(http://i.imgur.com/tYv5LXP.png)
Another mixed bag of weather with mostly cautious water conditions for the week. Coming off of a very mild weekend with way above normal temperatures, the first week of February will be mild to start and then colder air moves in for the mid to end of the week. The weekend was unseasonably warm and that warmer air will hang around for Monday and Wednesday. Tuesday, Thursday, and Friday will see average temperatures again. Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday will have chances of showers and rain and even some sleet or wintry mix across northern areas. Scattered showers are possible on Monday with chances increasing into Monday Night. Tuesday’s shower chances will come mainly at night, with isolated to scattered showers. Tuesday Night will have a wintry mix or sleet is possible too, mainly across northern areas. Wednesday will have widespread rain, which will be heavy at times. Rain will continue into the overnight becoming less likely throughout the night. Thursday and Friday will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds. Highs on Monday will be in the 50’s with 20’s and 30’s overnight. Tuesday will have highs back into the 40’s with overnight lows in the 30’s and 40’s. Wednesday will have highs in the 50’s to 60’s with overnight lows in the 30’s and 40’s. Thursday and Friday will have highs in the 40’s with overnight lows back in the 20’s and 30’s. Water conditions will be mostly cautious with some hazardous conditions for ocean waters. Winds will gust to 30 knots by midweek and seas will push 6-7 feet inshore and 12 feet midshore to offshore. Ocean waters towards the end of the week will be borderline to cautious due to seas, as winds will only be in the 10-15 knot range. Rivers and bays will have slightly better conditions with good to borderline conditions on Monday, Tuesday, Thursday, and Friday. Wednesday will have cautious conditions. Fog is possible through midweek. Surf conditions will be OK to cautious with seas averaging 3-5 most of the week. Winds will be gusty through Wednesday with gusts to 30 knots. Wednesday will have 3-6 foot surf and the end of the week will have 1-3 and 2-4 foot surf. Beach conditions may still be poor for many areas, due to the Nor’Easter. Beach replenishment projects are underway, but many areas could still have hazardous conditions. Conditions around the breakers and on the sandbars may be changed and unsteady as well. The structure of the surf zone was greatly changed by the storm. Water temperatures are in the 40’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 0-3/15.
Low pressure located over the Great Lakes on Sunday will move northeastward into Eastern Canada. It is forecast to pull a cold front through the region on Monday with high pressure expected for Tuesday. Another stronger low is anticipated to follow a similar track during the midweek period. It should pull a warm front through the region early on Wednesday followed by a cold front on Wednesday Night. The cold front is forecast to move off the coast slowly with weak areas of low pressure riding along it. High pressure is expected to build into the region from the west late in the week. There is the potential that low pressure will develop off the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic Coasts next weekend.
The weekend is a bit uncertain at this point. There is potential for another coastal storm, however if it develops and what it will bring is very uncertain. Right now, as it stands, Saturday will be dry and Sunday will have chances of showers. Highs will be in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s with overnight lows in the 20’s and 30’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious on Saturday and cautious on Sunday.
Have a great week and thanks for reading!
Monday
Sky: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-50% chance of showers all day (greatest chances are at night)
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 50’s with low 50’s northern areas
Low: Low 30’s inland, mid to upper 30’s at the shore, mid 20’s northern areas
UV Index: 1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:06am
Sunset: 5:14pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningCrescent.jpg)
Tuesday
Sky: Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy, Patchy fog at night
Precipitation: 20%-60% chance of rain/sleet at night
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 40’s
Low: Upper 30’s to low 40’s with low to mid 30’s northern areas
UV Index: 2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:05am
Sunset: 5:15pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningCrescent.jpg)
Wednesday
Sky: Mostly cloudy to cloudy, Fog during the day
Precipitation: 90% chance of rain during the day, 0%-50% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High: Mid 50’s to low 60’s
Low: Upper 30’s to low 40’s with low to mid 30’s northern areas
UV Index: 0-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:04am
Sunset: 5:16pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningCrescent.jpg)
Thursday
Sky: Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 40’s with low 40’s northern areas
Low: mid 20’s to low 30’s
UV Index: 2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:03am
Sunset: 5:18pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningCrescent.jpg)
Friday
Sky: Mostly sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 30’s to low 40’s
Low: Upper 20’s to low 30’s with low 20’s northern areas
UV Index: 2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:02am
Sunset: 5:19pm
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%20WX%20OUTLOOKS/WaningCrescent.jpg)
Monday Surface Analysis
(http://i.imgur.com/wgaokXR.gif)
Tuesday Surface Analysis
(http://i.imgur.com/v6QyQzl.gif)
Wednesday Surface Analysis
(http://i.imgur.com/x5q1eRT.gif)
Thursday Surface Analysis
(http://i.imgur.com/S6GKu8w.gif)
Friday Surface
(http://i.imgur.com/LMhO89o.gif)
Total Precipitation Monday - Friday
(http://i.imgur.com/oO6xgrR.gif)
Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday
(http://i.imgur.com/v3hkyTe.gif)
Tuesday Severe Weather
(http://i.imgur.com/0fHRgHb.gif)
(http://i.imgur.com/UKIOnXZ.png)
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: 36°F
Monday
Wind: SW 10 knots becoming NW in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less, Patchy fog in the morning, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 3-5 feet
Monday Night
Wind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 3-5 feet
Tuesday
Wind: NE 5-10 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind: SE 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: SE 10-15 knots becoming S 15-20 in the afternoon with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 3-6 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming W 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 3-6 feet
Thursday
Wind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 3-5 feet
Thursday Night
Wind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 3-5 feet
Friday
Wind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Friday Night
Wind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
Sandy Hook Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=02&bday=01&byear=2016&timelength=weekly&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&Threshold=greaterthanequal&thresholdvalue=&format=Submit&Stationid=8531680)
(http://i.imgur.com/Cj5svyI.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/TkNLfY4.png)
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature: 36°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NE 10 to 13 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 5 to 6 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 20 to 28 knots
Seas: SSE 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=02&bday=01&byear=2016&timelength=weekly&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8517741)
(http://i.imgur.com/RSVFH2Y.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/9zQ3UvS.png)
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature: 43°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 25 to 34 knots
Seas: SSE 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 17 to 23 knots
Seas: NE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 14 to 18 knots
Seas: ENE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=02&bday=01&byear=2016&timelength=weekly&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8532591)
(http://i.imgur.com/SEwtpLg.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/klZWfkw.png)
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature: 40°F
Monday
Wind: SW 8-11 knots becoming WNW in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind: NW 6-8 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Tuesday
Wind: NNE 9 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind: E 7-11 knots becoming SSE after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet, Patchy fog (after 1AM)
Surf: 1 foot
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: S 13-16 knots becoming S 17-20 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 2 feet, Patchy fog before noon
Surf: 1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind: SW 10-13 knots becoming WNW after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday
Wind: NNW 8-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Thursday Night
Wind: N 7-12 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday
Wind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
Barnegat Bay Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=02&bday=01&byear=2016&timelength=weekly&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8533345)
(http://i.imgur.com/oMc9Np6.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/ia2xf06.png)
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature: 43°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NE 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ENE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 10 to 13 knots
Seas: ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: S 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 18 to 25 knots
Seas: NE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 15 to 21 knots
Seas: ENE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Cape May (Ocean) Tides
Cape May Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=02&bday=01&byear=2016&timelength=weekly&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&format=Submit&Stationid=8535962)
(http://i.imgur.com/rYkC4eL.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/WqELweT.png)
Delaware Bay
Water Temperature: 39°F
Monday
Wind: SW 10 knots becoming NW late
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Monday Night
Wind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday
Wind: E 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: E 5-10 knots becoming becoming SE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet, Patchy fog after midnight, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: S 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet, Patchy fog in the morning, Visibility 1 nm or less, then 1-3 nm in the afternoon
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind: W 10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday
Winds: NW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Winds: N 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday[/]
Wind: N 15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind: N 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides
Delaware River Tides (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions/viewDailyPredictions.jsp?bmon=02&bday=01&byear=2016&timelength=weekly&timeZone=2&dataUnits=1&datum=MLLW&timeUnits=2&interval=highlow&Threshold=greaterthanequal&thresholdvalue=&format=Submit&Stationid=8537121)
(http://i.imgur.com/ls0nk1N.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/E3WrZo7.png)
Offshore Waters
Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature: 43°F-51°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 19 to 25 knots
Seas: S 7 feet at 8 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: S 7 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NE 13 to 18 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 24 to 33 knots
Seas: S 7 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: S 6 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 18 to 24 knots
Seas: NE 5 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 17 to 23 knots
Seas: NE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Sea Surface Temperatures
Surface
(http://i.imgur.com/JvKrd1e.png)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i.imgur.com/DwypEPK.png)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/sst/Ncom_sst_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/NCOM/currents/Ncom_Curr_UseastNorth_03_Day_flash.shtml)
Ocean Currents
Surface
(http://i.imgur.com/VF5Km1P.png)
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
(http://i.imgur.com/B9GNv4z.png)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!
(http://www.njsaltwaterfisherman.com/buoyweather.jpg) (http://www.buoyweather.com)
(http://i524.photobucket.com/albums/cc326/mrt031079/NJSWF%201/WRN_Ambassador_logo_zps6058c93c.jpg) (http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/WRN_Ambassador_logo_zps6058c93c.jpg.html)
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)