NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Jan 21-25, 2013

[Pfishingruven]

This week is going to be cold with a chance of rain/snow on Monday, Thursday Night & Friday.  Monday into Tuesday will bring a small, weaker Winter Storm with 1-2 inches possible for Northern/Northwestern NJ, with less than an inch to other areas, even rain along the coast and in Southern NJ.  The next Winter Storm potential is Thursday into Friday.  This could shape up to be a little stronger.  I will keep you updated during the week on this storm.  The area will see the lowest temperatures of the season, with possible records being broken.  High temperatures will only make it into the mid to high 20's most of the week with 30's on Monday, Thursday & Friday.  Lows will get down into the teens and even single digits for more interior locations.  Winds will be brisk all week, making wind chills into the negatives.  Water conditions will vary throughout the week by location.  Monday and Thursday are being rated good right now for almost all locations.  This is if the waters lay down from Sunday's winds for Monday and if the high moves out on time on Thursday.  Small Craft Advisories and even Gale Warnings are probable Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday with winds to 40+ knots and seas to 5 feet inshore and 9 feet midshore.  As always, with this time of the year, if you are looking to go out, recheck the forecasts within 8-12 hours and then again before you leave.  Surf conditions will be moderate if you are ok with gusty west north westerly winds.  Wave heights will be 0-2 feet all week with 1-2 feet on Friday.

High pressure will dominate the area most of the week.  A secondary cold front will move through the area on Monday Evening bringing the coldest air mass to the region so far this Winter.  High pressure will continue through Friday when low pressure from the west will begin to influence the region.

Monday

Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  40% chance of rain/snow during the day and night, 1-2 inches of snow possible for Northern NJ
High:  Upper 30's
Low:  Low 20's
Sunrise: 7:13am
Sunset: 5:02pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt.com- 40/50

Tuesday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Mid to upper 20's
Low:  Low teens
Sunrise: 7:13am
Sunset: 5:03pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt.com- 33/50

Wednesday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Mid to upper 20's
Low:  Mid teens
Sunrise: 7:12am
Sunset: 5:04pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt.com- 37/50

Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance during the day, 30% chance of rain/snow at night
Temperatures
High:  Low 30’s
Low:  Low 20's
Sunrise: 7:11am
Sunset: 5:05pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt.com- 43/50

Friday
Sky:  Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  40% chance of rain/snow day and night
Temperatures
High:  Upper 30's
Low:  Mid 20's
Sunrise: 7:11am
Sunset: 5:06pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt-  40/50

Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Saturday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  Unavailable (Primary and Backup Buoys damaged by Sandy)
Monday Morning
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Monday  Afternoon
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming S 5-10 knots at night then W 15-20 with gusts to 30 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less becoming 1-2 feet after midnight
Tuesday Morning
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots becoming W 15-20 knots at night then diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Wed Afternoon
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to NW 5-10 knots at night
Seas:  1-2 feet becoming 1 foot or less at night
Thursday Morning
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Thursday Afternoon
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming W in the evening then S 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less, visibility 1-3 nm at night
Friday Morning
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, visibility 1-3 nm
Friday Afternoon
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, visibility 1-3 nm

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
                             



Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  45F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 6 to 9 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 sec.
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 25 knots
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 3 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 3 sec.
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 3 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 2 to 3 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 sec.
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 18 to 24 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 7 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 8 sec.

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  44F
Monday Morning
Winds: NW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: NNW 1 feet at 3 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 3 to 4 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 sec.
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 4 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 22 to 30 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 4 sec.
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: NW 3 feet at 4 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 4 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 sec.
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 26 to 35 knots
Seas: S 7 feet at 7 sec.
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 8 sec.

Cape May (Ocean) Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  41F
Monday Morning
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Monday Afternoon
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming SW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots at night then NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet becoming 2-4 feet at night
Tuesday Morning
Wind:   NW 25-30 knots with gusts to 40 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind:   NW 25-30 knots with gusts to 40 knots becoming NW 20-25 knots at night then W 15-20 knots after midnight with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet becoming 2-4 feet at night
Wednesday Morning
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet
Wed Afternoon
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots becoming W at night with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots diminishing 5-10 knots at night becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Wind:  E 10-15 knots becoming NW at night
Seas:  2-4 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  46F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 9 to 13 knots
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 4 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 8 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 sec.
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 24 to 32 knots
Seas: WNW 7 feet at 6 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: WNW 7 feet at 6 sec.
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 5 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 22 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 5 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 12 to 17 knots
Seas: W 3 feet at 4 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 sec.
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 26 to 35 knots
Seas: SW 9 feet at 7 sec.
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY   
Winds: W 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SSW 9 feet at 9 sec.

Sea Surface Temperatures



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Reel McCoy]

Thanks, P-Man 

[Scott G.]

  Thanks 

[Pfishingruven]

The NWS PHI just released a Weather Briefing for the potential Winter Storm on late Thursday/Friday.  No Snowfall Forecasts yet.  I will update through the week.

 http://t.co/NR5S4RV4

[Pfishingruven]

There is going to be some type of Winter Storm for most of the state.  Northern NJ could see 1-2 inches while Central and Southern areas could see 2-4 inches.  Immediate Coastal Areas could see locally more than 4 inches as well.  Right now, it does not look like anything more than that.  A weak to moderate snow event starting mid day Friday and out of here by Friday Night.  Even tonight is too early to call anything more.

The NWS PHI has put out another briefing as well.

NWS PHI Briefing #2 Friday Winter Storm

[Pfishingruven]

The NWS PHI/Mount Holly has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Salem, Gloucester, Camden, Burlington, Ocean, Cumberland, Cape May & Atlantic Counties.  A weak Winter Storm (low pressure) coming out of the Great Lakes will not completely phase (combine) with a low coming out of the south.  Most areas of NJ will see 1-2 inches of snow with locally up to 3 inches.  Some southern and southwestern areas could see more of 2-4 inches.  This is very dependent on track and timing.  This storm show take place around evening time and continue through the early morning, mainly a 6-8 hour event with mostly light snow conditions.  The air is very dry, with not much moisture in it above the surface so some places may see an even later start with snowfall.  Snow will be very powdery, light and "dry" due to the very cold air in place.  What would equate to less than a 1/4 inch of rain, could easily produce 1-3 inches of snow with the temperatures across the area.  There is the possibility of some blowing snow with reduced visibility due to the winds and type of snow.  Obviously icing and icy road conditions is a concern as well, with high temps not making it above the freezing mark!

This should be a relatively quick storm with not too many concerns.  Rush hour commute home tomorrow night could be impacted so plan accordingly and most of all be SAFE!

Winter Weather Advisory
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
343 PM EST THU JAN 24 2013

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016>027-PAZ070-071-102-104-
106-250900-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0004.130125T2100Z-130126T0600Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...
MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...
WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...
MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
343 PM EST THU JAN 24 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO
1 AM EST SATURDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW WITH LOCALLY 3 INCHES.

* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM WEST
  TO EAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BY EARLY EVENING, IT SHOULD BE SNOWING
  ACROSS ALL AREAS. THE SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF AROUND
  MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...GIVEN THE CONTINUATION OF VERY COLD CONDITIONS ACROSS
  THE ENTIRE AREA, THE SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE IMMEDIATELY. THE START
  TIME OF THE SNOW SHOULD AFFECT THE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
  COMMUTE. UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED,
  RESULTING IN AREAS OF HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 20S.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS ONE MILE AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES, AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

WHILE THE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ON THE LIGHTER SIDE,
THE COMBINATION OF THE VERY COLD CONDITIONS, FALLING SNOW AND
TIMING SHOULD HAVE A GREATER IMPACT ON THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING COMMUTE. DRIVE AT A SLOWER SPEED AND USE EXTRA CAUTION,
ESPECIALLY WHEN TRAVELING ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED SURFACES
AS THEY TEND TO BECOME EVEN MORE SLIPPERY.

&&

$$

GORSE/O`HARA

Snowfall Totals for Friday