Another wet weekend for most of the state (southern areas will be dry or drier than the rest of the state) and Small Craft Advisories and Gale Warnings on the water. Saturday will bring no rain to significant rain/mix/snow from southeast to northwest. Very southern areas will not see anything on Saturday, other areas will see rain or a mix clearing out for the overnight while northern areas will see rain/mix/snow all day. These will likely be scattered or widely scattered showers, with more organization towards the north/northwest. Sunday the entire state will likely see some snow flurries to showers or more. Accumulations will range from nothing to around 1-2 inches for northwestern counties. Regardless of accumulation, any wintry precipitation could make for slippery surfaces and hazardous traveling. High temperatures will range from the mid 30’s to mid 40’s with overnight lows in the 20’s and 30’s. Winds will be gusty form the west to southwest. Water conditions will be Cautious to Hazardous this weekend with Small Craft Advisories inshore and Gale Warnings offshore. Mornings may see a break in winds and seas, but will pick up by late morning/early afternoons. Surf and beach conditions look OK with gusty west to southwest winds and some rougher and higher surfs. Water temperatures are a few degrees warmer in bays and rivers in the upper 30’s, inshore waters are steady in the low 40’s, surf temperatures are in the low to mid 40’s and offshore waters are steady in the low 50’s. UV Index will be Low at 1-2/15.
A cold front will move through the area late Friday Night. Weak low pressure may develop on the front over the area as it quickly shifts eastward. A weak area of high pressure will then briefly arrive Saturday and Saturday Night, before another cold front crosses the region early on Sunday. An Arctic Cold Front will then track through the area on Tuesday, with cold high pressure building in for the rest of the work week.
Next week looks like a rain/mix/snow mess on Monday again followed by dry conditions for the rest of the week, right now. Some more Arctic cold air will move in Monday Night with gusty winds through Wednesday or Thursday. Monday will see 30’s and 40’s by highs followed by a drop in temperatures for Monday Night into the teens, then 20’s to 30’s for highs for the rest of the week with tens to teens for lows. Wind chills could drop temperatures by 10-15 degrees or more. Water conditions look Cautious inshore and Cautious to Hazardous midshore to offshore through Wednesday or so. Surf and beach conditions will echo the water conditions with gusty winds, rough and high surf through the middle of the week.
Have a great weekend!
Saturday
Sky: Mostly sunny to cloudy becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-80% chance of rain/mix/snow (chances go from southeast to northwest)
Temperatures
High: Mid 30’s to low 40’s
Low: Low to mid 20’s
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:15am
Sunset: 4:58pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt.com – 40/50
Sunday
Sky: Mostly cloudy to cloudy becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation: 0%-30% chance of rain during the day, 0%-sight chance at night
Temperatures
High: Mid 30’s to mid 40’s
Low: Mid 20’s to low 30’s
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:15am
Sunset: 4:59pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningGibbous.jpg)
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt.com – 37/50
Friday Night Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/0117_zps26c87cc0.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/0117_zps26c87cc0.gif.html)
Saturday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/0118_zpsbcba4e39.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/0118_zpsbcba4e39.gif.html)
Sunday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/0119_zpsf785543b.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/0119_zpsf785543b.gif.html)
Saturday – Monday Precipitation Total
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/d12_fill_zps2f5b069e.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/d12_fill_zps2f5b069e.gif.html)
Friday – Sunday Snowfall Totals
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowWebFcst1_zps2cbb9dac.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowWebFcst1_zps2cbb9dac.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowFcst_zps5da79a43.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowFcst_zps5da79a43.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/Period2Snow_zps82e1bb8b.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/Period2Snow_zps82e1bb8b.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/Period3Snow_zps98e9ed01.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/Period3Snow_zps98e9ed01.png.html)
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: 39°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: S 10-15 knots becoming W increasing to 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less increasing to 2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: SW 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less building to 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides
Sandy Hook Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=18&byear=2014&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&Threshold=greaterthanequal&thresholdvalue=&format=Submit&Stationid=8531680)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/SH_zpse514eb22.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/SH_zpse514eb22.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/SH1_zpsecdfd1ec.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/SH1_zpsecdfd1ec.gif.html)
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature: 39°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=18&byear=2014&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8517741)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/CI_zps768f8b94.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/CI_zps768f8b94.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/CI1_zps25c24945.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/CI1_zps25c24945.gif.html)
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature: 41°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 18 to 24 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=18&byear=2014&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8532591)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/MI_zps9756b5ca.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/MI_zps9756b5ca.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/MI1_zpsbcd3a519.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/MI1_zpsbcd3a519.gif.html)
Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature: 38°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 13-16 knots increasing to 16-19 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 26 knots
Seas: 2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 16-19 knots decreasing to 12-15 knots after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: WSW 12-15 knots increasing to 16-19 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 14-19 knots with gusts to 26 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
Barnegat Bay Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=18&byear=2014&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8533345)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/BB_zpse6be6e29.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/BB_zpse6be6e29.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/BB1_zpsfbbfa7bc.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/BB1_zpsfbbfa7bc.gif.html)
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature: 43°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 20 to 27 knots
Seas: W 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 21 to 28 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 20 to 27 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Cape May (Ocean) Tides
Cape May Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=18&byear=2014&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8535962)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/CM_zps6914c5d9.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/CM_zps6914c5d9.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/CM1_zpseb3c2728.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/CM1_zpseb3c2728.gif.html)
Delaware Bay
Water Temperature: 36°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 15-20 knots increasing to 20-25 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-3 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-3 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots in the late morning/afternoon
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-3 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVIORY
Wind: W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides
Delaware Bay Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=01&bday=18&byear=2014&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&Threshold=greaterthanequal&thresholdvalue=&format=Submit&Stationid=8537121)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/DB_zps7a50294b.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/DB_zps7a50294b.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/DB1_zps0b02faa6.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/DB1_zps0b02faa6.gif.html)
Offshore Waters
Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature: 50°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: W 21 to 28 knots
Seas: WSW 6 feet at 5 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: WSW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: WSW 22 to 30 knots
Seas: SW 7 feet at 6 seconds
Sea Surface Temperatures
Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo1_zps5c404310.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo1_zps5c404310.png.html)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo11_zps084c0b95.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo11_zps084c0b95.png.html)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/sst/Ncom_sst_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/currents/Ncom_Curr_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
Ocean Currents
Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo12_zps0b0e9f28.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo12_zps0b0e9f28.png.html)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo13_zps8522d552.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/hycomMeteo13_zps8522d552.png.html)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!
(http://www.njsaltwaterfisherman.com/buoyweather.jpg) (http://www.buoyweather.com)
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)