NJ Saltwater Fisherman Forums

NJ Saltwater Fisherman => Weather and Hurricane Info => Topic started by: Pfishingruven on January 20, 2014, 11:42:23 AM

Title: Tuesday - Wednesday Winter Storm/Nor'Easter
Post by: Pfishingruven on January 20, 2014, 11:42:23 AM
Good afternoon!  A complete run down on the winter storm for tomorrow…this system appeared early last week and ALL of the models trended away from much of anything besides some snow showers with light accumulations for areas south and east of the I-95 corridor.  This is why you didn’t hear much about this storm.  As of yesterday, the models started suggesting a bigger storm was in the works and today with a moderate to major Winter Storm/Nor’Easter capable of 2-6+ inches.  Today the models are suggesting 8-10+ inches for areas south and east of I-95!  Currently, the official snowfall forecast from the NWS has a majority of the state in 4-6 inches with 2-4 inches in extreme northern/northwestern NJ.  Snow will start early in the day becoming heaviest in the afternoon to late afternoon.  Temperatures will be cold, so no worries about mix or rain with this system.  Winds could be an issue with this system tomorrow and some guidance suggests possible blizzard conditions with winds up to or greater than 35 mph for an extended period of time causing blowing snow.  I am also seeing guidance for coastal flooding pointing towards minor to moderate flooding Tuesday Night and Wednesday with tides running 1-3 feet above normal.

I will have more as it comes in.  I would plan for a moderate snow storm, but be ready for a significant to major snowstorm, especially central and southern parts of the state.

Be safe!

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/lowtrack_circles_zpsd806c1d0.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/lowtrack_circles_zpsd806c1d0.gif.html)

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/lowtrack_ensembles_zps1d4a8f60.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/lowtrack_ensembles_zps1d4a8f60.gif.html)

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowWebFcst_zps599898d2.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowWebFcst_zps599898d2.png.html)

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowFcst_zpseab58666.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowFcst_zpseab58666.png.html)

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NAMSnowfall_zps84f7156d.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NAMSnowfall_zps84f7156d.png.html)

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/WINTER_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_120HR_zpsa5004241.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/WINTER_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_120HR_zpsa5004241.gif.html)
Title: Re: Tuesday - Wednesday Winter Storm/Nor'Easter
Post by: Reel McCoy on January 20, 2014, 11:50:08 AM
Thanks, Matt  t^
Title: Re: Tuesday - Wednesday Winter Storm/Nor'Easter
Post by: Pfishingruven on January 20, 2014, 11:57:40 AM
Thanks, Matt  t^

YW, as always!  Thanks for reading TT^.
Title: Re: Latest NWS PHI Briefing on Winter Storm
Post by: Pfishingruven on January 20, 2014, 12:02:25 PM
Winter Storm Watches have been issued for all NJ Counties except Sussex, Warren and western Passaic Counties.  There are also Small Craft Advisories, Gale Watches and Gale Warnings for coastal waters.

NWS PHI Briefing #2 (http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/briefing/packages/current_briefing.pdf)
Title: Re: Tuesday - Wednesday Winter Storm/Nor'Easter
Post by: ped579 on January 20, 2014, 01:49:54 PM
Sigh...  I just want to be in Hawaii already.  :-\
Title: Re: Tuesday - Wednesday Winter Storm/Nor'Easter
Post by: Pfishingruven on January 20, 2014, 05:30:34 PM
Sigh...  I just want to be in Hawaii already.  :-\

I'll settle on Florida or anywhere it isn't snowing and frozen ;D!  I think this is going to be the big coastal storm that "snuck up on us" this season.  I wouldn't be surprised with 12-18 inches along the coast with such cold temps and high water to snow ratios!  I'm hoping I am wrong, but...I hate shoveling snow too...need to invest in a snow blower.

 pcrn
Title: Re: Advisories & Warnings, Updated Snow Forecast
Post by: Pfishingruven on January 20, 2014, 05:40:07 PM
Winter Storm Warnings have been issued for all NJ Counties except Sussex and Warren, which have Winter Weather Advisories issued.  All inshore coastal waters have Gale Warnings in effect with offshore waters in Storm Warnings.  Inshore waters will see winds to 40 knots and seas 7-10 feet while offshore waters will see winds to 55 knots and seas 15-21 feet cfzd!

Below are updated Snowfall Forecast Totals

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowWebFcst1_zpsdb3ca817.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowWebFcst1_zpsdb3ca817.png.html)

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowFcst1_zps110cc6a1.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowFcst1_zps110cc6a1.png.html)
Title: Re: Updated Snowfall Totals Forecast from NWS PHI
Post by: Pfishingruven on January 20, 2014, 10:24:00 PM
Increased snow totals for most of the state...

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowWebFcst2_zps78f140a2.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowWebFcst2_zps78f140a2.png.html)
Title: Re: Tuesday - Wednesday Winter Storm/Nor'Easter
Post by: Hotrod on January 20, 2014, 10:35:56 PM
 rgmn
Title: Re: Latest Snowfall Forecast
Post by: Pfishingruven on January 21, 2014, 08:02:54 AM
National Weather Services say "All In!"

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowWebFcst3_zps176824bf.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowWebFcst3_zps176824bf.png.html)

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowFcst2_zpsf72e054f.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowFcst2_zpsf72e054f.png.html)
Title: Re: Tuesday - Wednesday Winter Storm/Nor'Easter
Post by: Takes Prizoners on January 21, 2014, 10:27:21 AM
 damn I wish I still had a plow $$$$$$$$
Title: Re: Tuesday - Wednesday Winter Storm/Nor'Easter
Post by: Salty Dog on January 21, 2014, 11:12:23 AM
Went to the store yesterday ,not thinking about the impending snow .Holy_Moly ,did I ever do a wrong thing .MLK ( No school ) and snow in the forecast .Kids ,just running amuck in the isles .Can't imagine what it would be like in there today ?  rofla  chrz
Title: Re: Tuesday - Wednesday Winter Storm/Nor'Easter
Post by: IrishAyes on January 21, 2014, 12:26:46 PM
Anybody for a tog trip?  thud
Time to see what Netflix has to offer today.  pcrn

Not looking forward to this storm at all. Thanks for keeping us posted.
Title: Re: Tuesday - Wednesday Winter Storm/Nor'Easter
Post by: Pfishingruven on January 21, 2014, 02:48:43 PM
Anybody for a tog trip?  thud
Time to see what Netflix has to offer today.  pcrn

Not looking forward to this storm at all. Thanks for keeping us posted.

Can't stand the snow, either TT^... pcrn
Title: Re: Tuesday - Wednesday Winter Storm/Nor'Easter
Post by: Hunter 2 on January 21, 2014, 03:54:49 PM
Thanks for the info. chrz