The first week of September and the "unofficial end" of Summer. The unsettled weather will continue through Tuesday Day before clearing out for Tuesday Night and the remainder of the week. No rain or thunderstorms are in the forecast through the weekend, so despite a few rainy days, we will get a break with several dry ones. A pattern change looks like it is in the making with the hot and humid Summer pattern moving south and the cooler and drier Fall air moving down from the north. The cold front/s followed by Canadian High Pressure will keep some cooler and drier air over the region through the weekend and likely until the colder and drier air moves in. Even with the cooler air, the area is still looking at mid 70’s to mid 80’s with overnight lows ranging from low 50’s to mid 60’s, still. Dew points will drop back into the 50’s to 60’s again, making humidity moderate and much more comfortable. Water conditions are rated good for all locations all week, except for Friday with some possible cautious conditions due to gusty winds to 20 knots. Small Craft Advisories are not likely this week, even with the gustier winds the end of the week. Surf and beach conditions will be good with Low Risks of rip currents, normal surf and wave heights 1-2 feet. Water temperatures are steady with rivers and bays in the upper 70’s and all ocean waters in the low to mid 70’s with surf temperatures dipping in the mid 60’s to low 70’s.
A cold front over the Eastern Great Lakes will move southeast and through the area on Tuesday Morning. High pressure will briefly build over the region on Wednesday. A second cold front will move across the area on Thursday followed by Central Canadian High Pressure for the end of the week.
The weekend looks like it will be a continuation of the end of the week with temperatures in the 70’s and drier air in place. Water and surf conditions look good as well. Another cold front will move through on Sunday followed by more Canadian High Pressure.
The tropics have several areas of interest or invests that will be watched this coming week. However, nothing of concern at this point.
Have a great week!
Tuesday
Sky: Parttly sunny to mostly cloudy becoming mostly clear to partly cloudy
Precipitation: 20%-30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms during the day, 0% to slight chance at night
Temperatures
High: Upper 70's to low 80’s
Low: Upper 50's inland, low to mid 60’s along/on the water, low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index: 8/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 6:26am
Sunset: 7:26pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningCrescent.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Good
Weather2Hunt - 40/50
Wednesday
Sky: Sunny to mostly sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper70's to low 80’s
Low: Upper 50's to low 60’s inland, low to mid 60’s along/on the water, low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index: 7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:27am
Sunset: 7:24pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningCrescent.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Good
Weather2Hunt - 40/50
Thursday
Sky: Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Mid 80's inland, low 80's along/on the water and mid 70’s across northern areas
Low: Upper 50's to low 60’s inland, low to mid 60’s along/on the water, low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index: 7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:28am
Sunset: 7:23pm
New Moon: 7:37am
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NewMoon.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Very Good
Weather2Hunt - 47/50
Friday
Sky: Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 70's inland, low to mid 70's along/on the water and northern areas
Low: Low to mid 60's inland and along/on the water, Mid 50's across northern areas
UV Index: 9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 6:29am
Sunset: 7:21pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingCrescent.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Very Good
Weather2Hunt - 47/50
Tuesday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/Surface0903_zpscccbe77c.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/Surface0903_zpscccbe77c.gif.html)
Wednesday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/Surface0904_zpsccac92f4.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/Surface0904_zpsccac92f4.gif.html)
Thursday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/Surface0905_zpscad7783d.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/Surface0905_zpscad7783d.gif.html)
Friday Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/Surface0906_zps9835a367.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/Surface0906_zps9835a367.gif.html)
Total Precipitation Tuesday - Sunday
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS093/p120i_zps347e31ed.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS093/p120i_zps347e31ed.gif.html)
Total Precipitation Tuesday - Tuesday
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS093/p168i_zps42a127b1.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS093/p168i_zps42a127b1.gif.html)
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: 78°F
Tuesday
Wind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Wednesday
Wind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Thursday
Wind: W 5 knots increasing to 10 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Thursday Night
Wind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Friday
Wind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot or less
Friday Night
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot or less
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS093/SH09030906_zps8b82c413.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS093/SH09030906_zps8b82c413.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/SH090309061_zpsed1d6102.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/SH090309061_zpsed1d6102.jpg.html)
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature: 73°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Thursday Morning
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 7 to 9 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: N 11 to 14 knots
Seas: ENE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 4 to 5 knots
Seas: ENE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Manasquan Inlet Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/MI09030906_zps70e7fbf0.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/MI09030906_zps70e7fbf0.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/MI090309061_zpsfa43db0e.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/MI090309061_zpsfa43db0e.jpg.html)
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature: 78°F
Tuesday
Wind: NW 7-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind: NW 9-11 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Wednesday
Wind: NW 9 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind: WSW 8 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind: W 7-9 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind: NW 10 knots becoming NNE after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Friday
Wind: N 7-11 knots
Seas: 2 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind: N 7-11 knots
Seas: 2 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/BB09030906_zpsb3dbe2cc.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/BB09030906_zpsb3dbe2cc.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/BB090309061_zpsff241152.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/BB090309061_zpsff241152.jpg.html)
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature: 75°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: W 10 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 14 to 19 knots
Seas: ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Cape May (Ocean) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/CM09030906_zps47b33243.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/CM09030906_zps47b33243.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/CM090309061_zps839e123a.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/CM090309061_zps839e123a.jpg.html)
Delaware Bay
Water Temperature: 79°F
Tuesday
Wind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind: W 10-15
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 2 feet
Wednesday
Wind: NW 10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 2 feet
Thursday
Wind: W 10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 2 feet
Thursday Night
Wind: N 10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 2 feet
Friday
Wind: N 10-15 knots becoming NE 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 2 feet
Friday Night
Wind: SE 5-10 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 2 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/DB09030906_zps14d681a4.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/DB09030906_zps14d681a4.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/DB090309061_zpsd14ed258.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/DB090309061_zpsd14ed258.jpg.html)
Offshore Waters
Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature: 72-73°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: W 13 to 17 knots
Seas: WSW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 10 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 14 to 20 knots
Seas: NNE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: N 8 to 11 knots
Seas: NE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Sea Surface Temperatures
Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/hycomMeteo1_zps59a23d13.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/hycomMeteo1_zps59a23d13.png.html)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/hycomMeteo11_zpsedbecbd0.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/hycomMeteo11_zpsedbecbd0.png.html)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/sst/Ncom_sst_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/currents/Ncom_Curr_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
Ocean Currents
Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/hycomMeteo12_zpsba981802.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/hycomMeteo12_zpsba981802.png.html)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/hycomMeteo13_zpsaad98c37.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS092/hycomMeteo13_zpsaad98c37.png.html)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!
(http://www.njsaltwaterfisherman.com/buoyweather.jpg) (http://www.buoyweather.com)
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)