NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Oct 15-19, 2012

[Pfishingruven]

The week will start off with a chance of rain or even thunderstorms followed by sunny weather for Tuesday through Thursday.  Rain chances will return Thursday Night and Friday and likely through the weekend.  High temperatures will be in the 60's and 70's with overnight lows down into the 40's and 50's.  Small Craft Advisories will likely continue through Tuesday, with winds gusts over 25 knots and seas around 5 feet.  Wednesday will see less wind and calmer seas, however the long period swell effects from Tropical Storm Rafael may start showing in the area.  Winds will increase again, Thursday Night into Friday with the possibility of Small Craft Advisories again.  Water conditions will vary from location to location and day by day.  These longer forecasts will likely change.  There are several factors this week affecting the Marine Forecast including timing on fronts and low pressure systems and the timing and track of Rafael.  Surf conditions will see 1-2 foot waves most of the week with 2-3 and 3-4 foot waves later on Thursday into Friday.

Tropical Storm Rafael, which was Invest 98L is in the Atlantic Ocean 645 miles south of Bermuda.  Winds are sustained at 70 mph with a Central Pressure of 985 mb.  Rafael is expected to strengthen some, to 80 mph sustained winds.  Rafael will likely impact Bermuda, but is expected to stay well off the east coast.  However, a long period swell is expected from Rafael to impact our immediate area later Tuesday through Tursday.

A cold front extending from low pressure will move into and cross the area late Monday Afternoon.  High pressure will build in behind the front for Tuesday and Wednesday before moving offshore on Thursday.  A strong low pressure system will bring a warm front through the region Thursday Night into Friday, followed by a cold front late Friday into Saturday.

Monday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy   
Precipitation:  80% (day) chance of showers after 2pm& 80% (night) chance showers, upwards of an inch of rain today
High:  Low 70's
Low:  Upper 40’s
Sunrise: 7:07am
Sunset: 6:17pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-4/10
Weather2Hunt.com-40/50

Tuesday
Sky:  Sunny & mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Low to mid 60’s
Low:  Low to mid 40’s
Sunrise: 7:08am
Sunset: 6:16pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-7/10
Weather2Hunt.com-40/50

Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  30% chance all day of showers
Temperatures
High:  Mid to upper 60’s
Low:  Upper 40’s
Sunrise: 7:09am
Sunset: 6:15pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-5/10
Weather2Hunt.com-27/50

Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% (day) to slight chance, 40% (night) chance of showers
Temperatures
High:  Low 70’s
Low:  Low 50’s
Sunrise: 7:10am
Sunset: 6:13pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-6/10
Weather2Hunt.com-37/50

Friday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  50% chance of rain (this could increase as the week progresses)
Temperatures
High:  Low 70's
Low:  Low 40’s
Sunrise: 7:11am
Sunset: 6:12pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- 3/10
Weather2Hunt.com- 40/5

Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis


Friday Surface Analysis



Total Accumulation of Rain from Sunday – Friday



NHC Tropics Satellite



NHC Rafael Track



Global Model Wave Period Tuesday Night 11 PM



Global Model Wave Height Tuesday Night 11 PM



Global Model Period Wednesday Night 11 PM



Global Model Wave Height Wednesday Night 11 PM



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  61F
Monday Morning
Wind: 
Seas:
Monday  Afternoon
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots gusts to 25 knots becoming W 5-10 knots then NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet again after midnight, visibility 1-3 nm
Tuesday Morning
Wind:  NW 15-20 gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind:  NW 15-20 gusts to 25 knots becoming NW 10-15 with gusts to 20 knots then 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2 feet diminishing to 1 foot or less after midnight
Wednesday Morning
Wind:  W 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Wed Afternoon
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming 5-10 knots at night
Seas:  1 foot or less
Thursday Morning
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Friday Morning
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Friday Afternoon
Wind:  S 10-15
Seas:  1 foot or less

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
                             


Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  63F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 5 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 6 sec.
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 sec.
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 14 sec..
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 4 to 6 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: SSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 16 to 21 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 13 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 11 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 11 sec.

Manasquan Inlet Tides



Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  62F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 5 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 5 sec.
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 18 to 25 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 10 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 13 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: SSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 12 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: SW 5 to 6 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 11 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 10 sec.

Cape May (Ocean) Tides



Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  70F
Monday Morning
Wind: 
Seas:
Monday Afternoon
Wind:  SW 15-20 knots diminishing 10-15 knots at night, gusts to 25 knots becoming NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet becoming 2-4 feet after midnight, visibility 1-3 nm
Tuesday Morning
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots diminishing to NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots at night then 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet becoming 2-3 feet at night
Wednesday Morning
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Wed Afternoon
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming S 5-10 knots at
Seas:  2-3 feet becoming 2-4 at night
Thursday Morning
Wind: SE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Thursday Afternoon
Wind:  SE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Friday Morning
Wind:  SE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Friday Afternoon
Wind:  SE 10-15 knots becoming S after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet, visibility 1-3 nm

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides



Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature: 63F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 18 to 24 knots
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 5 sec.
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 6 sec.
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: WNW 6 feet at 5 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas: SE 6 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SE 5 feet at 13 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SE 6 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SE 6 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: ESE 6 feet at 12 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: S 8 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 6 feet at 11 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 10 sec.



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Hotrod]

Take care of yourself Matt..   Hope you feel better

[Still Running]

 

[fluke - u]

 ...Get well....

[IKAT]

  Take care of yourself--And Thank you for all of your expert info   

[fellinger]

You're not on a boat so eat some soup.

[Scott G.]

 

[Bucktail]

Feel better Matt.

[Scott G.]

 

[Pfishingruven]

Thank you all!  I am feeling a little better today.

The week is all updated.  Thursday and Friday have a chance of changing due to timing of fronts and low pressure.

Have a great week.

Matt

[Hunter 2]

Thanks,   Gonna try to head out the evening

[Pfishingruven]

A Small Craft Advisory will be in effect from 6 PM this evening through 4 AM Friday Morning and includes all NJ Coastal Waters including Delaware Bay.  Raritan Bay/New York Harbor is NOT included in this Advisory.

Small Craft Advisory
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
358 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

ANZ430-431-182100-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0095.121018T2200Z-121019T0800Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
358 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM 600 PM THIS EVENING UNTIL 400
AM FRIDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
  KNOTS.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT DURING THE ADVISORY PERIOD.

&&

$$

IOVINO
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
358 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

ANZ450>455-182100-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-121018T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0095.121018T2200Z-121020T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
358 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM 600 PM THIS EVENING UNTIL 800
PM FRIDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
  KNOTS. SOUTH AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS ON FRIDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
  KNOTS.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET FROM TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT DURING THE ADVISORY PERIOD.

&&

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
352 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452>455-181915-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
352 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4
FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE EVENING... THEN SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED TSTMS AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.FRI...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE MORNING.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
3 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SAT...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
3 TO 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.MON...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
352 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ430-181915-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
352 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE EVENING... THEN SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED TSTMS AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.FRI...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 1 TO
2 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.SAT...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING W 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO
2 FT.
.MON...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
352 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-181915-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
352 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO
5 FT...BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED TSTMS AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.FRI...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO
7 FT. SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM IN THE MORNING.
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SAT...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
3 TO 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.MON...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
352 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ431-181915-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
352 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE EVENING... THEN SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED TSTMS AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.FRI...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
2 TO 3 FT.
.SAT...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
1 TO 2 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS
1 TO 2 FT.
.MON...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$

[Pfishingruven]

There is currently a Small Craft Advisory for all NJ Coastal Waters including Raritan Bay/New York Harbor until 6 PM Saturday.

There is a Coastal Flood Advisory for areas around New York Harbor and Newark Bay for the possibility of tidal flooding due to higher than usual lunar tides.

There is also a Coastal Flood Statement for coastal areas of Monmouth, Ocean, Cumberland, Atlantic, Cape May and Burlington, Salem, Gloucester & Camden Counties for the possibility of minor tidal flooding ahead of a "king" tide.

Small Craft Advisory
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
358 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

ANZ450>455-192100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-121020T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
358 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WINDS....SOUTH AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY. SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15
  KNOTS TONIGHT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS. WEST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS
  ON SATURDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

IOVINO
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
354 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452>455-191915-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
354 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4
TO 7 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SAT...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
3 TO 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.MON...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
354 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-191915-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
354 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5
TO 7 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO
7 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO
5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
4 TO 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
AROUND 3 FT.
.MON...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING W 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT.
.TUE...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING W 5 TO 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$

Coastal Flood Advisory
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
113 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING OF VULNERABLE COASTAL AREAS EXPECTED
TODAY...

NJZ006-NYZ072-074-075-178-179-191700-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0012.121019T1400Z-121019T1700Z/
HUDSON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
113 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS
MORNING TO 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...VULNERABLE COASTAL AREAS ALONG NEW YORK HARBOR...
  NEWARK BAY AND KEARNEY MARSH...AND THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF
  LONG ISLAND AND NEW YORK CITY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING INTO EARLY
  THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...MAINLY MINOR ROADWAY AND BASEMENT FLOODING AND MINOR
  OVERLAND INUNDATION IS EXPECTED IN VULNERABLE COASTAL AREAS
  FRIDAY MORNING INTO EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALIZED AREAS
  MAY SEE MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IF EXPECTED HEAVY RAINS
  COINCIDE WITH THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...NY HARBOR WATER LEVELS FOR THIS MORNING INTO EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY..
...................................(MLLW)....................

THE BATTERY NYC....1147 AM...........6.8...........MINOR.....
BERGEN POINT NY....1123 AM...........7.3...........MINOR.....


...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR THIS MORNING INTO EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY..
.................................(MLLW/NGVD).................

JAMAICA BAY NY......1202 PM........7.9/5.7.........MINOR.....
ROCKAWAY INLET NY...1122 AM........7.6/5.6.........MINOR.....
E ROCKAWAY INLET NY.1116 AM........6.4/4.9.........MINOR.....
FREEPORT GAUGE NY...1200 PM........5.6/4.8.........MINOR.....
POINT LOOKOUT NY....1103 AM........6.2/5.1.........MINOR.....
LINDENHURST NY......143 PM.........2.8/3.0.........NONE......

$$

Coastal Flood Statement
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
415 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-191800-
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.S.0026.121019T1400Z-121019T1800Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
415 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...SPOTTY MINOR TIDAL FLOODING TODAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE, AND ALONG
  DELAWARE BAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...SPOTTY MINOR FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED AROUND
  THE TIME OF THE LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE ON THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE OCEANFRONT
  OCCURS BETWEEN 1030 AM AND 1130 AM. HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS,
  ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND ALONG RARITAN BAY OCCURS LATER THAN THE
  HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT.

* IMPACTS...SHALLOW WATER MAY ENCROACH ON THE AREA ROADWAYS THAT
  ARE USUALLY MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO TIDAL FLOODING.

$$
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
415 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-192200-
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.S.0026.121019T1800Z-121019T2200Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
415 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...SPOTTY MINOR TIDAL FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATION...THE TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER AND ITS TIDAL TRIBUTARIES.

* COASTAL FLOODING...SPOTTY MINOR FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED AROUND
  THE TIME OF THIS AFTERNOON`S HIGH TIDE.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE WORKS ITS WAY UP THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER
  BETWEEN ABOUT 200 PM AND 600 PM.

* IMPACTS...SHALLOW WATER MAY ENCROACH ON THE AREA ROADWAYS THAT
  ARE USUALLY MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO TIDAL FLOODING.

$$

IOVINO

[Pfishingruven]

Just a heads up, there is a line of storms in Eastern PA right now that will be approaching the area.  These are strong to severe thunderstorms and have a history of producing tornado warnings.  There are no active Watches and probably will not be.  The line could very well fall apart as it moves northeastward, but just be aware these storms have been causing some significant damage.

[Still Running]

  thanks Matt

[IrishAyes]

I just received a notification on my cell phone that the NWS issued a tornado warning for Berks, PA.