh_zpse4241176.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS042/9lh_zpse4241176.gif.html)
Total Precipitation Monday - Friday
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS042/p120i_zps078f8c68.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS042/p120i_zps078f8c68.gif.html)
Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS042/p168i_zpsc6b57aff.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS042/p168i_zpsc6b57aff.gif.html)
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: 77F
Monday
Wind: NW 5-10 knots becoming SW late
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Monday Night
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Tuesday
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Wednesday
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind: S 10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Thursday
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet increasing to 2-4 feet
Thursday Night
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet subsiding 1-2 feet
Friday
Wind: W 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Friday Night
Wind: W 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/SH08050809_zps96c34165.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/SH08050809_zps96c34165.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/SH080508091_zps1aa6e38a.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/SH080508091_zps1aa6e38a.jpg.html)
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature: 73°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 2 to 2 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Tuesday Morning
Winds: S 3 to 4 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 12 to 16 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: S 13 to 17 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 20 to 27 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SW 5 to 8 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/MI08050809_zps6de4807c.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/MI08050809_zps6de4807c.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/MI080508091_zps9a88b22d.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/MI080508091_zps9a88b22d.jpg.html)
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature: 77°F
Monday
Wind: N 5-9 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind: SSW 7 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind: S 5-9 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind: S 9 knots
Seas: 2 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind: S 7-10 knots increasing to 10-13 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 2 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind: S 11 knots
Seas: 2 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday
Wind: SSW 9-13 knots
Seas: 2 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Wind: SSW 5-9 knots
Seas: 2 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday
Wind: W 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind: W 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/BB08050809_zpsb9e9caf9.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/BB08050809_zpsb9e9caf9.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/BB080508091_zps7a50e951.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/BB080508091_zps7a50e951.jpg.html)]
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature: 73°F
Monday Morning
Winds: N 10 to 14 knots
Seas: ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Monday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 3 to 4 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 13 to 18 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 14 to 18 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 21 to 29 knots
Seas: SSE 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Cape May (Ocean) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/CM08050809_zpsc665191b.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/CM08050809_zpsc665191b.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/CM080508091_zps0495e142.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/CM080508091_zps0495e142.jpg.html)
Delaware Bay
Water Temperature: 78°F
Monday
Wind: N 5-10 knots becoming W in the afternoon then S late
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind: S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind: S 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind: S 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind: S 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind: S 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind: SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/DB08050809_zps42bd5b53.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/DB08050809_zps42bd5b53.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/DB080508091_zps7f241a63.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/DB080508091_zps7f241a63.jpg.html)
Offshore Waters
Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature: 72°F-75°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NNW 12 to 17 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 6 to 9 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: S 4 to 6 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 11 to 14 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: S 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 18 to 24 knots
Seas: S 6 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 21 to 28 knots
Seas: S 7 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Sea Surface Temperatures
Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/hycomMeteo1_zps1b1bca87.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/hycomMeteo1_zps1b1bca87.png.html)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/hycomMeteo11_zpsf9b5903b.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/hycomMeteo11_zpsf9b5903b.png.html)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/sst/Ncom_sst_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/currents/Ncom_Curr_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
Ocean Currents
Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/hycomMeteo12_zps4cdbf972.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/hycomMeteo12_zps4cdbf972.png.html)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/hycomMeteo13_zps60c52b3c.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS040/hycomMeteo13_zps60c52b3c.png.html)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!
(http://www.njsaltwaterfisherman.com/buoyweather.jpg) (http://www.buoyweather.com)
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)