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NJ Saltwater Fisherman => Weather and Hurricane Info => Topic started by: Pfishingruven on January 01, 2017, 11:56:49 PM

Title: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Jan 2-6, 2017
Post by: Pfishingruven on January 01, 2017, 11:56:49 PM
(http://i.imgur.com/XcRegLe.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/7AApY39.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/bzoDKNV.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/qDEcKBk.png)



Another unsettled week with mostly cautious water conditions. Monday will see some icing conditions change over to a wintry mix and then rain. Most of the state is under a freezing rain advisory for tomorrow, so be very cautious when stepping out the door in the morning or driving. Tuesday will have rain chances followed by showers on Saturday. Snow chances will be possible on Thursday Night and Friday Day. Right now, this looks like just showers, but I will be keeping an eye on anything more significant. Highs will range from the 40’s and 50’s down into the 30’s with overnight lows from the teens to 30’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious most of the week with Small Craft Advisories and Gale Warnings farther offshore. Water temperatures are steady. UV Index will be Low at 0-2/15.

High pressure over our area will build into New England tonight. Low pressure developing near the Virginia Capes on Monday will weaken toward Cape Cod Tuesday, as another low pressure system over the Ohio Valley heads to the Delmarva. A cold front will slide through our region Wednesday. Another area of low pressure will form off the mid Atlantic coast late Thursday or Friday to be followed by high pressure building slowly eastward into our area next weekend.



The weekend looks dry right now, but cold. Highs only in the 20’s and 30’s with overnight lows in the single digits and teens. Water, surf, and beach conditions will be borderline on Saturday and cautious Sunday.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  80%-100% chance of rain/wintry mix/ice all day (wintry mix to ice for northern areas during the day)
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 40’s with mid 50’’s northern areas
Low:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s inland, mid 40’s at the shore, low 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:42pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingCrescent.jpg)

Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy, Patchy fog
Precipitation:  80%-90% chance of rain during the day, 60%-80% chance of rain at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s with mid to upper 30’s for northern areas
Low:   Low 40’s inland and at the shore, low to mid 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:43pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingCrescent.jpg)

Wednesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of showers at night (mainly northern areas)
Temperatures
High:   Mid 40’s to low 50’s
Low:   Low to mid 20’s inland, upper 20’s at the shore
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:44pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingCrescent.jpg)

Thursday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-40% chance of snow at night
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 30’s
Low:   Low 20’s inland, mid to upper 20’s at the shore
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)

Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:45pm
First Qtr: 2:48pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/FirstQuarter.jpg)

Friday
Sky:   Partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30% chance of snow during the day
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 30’s
Low:   Upper teens to low 20’s inland, low to mid 20’s at the shore, mid teens for northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:46pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaxingGibbous.jpg)

Monday Surface Analysis

(http://i.imgur.com/aSlvFtT.gif)

Tuesday Surface Analysis

(http://i.imgur.com/q4ywjQC.gif)

Wednesday Surface Analysis

(http://i.imgur.com/QSL1BML.gif)

Thursday Surface Analysis

(http://i.imgur.com/QqWZc6c.gif)

Friday Surface

(http://i.imgur.com/9jkecAf.gif)

Total Precipitation Monday - Friday

(http://i.imgur.com/oCJcES4.gif)

Total Precipitation Monday - Monday

(http://i.imgur.com/x5nJkO2.gif)

Total Ice for Monday

(http://i.imgur.com/Fr08SMG.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/XOQnOcy.png)

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface

(http://i.imgur.com/jFCv30Z.png)

20 Meters (≈65 feet)

(http://i.imgur.com/2j2xroY.png)

NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/sst/Ncom_sst_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/currents/Ncom_Curr_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)

Ocean Currents

Surface

(http://i.imgur.com/GW0Tutt.png)

20 Meters (≈65 feet)

(http://i.imgur.com/fTiYrZH.png)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

 (http://www.njsaltwaterfisherman.com/buoyweather.jpg) (http://www.buoyweather.com)

(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/WRN_Ambassador_logo_zps6058c93c.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/WRN_Ambassador_logo_zps6058c93c.jpg.html)


*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
Title: Re: Coastal Storm/Snow Thursday Night/Friday
Post by: Pfishingruven on January 04, 2017, 07:50:37 PM
Well, Thursday's and Friday's snow showers will now be accumulating snow, mainly for the coast. This is going to be a coastal storm, however it looks to stay well off the coast and only bring precipitation to the area. This Nor'Easter will bring 2-4 inches of snow to coastal areas and 1-3 inches across the rest of the state. A more westerly track (closer to the coast) will bring more snow statewide and could also bring gustier winds and minor coastal flooding. Farther east and we get even less effects. Snow will start late on Thursday Night and continue into Friday Morning, making Friday's Morning commute messy. Overall, not a big storm, but definitely enough to be inconvenient.

Be safe!

Surface Analysis for Thursday and Friday

(http://i.imgur.com/atcJwa9.gif)
(http://i.imgur.com/hEFwF8g.gif)

Storm Tracks

(http://i.imgur.com/ZZedntG.gif)
(http://i.imgur.com/c04TP68.gif)

Snowfall Totals

(http://i.imgur.com/CM3BWh0.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/KZPthJf.png)

Snowfall Minimums

(http://i.imgur.com/ahXELmD.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/gQP0Ykl.png)

Snowfall Maximums

(http://i.imgur.com/vklRdIM.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/4GOIZy8.png)