(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201174/CAAG_zpsa89dcb78.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201174/CAAG_zpsa89dcb78.jpg.html)
Another Wintry Weather weekend, however water conditions will see some “green.” Wintry precipitation and/or rain is likely all day Saturday and Sunday during the day. Western and Northern parts of the state will see mostly snow with a wintry mix and even freezing rain. Areas south and west of roughly the I-95 Corridor will see a wintry mix becoming all rain at times. With highs above freezing at times on Saturday and Sunday, precipitation could change back and forth. Areas north and west of the I-95 Corridor will see anywhere from under an inch to 4-6 inches in Northwestern NJ. Areas in Northern and Northwestern NJ could see accumulation of ice, however most of the state could see icing and freezing rain at some point. The bulk of the precipitation will move out later on Sunday and by Sunday Night with some lingering showers remaining. Highs will range from the upper 20’s to low 40’s with overnight lows in the teens to 20’s. Water conditions will be mixed by location. Saturday will start off good deteriorating to cautious to hazardous for the rest of the weekend. Some areas could have pockets of good conditions, however overall conditions will be poor. Strong westerly winds have caused blow out tide conditions around the Delaware and other rivers and bays. Surf and beach conditions will be good to ok. Surf could be rougher and higher up to 6 feet at times. Water temperatures are steady. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 0-3/15.
High pressure over the Ohio Valley builds into the region through Friday. Low pressure over the Lower Mississippi Valley will move into the St. Lawrence Valley on Saturday and Sunday, leading to a strong cold frontal passage late Sunday. An Arctic Cold frontal passage will occur on late Monday. Low pressure may develop just offshore during Tuesday and Wednesday.
Next week starts off dry and still cold. Precipitation chances move in for Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. Things will clear out for Thursday and Friday again. Highs will range from the teens to 30’s with lows in from the negatives to 20’s. Water, surf and beach conditions look to be cautious to hazardous every day except Tuesday and possibly Friday.
Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!
NWS PHI Briefings (http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/briefing/packages/current_briefing.pdf)
Saturday
Sky: Mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 50%-80% chance of snow/wintry mix/rain (mainly snow for the northern half of the state)
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 30’s inland, mid to upper 30’s along the coast, upper 20’s northern areas
Low: Low to mid 30’s inland, mid to upper 30’s along the coast, upper 20’s northern areas
UV Index: 2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:42am
Sunset: 5:38pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingCrescent.jpg)
Sunday
Sky: Mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 40%-80% chance of snow/wintry mix/rain during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 40’s
Low: Upper teens inland, low to mid 20’s along the coast, mid teens northern areas
UV Index: 0-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:41am
Sunset: 5:39pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingCrescent.jpg)
Friday Night Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/0220_zps3feb8add.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/0220_zps3feb8add.gif.html)
Saturday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/0221_zpsb49465ed.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/0221_zpsb49465ed.gif.html)
Sunday Surface Analysis
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/0222_zpsb1592f0e.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/0222_zpsb1592f0e.gif.html)
Friday – Monday Precipitation Total
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/d13_fill_zps75939c9e.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/d13_fill_zps75939c9e.gif.html)
Storm Track
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/lowtrack_circles_zps9f39b3b1.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/lowtrack_circles_zps9f39b3b1.gif.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/lowtrack_ensembles_zps0dc3a4e1.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/lowtrack_ensembles_zps0dc3a4e1.gif.html)
Snowfall Forecast Totals Saturday - Sunday
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/StormTotalSnowRange_zpsc87593c0.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/StormTotalSnowRange_zpsc87593c0.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/StormTotalSnowRange1_zps576236b8.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/StormTotalSnowRange1_zps576236b8.png.html)
Ice Forecast Totals Saturday - Sunday
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/StormTotalIceWebFcst_zps9e1a6be4.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/StormTotalIceWebFcst_zps9e1a6be4.png.html)
Maximum Snowfall
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/SnowAmt90Prcntl1_zps6ef31210.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/SnowAmt90Prcntl1_zps6ef31210.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/SnowAmt90Prcntl_zps2eada735.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/SnowAmt90Prcntl_zps2eada735.png.html)
Minimum Snowfall
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/SnowAmt10Prcntl1_zps82d5542b.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/SnowAmt10Prcntl1_zps82d5542b.png.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/SnowAmt10Prcntl_zps9ce99ba4.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/SnowAmt10Prcntl_zps9ce99ba4.png.html)
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: 30°F
Saturday
Wind: S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 2-5 feet
Saturday Night
Wind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 2-5 feet
Sunday
Wind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 4-6 feet
Sunday Night
Wind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet after midnight, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 4-6 feet
Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides
Sandy Hook Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=02&bday=21&byear=2015&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&Threshold=greaterthanequal&thresholdvalue=&format=Submit&Stationid=8531680)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/SH_zps356a02eb.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/SH_zps356a02eb.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/SH_zps79c8cc9a.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/SH_zps79c8cc9a.gif.html)
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature: 33°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 2-5 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 2-5 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SSE 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 4-6 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: W 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 4-6 feet
Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=02&bday=21&byear=2015&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8517741)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/CI_zps45cab4f6.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/CI_zps45cab4f6.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/CI_zps2af9c933.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/CI_zps2af9c933.gif.html)
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature: 30°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: SW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 4-6 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: W 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 4-6 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=02&bday=21&byear=2015&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8532591)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/MI_zps73c9d761.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/MI_zps73c9d761.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/MI_zpsec9d34c2.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/MI_zpsec9d34c2.gif.html)
Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature: 36°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: SSW 8-11 knots increasing to 12-15 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 21 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind: S 14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind: SW 11-13 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 15-18 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
Barnegat Bay Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=02&bday=21&byear=2015&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8533345)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/BB_zpsf1f74b81.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/BB_zpsf1f74b81.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/BB_zpsf7286c59.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/BB_zpsf7286c59.gif.html)
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature: 35°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSW 1 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: W 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feet
Cape May (Ocean) Tides
Cape May Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=02bday=21&byear=2015&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8535962)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/CM_zpsa082691e.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/CM_zpsa082691e.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/CM_zps3849c69e.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/CM_zps3849c69e.gif.html)
Delaware Bay
Water Temperature: 30°F
Saturday
Wind: S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet, Light freezing spray, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1 foot
Saturday Night
Wind: S 15-20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet, Visibility 1 nm or less
Surf: 1-2 feet
Sunday
Wind: SW 10-15 knots becoming W with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1 foot
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides
Delaware Bay Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=02&bday=21&byear=2015&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&Threshold=greaterthanequal&thresholdvalue=&format=Submit&Stationid=8537121)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/DB_zps2911f9d4.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/DB_zps2911f9d4.jpg.html)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/DB_zps45f65213.gif) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/DB_zps45f65213.gif.html)
Offshore Waters
Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature: 41°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Sunday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 22 to 30 knots
Seas: S 10 feet at 8 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 16 to 22 knots
Seas: S 9 feet at 9 seconds
Sea Surface Temperatures
Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/hycomMeteo1_zps179b3c93.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/hycomMeteo1_zps179b3c93.png.html)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/hycomMeteo11_zps44be9f3f.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/hycomMeteo11_zps44be9f3f.png.html)
Ocean Currents
Surface
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/hycomMeteo12_zpsa60bfbb4.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/hycomMeteo12_zpsa60bfbb4.png.html)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/hycomMeteo13_zps77e1f21f.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/NJSWF%201173/hycomMeteo13_zps77e1f21f.png.html)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!
(http://www.njsaltwaterfisherman.com/buoyweather.jpg) (http://www.buoyweather.com)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/amb_logo_sml_zps23c0f90b.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/amb_logo_sml_zps23c0f90b.png.html)
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)