Another unsettled week bringing varied weather and water conditions this week. The week will start with above normal temperatures and dry conditions before rain chances move in for Monday Night through Wednesday Night and a cold front moves in late Tuesday Night bringing temperatures back to normal for mid January. Precipitation looks to be scattered to widely scattered showers with the greatest chances Monday Night and Tuesday Day. Wednesday Night will bring some lingering showers moving out finally for Thursday and staying dry for Friday as well. Some of the precipitation on Tuesday Night and Wednesday could be snow showers across northern areas. Temperatures will start in the upper 40’s to 50’s for the beginning of the week with lows in the upper 30’s and 40’s before returning back to the 30’s and 40’s with lows in the 20’s and 30’s. Water conditions will vary by day and location this week. Small Craft Advisories are likely Monday through Tuesday then Wednesday Afternoon through Friday. These look borderline at this time, so they could go either way. Southern Waters and Midshore to Offshore waters are more likely to experience the higher winds and seas with passing fronts and systems. Surf and beach conditions look good to ok this week. They will echo the water conditions with gusty winds, but wave heights do not look to increase as much. Water temperatures are a degree or two colder, with bays and rivers in the mid to upper 30’s, surf in the upper 30’s to low 40’s, inshore waters in the low 40’s and offshore waters in the low 50’s. UV Index will be low 0-2/15.
High pressure will build across the south of the region Sunday Night and push offshore early on Monday. A low pressure system will move through Eastern Canada on Monday, bringing a cold front into the area on Tuesday. An area of low pressure will develop along the frontal boundary near the Carolina Coast and will move up the Mid-Atlantic Coast on Tuesday. Another area of low pressure will move through the Great Lakes Region late Tuesday, bringing another cold front to the area on Wednesday. Surface high pressure will build across the area late Wednesday and Thursday. Another low pressure system will approach the area at the end of the week.
The weekend looks to be clear and dry with seasonal temperatures. Water conditions may be cautious this weekend with surf and beach conditions ok to cautious.
Have a great week!
Monday
Sky: Mostly sunny to sunny becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance during the day, 60%-70% chance of rain at night
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 50’s inland and along the coast, upper 40’s northern areas
Low: Low to mid 40’s inland and along the coast, upper 30’s northern areas
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:17am
Sunset: 4:53pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Poor
Weather2Hunt - 37/50
Tuesday
Sky: Mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 40%-70% chance of rain during the day, 0%-30% chance of rain/snow (northern areas) at night
Temperatures
High: Low 50’s inland and along the coast, upper 40’s northern areas
Low: Low 30’s inland, mid 30’s along the coast, upper 20’s northern areas
UV Index: 0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:17am
Sunset: 4:54pm
First Qtr: 10:40pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Fair
Weather2Hunt - 40/50
Wednesday
Sky: Mostly cloudy to cloudy becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 30%-40% chance of rain/snow (northern areas), 0%-40% chance of rain at night
Temperatures
High: Upper 30’s to mid 40’s
Low: Mid 20’s inland and northern areas, upper 20’s along the coast,
UV Index: 0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:16am
Sunset: 4:55pm
Full Moon: 11:53pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/FullMoon.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 33/50
Thursday
Sky: Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 30’s
Low: Upper 20’s inland, low 30’s along the coast, low 20’s across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:16am
Sunset: 4:56pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Fair
Weather2Hunt - 47/50
Friday
Sky: Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 30’s to mid 40’s
Low: Low to mid 20’s inland, upper 20’s along the coast, upper teens northern areas
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:16am
Sunset: 4:57pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 33/50
Monday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/0113_zpsb19bf07e.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/0113_zpsb19bf07e.gif.html)
Tuesday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/0114_zps024bc899.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/0114_zps024bc899.gif.html)
Wednesday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/0115_zps59929f8f.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/0115_zps59929f8f.gif.html)
Thursday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/0116_zps945e2397.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/0116_zps945e2397.gif.html)
Friday Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/0117_zps7aeaf18d.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/0117_zps7aeaf18d.gif.html)
Total Precipitation Monday - Friday
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/p120i_zpsfea74d9c.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/p120i_zpsfea74d9c.gif.html)
Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/p168i_zps30b4ac3d.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/p168i_zps30b4ac3d.gif.html)
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: 35°F
Monday
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind: SW 5 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm in the morning
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Friday
Wind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
Sandy Hook Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=13&byear=2014&timelength=weekly&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&Threshold=greaterthanequal&thresholdvalue=&format=Submit&Stationid=8531680)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/SH01130117_zpsc0d43145.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/SH01130117_zpsc0d43145.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/SH011301171_zps6cbc18bc.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/SH011301171_zps6cbc18bc.gif.html)
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature: 35°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=13&byear=2014&timelength=weekly&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8517741)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/CI01130117_zps9e35f153.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/CI01130117_zps9e35f153.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/CI011301171_zpsc1ff3787.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/CI011301171_zpsc1ff3787.gif.html)
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature: 43°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SSW 8 to 10 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 9 to 13 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 11 to 14 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=13&byear=2014&timelength=weekly&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8532591)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/MI01130117_zps2c040afb.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/MI01130117_zps2c040afb.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/MI011301171_zpsffcd7038.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/MI011301171_zpsffcd7038.gif.html)
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature: 34°F
Monday
Wind: SSW 7-10 knots increasing to 10-13 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind: SSW 10-12 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind: SW 6-8 knots becoming WNW in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind: Variable winds less than 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind: SSW 6-8 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind: WSW 8-11 knots becoming WNW after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind: WNW 10 knots becoming WSW in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind: SW 9-13 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday
Wind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
Barnegat Bay Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=13&byear=2014&timelength=weekly&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8533345)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/BB01130117_zps208fe00c.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/BB01130117_zps208fe00c.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/BB011301171_zpsdb49ca70.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/BB011301171_zpsdb49ca70.gif.html)
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature: 44°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: SW 14 to 18 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Cape May (Ocean) Tides
Cape May Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=13&byear=2014&timelength=weekly&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8535962)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/CM01130117_zps14db1913.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/CM01130117_zps14db1913.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/CM011301171_zpsfedfbd98.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/CM011301171_zpsfedfbd98.gif.html)
Delaware Bay
Water Temperature: 35°F-44°F
Monday
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet building to 2-3 feet in the early afternoon
Surf: 0-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind: SW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Tuesday
Wind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 0-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind: W 5 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 0-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind: SW 5-10 knots becoming W 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 0-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 0-2 feet
Thursday
Wind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind: SW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday
Wind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind: W 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-3 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides
Delaware River Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=13&byear=2014&timelength=weekly&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&Threshold=greaterthanequal&thresholdvalue=&format=Submit&Stationid=8537121)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/DB01130117_zps884534d2.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/DB01130117_zps884534d2.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/DB011301171_zps5ddfb961.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/DB011301171_zps5ddfb961.gif.html)
Offshore Waters
Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature: 50°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: S 6 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 4 to 5 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 7 seconds
Sea Surface Temperatures
Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo1_zpse0e6d6f4.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo1_zpse0e6d6f4.png.html)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo11_zps252b16f3.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo11_zps252b16f3.png.html)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/sst/Ncom_sst_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/currents/Ncom_Curr_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
Ocean Currents
Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo12_zpsdc9d8ec3.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo12_zpsdc9d8ec3.png.html)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo13_zps729d1abd.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo13_zps729d1abd.png.html)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!
(http://www.njsaltwaterfisherman.com/buoyweather.jpg) (http://www.buoyweather.com)
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)