(http://i.imgur.com/zhguGgT.png)
Another unsettled weekend with rain and thunderstorm chances both days. Saturday will be mostly cloudy then shower and thunderstorm chances will increase into the night. These will be scattered to widely scattered. By Sunday showers and thunderstorms will be widely scattered to more widespread. Thunderstorms could be strong to severe with heavy rains, dangerous lightning, gusty winds, hail and even a tornado threat! Highs will be in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows only in the 60’s. Humidity will be moderate to high. Water conditions will be good on Saturday becoming borderline to cautious on Sunday and by Sunday Night all cautious with gusty winds to 30+ knots and seas to 5 feet inshore. Surf and beach conditions will be good on Saturday and ok to cautious on Sunday. Rip Current Risk will be Low on Saturday and Low to Moderate on Sunday. Water temperatures are steady in the 60’s and 70’s. UV Index will be Low to Very High at 2-10/15.
A weak cold front will arrive in our area during Friday before dissipating. Low pressure is then forecast to track across the eastern Great Lakes into Canada Sunday and strengthen, pulling a cold front across our area late Sunday. A secondary cold front looks to move through late Monday, then high pressure builds in for later Wednesday and Thursday.
Next week looks more settled right now and mostly dry. High temperatures will be in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions look good through Wednesday, then conditions become borderline to cautious.
Bonnie is alive again in the Atlantic as a Tropical Depression. She will remain out to sea and not pose a risk to the area. There is an area of concern in the GOM being watched for development that may track across Florida during the week.
Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!
Saturday
Sky: Mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 20%50% chance of showers and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 80’s inland, mid to upper 70’s at the shore
Low: Low to upper 60’s
UV Index: 3-10/15 (Moderate – Very High)
Sunrise: 5:29am
Sunset: 8:21pm
New Moon: 11:01pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/NewMoon.jpg)
Sunday
Sky: Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms (some severe) during the day, 60%30% chance of showers and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 70’s
Low: Low to upper 60’s
UV Index: 2-7/15 (Low – High)
Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 8:21pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingCrescent.jpg)
Friday Night Surface Analysis
(http://i.imgur.com/bczFiIh.gif)
Saturday Surface Analysis
(http://i.imgur.com/BmjLULF.gif)
Sunday Surface Analysis
(http://i.imgur.com/syWzcWn.gif)
Precipitation Totals
(http://i.imgur.com/fqdxpsb.gif)
Saturday & Sunday Severe Weather
(http://i.imgur.com/sjYtL7g.gif)
(http://i.imgur.com/URaiTIZ.gif)
(http://i.imgur.com/7ZWd8Zp.png)
Atlantic Tropics – TD Bonnie & Area of Invest GOM
(http://i.imgur.com/u7EroNy.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/mRg4Scm.gif)
(http://i.imgur.com/hyO9TFv.png)
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: 64°F
Saturday
Winds: S 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Saturday Night
Winds: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sunday
Wind: SE 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Sunday Night
Wind: SW 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides
Sandy Hook Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=06&bday=04&byear=2016&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&Threshold=greaterthanequal&thresholdvalue=&format=Submit&Stationid=8531680)
(http://i.imgur.com/u2mbdCW.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/vpgtLrD.png)
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature: 64°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: S 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SE 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=06&bday=04&byear=2016&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8517741)
(http://i.imgur.com/zMGEolU.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/A8ZhkIy.png)
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature: 61°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WNW 3 to 4 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 11 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=06&bday=04&byear=2016&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8532591)
(http://i.imgur.com/zK2FWZW.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/BF3VGpR.png)
Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature: 62°F-68°F
Saturdayg7
Wind: Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming SSE 5-7 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind: S 8 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind: S 8-13 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind: SSW 12 knots becoming WSW after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
Barnegat Bay Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=06&bday=04&byear=2016&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8533345)
(http://i.imgur.com/OqIAtVn.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/U33aLCy.png)
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature: 66°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: E 2 to 3 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: S 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Cape May (Ocean) Tides
Cape May Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=06&bday=04&2byear=2016&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8535962)
(http://i.imgur.com/aB3D8Bx.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/nXZK2Jq.png)
Delaware Bay
Water Temperature: 67°F-70°F
Saturday
Wind: SE 5 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Saturday Night
Wind: SE 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Sunday
Wind: S 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides
Delaware Bay Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=06&bday=04&byear=2016&timelength=daily&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&Threshold=greaterthanequal&thresholdvalue=&format=Submit&Stationid=8537121)
(http://i.imgur.com/mXyrmgw.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/L2XX6Yo.png)
Offshore Waters
Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature: 62°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NW 3 to 3 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 3 to 4 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Sunday Morning
Winds: SE 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSE 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Sea Surface Temperatures
Surface
(http://i.imgur.com/4BUjPSy.png)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i.imgur.com/p1C41BR.png)
Ocean Currents
Surface
(http://i.imgur.com/sTqqWcr.png)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i.imgur.com/BHLAAz0.png)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!
(http://www.njsaltwaterfisherman.com/buoyweather.jpg) (http://www.buoyweather.com)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/amb_logo_sml_zps23c0f90b.png) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/amb_logo_sml_zps23c0f90b.png.html)
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 2200 hrs for ALL of NJ, including all Marine Zones!
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe weather, including possible tornadoes.
Please be aware of changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving alerts. Storms are forming to the south and west of here and will be moving from the south- southwest to the north-northeast!
NWS SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch #236 (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0236.html)
(http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0236_radar.gif)
(http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0236_overview_wou.gif)