After an interesting couple of days across the state, the first weekend of the new year will be no different. Weather will be split, but water conditions are good through Sunday Night. Saturday will bring sunny skies and average temperatures. Sunday will bring cloudy skies and precipitation with above average highs and lows for this time of year. Precipitation will be a mix of rain, wintry mix, freezing rain and snow depending on location and how and when the warmer air mixes in eventually turning to all rain for late Sunday Night, Monday Day. This is just going to make a MESS on top of the snow already here and could lead to some flooding conditions! Water conditions look to be good all weekend, deteriorating on Sunday Night through mid to late week with Small Craft Advisories being issued and Cautious to Hazardous conditions. Surf and beach conditions look good to ok. Be alert for any damage or changes from coastal flooding and beach erosion. Surf heights topped 10-12 feet with the last storm and moderate coastal flooding was widespread throughout the Jersey Coast. Surf will still be rougher with chances of some higher waves Saturday Morning, improving before deteriorating again on Sunday Night. Water temperatures have dropped a few degrees again with rivers and bays in the upper 30’s to low 40’s, surf temperatures in the upper 30’s to low 40’s, inshore waters in the low to mid 40’s and offshore waters in the low 50’s. UV Index will be Low a 0-2/15.
The Winter Storm/Nor’Easter will continue to move Northeast Friday Night. High pressure will move east from the Ohio Valley and settle across the region on Saturday. Once the high moves to the east on Sunday, another low pressure system and front will affect the area Monday and early Tuesday followed by more Arctic Air on Monday Night through early Wednesday.
Next week will start off wet on Monday followed by a cold front with more frigid, arctic air. Highs and lows on Monday Night, Tuesday and Wednesday will be in the negative to teens with 10-15 degree wind chill values! It looks to be dry from Monday Night through the Wednesday Night. Thursday will bring chances of more rain and snow before clearing out for Friday. Thursday and Friday will also bring a return of average temperatures again. Water conditions will be cautious to hazardous Monday through Wednesday, maybe improving for Thursday and Friday. Surf and beach conditions will echo the water.
Saturday
Sky: Mostly sunny to sunny becoming mostly clear
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 20’s to low 30’s inland, low to mid 30’s along the coast, mid 20’s across northern areas
Low: Upper teens to low 0’s inland, mid to upper 20’s along the coast, low to mid teens across northern areas
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:44pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingCrescent.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt.com – 37/50
Sunday
Sky: Partly sunny becoming cloudy
Precipitation: 40%-80% chance of rain/wintry mix/freezing rain/snow
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 40’s to low 50’s inland and along the coast, upper 30’s across northern areas
Low: Upper 30’s to low 40’s inland, low 40’s along the coast, low to mid 30’s across northern areas
UV Index: 0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:45pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingCrescent.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt.com – 30/50
Friday Night Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/92f_zps396e1eb4.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/92f_zps396e1eb4.gif.html)
Saturday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/94f_zps7569175a.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/94f_zps7569175a.gif.html)
Sunday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/9jh_zps4940c404.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/9jh_zps4940c404.gif.html)
Friday – Monday Precipitation Total
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/d13_fill_zps5d1bde59.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/d13_fill_zps5d1bde59.gif.html)
Sunday – Monday Storm Track
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/lowtrack_circles_zpsd36c9785.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/lowtrack_circles_zpsd36c9785.gif.html)
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: 37°F
Saturday
Wind: SW 5 knots increasing to 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Saturday Night
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sunday
Wind: SWE 5 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sunday Night
Wind: SE 5-10 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides
Sandy Hook Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=04&byear=2014&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&Threshold=greaterthanequal&thresholdvalue=&format=Submit&Stationid=8531680)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/SH01040105_zps5b652965.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/SH01040105_zps5b652965.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/SH010401051_zps5041b776.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/SH010401051_zps5041b776.png.html)
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature: 37°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NW 1 to 1 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=04&byear=2014&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8517741)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/CI01040105_zps8b6828ef.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/CI01040105_zps8b6828ef.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/CI010401051_zpsfd9f8cee.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/CI010401051_zpsfd9f8cee.png.html)
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature: 42°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: SW 7 to 9 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: S 4 to 6 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=04&byear=2014&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8532591)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/MI01040105_zps50de8a8b.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/MI01040105_zps50de8a8b.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/MI010401051_zps2f1954cb.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/MI010401051_zps2f1954cb.png.html)
Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature: 32°F
Saturday
Wind: Variable less than 5 knots becoming SW 6-11 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Saturda-y Night
Wind: SW 8-11 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind: WSW 7-9 knots becoming SSE in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind: SE 10-13 knots becoming SSW 14-17 knots after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
Barnegat Bay Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=04&byear=2014&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8533345)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/BB01040105_zpsb605e299.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/BB01040105_zpsb605e299.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/BB010401051_zps8fca15b3.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/BB010401051_zps8fca15b3.png.html)
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature: 45°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NW 2 to 3 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: S 10 to 13 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Cape May (Ocean) Tides
Cape May Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=12&bday=28&byear=2013&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8535962)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/CM01040105_zpsb7bf91b0.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/CM01040105_zpsb7bf91b0.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/CM010401051_zps99c122d8.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/CM010401051_zps99c122d8.png.html)
Delaware Bay
Water Temperature: 38°F
Saturday
Wind: NW 5 knots becoming W late morning then S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 2-4 feet, Light Freezing Spray
Surf: 1-2 feet
Saturday Night
Wind: SW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Sunday
Wind: S 5-10 knots becoming SE 10-15 knots late
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVIORY
Wind: S 15-20 knots with gusts to 25
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides
Delaware Bay Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=04&byear=2014&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&Threshold=greaterthanequal&thresholdvalue=&format=Submit&Stationid=8537121)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/DB01040105_zps8fe0b964.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/DB01040105_zps8fe0b964.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/DB010401051_zpsdd579558.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/DB010401051_zpsdd579558.png.html)
Offshore Waters
Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature: 50°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 11 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ENE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Sunday Morning
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 10 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 13 to 17 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 10 seconds
Sea Surface Temperatures
Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo1_zpsbb2d1e8c.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo1_zpsbb2d1e8c.png.html)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo11_zps5523308b.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo11_zps5523308b.png.html)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/sst/Ncom_sst_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/currents/Ncom_Curr_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
Ocean Currents
Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo12_zps828f3245.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo12_zps828f3245.png.html)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo13_zps6afe6a1e.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo13_zps6afe6a1e.png.html)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!
(http://www.njsaltwaterfisherman.com/buoyweather.jpg) (http://www.buoyweather.com)
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)