Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Memorial Day Weekend Edition  (Read 5616 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Here is the Outlook for Memorial Day Weekend, Saturday through Monday.  Unfortunately, the weather pattern will be very unsettled and water conditions could be worse than the weather.  Saturday into Saturday Night will bring the greatest chances of rain, showers and even a thunderstorm.  This should be mostly scattered to isolated showers.  Any rain and clouds will slowly clear out as the day progresses.  Sunday and Monday will be clear with more sun than clouds.  High temperatures will be in the low 60's on Saturday and then low to mid 70's on Sunday and Monday.  Overnight lows will dip down into the upper 40's again and low 50's.  Water conditions will vary by day and location.  In general, though, Saturday and Sunday will have cautious to hazardous conditions with Small Craft Advisories from a strong northwesterly flow.  Winds will be in the 20-25 knot range with gusts over 35 knots.  Bays will see 2-5 foot seas with only 4 second period.  Inshore waters could see 3-6 foot waves with only a 4 second period.  Midshore to Offshore will see waves 5-7 feet at 5-7 seconds.  The winds will be the major factor here.  Winds may begin to diminish by Sunday Night, which will allow waters to lay down fairly quickly.  By Monday winds should diminish to 10-15 knots out of the northwest and seas down to 1-2 feet at 8 seconds making water conditions good.  Midshore to Offshore may see some residual into Monday Morning.  If you are planning to get out this weekend, I wouldn't consider Saturday and Sunday a wash.  This is all dependent on the timing and positioning of a Low off the coast.  I would play it by ear and definitely check current conditions via buoy data and current forecasts the night before or even the morning of.  I will keep an eye out for any major changes, as I know this is a big boating and fishing weekend.  Water temperatures are holding about the same, maybe a couple of degrees warmer.  Rivers and Bays are low to mid 60's.  Inshore waters are in the upper 50's across the northern coastal areas and into the low 60's in some southern areas.  Midshore to Offshore has moved into the mid to upper 50's.  These temperatures may cool off some due to the cold front moving through.  Surf conditions will be moderate to normal, with 2-4 feet through Sunday then decreasing 0-2 feet on Monday.  The wind will be a factor Saturday and Sunday with 35 knot gusts out of the northwest.

Have a safe and enjoyable holiday!

The upcoming week will be more settled, so far.  Rain chances will be very minimal with temperatures climbing to the upper 70's, maybe even 80's by the middle of the week.  Lows will increase into the 50's and even 60's.  

The cold front that passed through the area on Thursday Night and Friday will push off the coast.  A low pressure system will develop on the front off the coast Friday and move very slowly northeast before it reaches the Canadian Maritimes on Monday.  High pressure will then build in behind it.

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  70% chance of showers during the day, 20% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Low 60's
Low:   Mid 40's
Sunrise: 5:34am
Sunset: 8:13pm
Full Moon: 12:26am

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Poor
Weather2Hunt.com- 33/50

Sunday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low 70's
Low:   Upper 40's
Sunrise: 5:33am
Sunset: 8:14pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-   Good
Weather2Hunt.com-  37/50

Monday
Sky:  Sunny and mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid 70's
Low:   Low 50's
Sunrise: 5:32am
Sunset: 8:15pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-   Good
Weather2Hunt.com-  37/50

Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Monday Surface Analysis



Friday - Monday Precipitation Total



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: 67°F
Saturday
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:   NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots increasing to 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:   1-2 then 2-3, Visibility 1-3 nm
Saturday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots diminishing 15-20 knots in the late evening with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:   2-3 feet subsiding 1-2 feet
Sunday
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:   1-2 feet
Sunday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:   1-2 feet

Monday
Wind:   NW 10-15 knots
Seas:   1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:   NW 5-10 knots
Seas:   1 foot or less

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  57°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: NNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: N 3 feet at 4 seconds

Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds


Manasquan Inlet Tides


 

Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  55-60°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: NW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 24 to 32 knots
Seas: NNW 5 feet at 5 seconds

Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: NW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Monday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 seconds

Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 8 to 10 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 seconds

Cape May (Ocean) Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  67°F
Saturday
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Saturday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots increasing 20-25 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet  
Sunday
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots diminishing 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Sunday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet

Monday
Wind:   SW 5-10 knots
Seas:   1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:   SW 5-10 knots
Seas:   1-2 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  56°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 22 to 30 knots
Seas: NW 6 feet at 5 seconds
Sunday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 24 to 33 knots
Seas: NW 7 feet at 6 seconds

Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 24 knots
Seas: WNW 6 feet at 6 seconds
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds

Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures


   
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!


*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: May 23, 2013, 10:55:45 PM by Pfishingruven »


Offline paul-e

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Memorial Day Weekend Edition
« Reply #1 on: May 24, 2013, 12:24:15 AM »
Thanks Matt.

So, in short, it basically, is some $#*% weather this weekend.  nosmly

Lot of rain and road flooding up here in north NJ today. rgmn

Have a great weekend. t^

"When the people fear their government, there is tyranny; when the government fears the people, there is liberty."
Thomas Jefferson


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Memorial Day Weekend Edition
« Reply #2 on: May 24, 2013, 12:29:42 AM »
Thanks Matt.

So, in short, it basically, is some $#*% weather this weekend.  nosmly

Lot of rain and road flooding up here in north NJ today. rgmn

Have a great weekend. t^



Yeah, that pretty much sums it up, Paul!  It really looks like Saturday and Sunday are going to be a blowout.  You guys got hit with a ton of heavy rain today!  Couple rivers at minor flood stage too.

Thanks, have a great weekend too!

Offline Hunter 2

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Memorial Day Weekend Edition
« Reply #3 on: May 24, 2013, 06:02:05 AM »
Thanks Matt, I guess it's time to do housework this weekend. t^
Eddie "Hunter 2"
36' Topaz "Hallie Loren"    Charter boat sailing from Wagners Marina, Keyport NJ


 Life is short, Fish Hard.


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Memorial Day Weekend Edition
« Reply #4 on: May 24, 2013, 10:23:04 AM »
Thanks Matt, I guess it's time to do housework this weekend. t^

Right now, by the numbers, it looks that way.  While the models have lessened some on Saturdays seas, I am seeing Gale Force winds possible.  NWS is talking about Gale Watches being posted tonight and Warnings up by Saturday Morning.  Sunday may see sub SCA winds, but that could happen a any point between Saturday Night and Sunday Night, so the forecast for Sunday is still 15-20 knot winds with 25 knot gusts.  Winds won't decrease until Sunday Night into Monday.

So, simply, there are no major changes to the forecast for this weekend.

Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Gale Watch Sandy Hook to Fenwick Island, DE
« Reply #5 on: May 24, 2013, 10:33:18 AM »
As I was looking through data and writing posts, the NWS PHI has issued a Gale Watch Saturday Morning to Saturday Evening from Sandy Hook to Delaware out to 20 nm including Delaware Bay.  Midshore to Offshore will continue will Gale Warnings.

Quote
Gale Watch
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
927 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-250115-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
927 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

.THIS AFTERNOON...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING NW 10 TO 15 KT
WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT EARLY...THEN INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT
WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. MAINLY IN SE SWELL
WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 8 SECONDS.   OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. VSBY
1 TO 3 NM.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT. MAINLY IN SE SWELL WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 9 SECONDS.
OCCASIONAL SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
LATE. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.MON...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.TUE...W WINDS AROUND 10 KT...BECOMING SW. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
927 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ430-250115-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
927 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

.THIS AFTERNOON...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.
SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.   A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT.   A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...
DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...
DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.MON...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING W. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.TUE...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SW. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
927 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ431-250115-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
927 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

.THIS AFTERNOON...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.
SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO
5 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT...
DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...
BECOMING NW AROUND 5 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.MON...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING W. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.TUE...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SW. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
927 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452>455-250115-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
927 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

.THIS AFTERNOON...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.
SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. MAINLY IN SE SWELL WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF
8 SECONDS.   A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY.
VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT. MAINLY IN SE SWELL WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 9 SECONDS.   A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT...NW WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...
BECOMING NW 5 TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.MON...NW WINDS AROUND 10 KT...BECOMING W. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.TUE...W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SW. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
409 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

ANZ450>455-242100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-130525T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0009.130525T1200Z-130526T0400Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
409 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT TODAY AND
  TONIGHT...15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT BY SATURDAY.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Gale Warning Saturday All Coastal Waters
« Reply #6 on: May 24, 2013, 05:01:31 PM »
Here it is...NWS is not even waiting until tonight.  NWS PHI has issued Gale Warnings for all coastal waters of NJ from Sandy Hook to Delaware including Raritan Bay/New York Harbor and Delaware Bay up to and including points of the Delaware River.

Not the way I wanted to start this weekend rgmn!  Good thing, surf fishing is always an option 5hrug ;D.

Quote
Gale Warning
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
445 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

ANZ430-431-452>455-251000-
/O.COR.KPHI.GL.W.0020.130524T2041Z-130526T0600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
445 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT THROUGH
  TONIGHT AND 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT ON SATURDAY.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS...AND 2 TO 5 FEET
  OVER DELAWARE BAY WITH THE HIGHEST SEAS NEAR THE BAY MOUTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
445 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

ANZ450-451-251000-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0020.130525T1000Z-130526T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
445 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 2 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
442 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ431-250830-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
442 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO
5 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT...NW WINDS AROUND 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5
FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.MON...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
1 TO 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.TUE...S WINDS AROUND 10 KT...BECOMING SE IN THE EVENING...THEN
BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.WED...N WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
442 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ430-250830-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
442 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY MORNING... THEN A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT...NW WINDS AROUND 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4
FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...
DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.MON...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
1 TO 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.TUE...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING E. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
442 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452>455-250830-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
442 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT. MAINLY IN SE SWELL WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 9 SECONDS.   A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT...NW WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT. MAINLY IN W SWELL WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 9 SECONDS.   A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...
BECOMING NW 5 TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.MON...NW WINDS AROUND 10 KT...BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 TO 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.TUE...S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING SW 5 TO 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
.WED...NW WINDS AROUND 5 KT...BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
BECOMING SE. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
442 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-250830-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
442 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT. MAINLY IN SE SWELL WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 9 SECONDS.
SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY THIS EVENING. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
MAINLY IN SE SWELL WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 9 SECONDS. SHOWERS
LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.MON...W WINDS AROUND 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
BECOMING SE 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
THROUGH THE NIGHT.
.WED...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 KT IN THE
EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.

$$


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Saturday Morning Update
« Reply #7 on: May 25, 2013, 10:50:57 AM »
The forecasts have been spot on for today, unfortunately!  Started with some showers this morning and currently cloudy skies.  Any remaining showers will end and become scattered or isolated throughout the day.  Skies will slowly clear from south to north as the day moves on.  Winds began picking up yesterday afternoon and have continued.  Gale force gusts have been recorded at both northern and southern areas on land stations and marine buoys.  These will continue to increase through the afternoon due to a decent pressure gradient from the Low Offshore and the High moving in from the Tennessee Valley.  Most areas will see some degree of blowout tides, running 0.5-1 foot lower today.  Areas on the Delaware area already seeing upwards of 2 feet lower.  Depending on how quickly the clouds clear out, most areas will only see upper 50's, possibly into the low 60's with overnight lows dropping into the mid to upper 40's.  Water conditions continue to be rated cautious to hazardous with Gale Warnings in effect.  Sea heights look only to be around the 3-4 foot range with occasional higher waves at 4 seconds. 

Tomorrow's forecast looks the same as reported, with slightly lowers winds, likely dropping below Gale force.  Winds will still be 20-25 knots gusting to 30 knots with seas 3-5 feet at 4 seconds.  Gale Warnings will be replaced by Small Craft Advisories.  These conditions look slightly better than originally forecast.  It is all dependent on the winds diminishing and when that happens.  The waves are all from the winds, so if they lessen, the chop will subside rather quickly.    Skies will be clear and sunny tomorrow with temperatures into the 70's, but lows back down into the 40's.

The week ahead looks good, with only chances of rain on Wednesday and a warming trend into the mid to upper 80's by the end of the week and lows pulling up into the 60's.

Hope you are enjoying your weekend, however that may be.  I will update any major changes!


Offline Hotrod

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Memorial Day Weekend Edition
« Reply #8 on: May 25, 2013, 12:05:43 PM »
 nosmly thd




Offline Reel McCoy

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Memorial Day Weekend Edition
« Reply #9 on: May 25, 2013, 12:22:01 PM »
Thanks  t^ My wife is the only one I know happy about the weather report. My honey-do list is growing by the minute....  I think I have to go check my dock lines with these gale force winds  >:D
22' Grady-White Reel McCoy II

Offline Fishin Dude

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Memorial Day Weekend Edition
« Reply #10 on: May 25, 2013, 02:00:26 PM »
Totally screwed my fishing plans for an overnight Drum trip down on Delaware Bay this weekend. Always good to have a plan "B & C" (Beer and Cooking on the BBQ) chrz. Hope to head north out of Manasquan Inlet Monday morning, if the conditions permit, let's see what happens. Then again, there is always plan "D" (Drive to the beach and fish). WTF  5hrug
I've spent most of my life fishing, the rest I've just wasted     <'((((><

Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Sunday Update
« Reply #11 on: May 26, 2013, 10:59:28 AM »
Clear sunny skies with dry conditions will continue with temperatures warming to the upper 60's or low 70's.  Overnight lows back into the 40's again.  Still a moderate northwest wind at 15-20 knots gusting to 25+ knots.  Small Craft Advisories are in effect from Sandy Hook to Delaware including Raritan Bay and Delaware Bay/River.  Currently seas are 3-4 feet and could see them 3-5 feet at 5 seconds and gusts to 27 knots today.  As the Low moves northeast and the high gets into place, the pressure gradient will lessen as should these winds as the day moves on.  Chance that SCA's will be dropped by 6PM today bringing winds and gusts below 20 knots and seas to 2 feet at 8 seconds.  For some, this might be an opportunity?!  Surf conditions are looking normal again with 2-3 foot waves, just that gusty west wind.

Monday is still looking good on all fields.  It will be sunny and dry with winds subsiding.  Highs will make it to the mid to upper 70's in most places and overnight lows will creep up into the upper 40's instead of the low to mid 40's.  Water conditions look good for all locations with a WNW wind at around 10 knots and seas 1-2 feet at 9 seconds.  Surf conditions will be normal, again 0-2 feet with a light west wind.

The rest of the week is looking good with a chance of rain Tuesday Night.  High temperatures will warm during the week starting in the 70's and making it into the upper 80's by the end of the week.  Lows will finally get out of the chilly 40's and make it into the 50's and 60's.  Water conditions are looking good right now, but there is a chance of a Small Craft Advisory on Wednesday Evening or Thursday.  I will have a full Week Outlook by tonight or tomorrow.

Enjoy the rest of the weekend.  Be careful out there tomorrow... TT^


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Water Conditions
« Reply #12 on: May 26, 2013, 01:59:06 PM »
Check you local conditions if you are itching to get out.  Winds are subsiding and water conditions are improving.  If you are looking to get out take a look before you decide no!  Conditions are improving South to North...
« Last Edit: May 26, 2013, 02:00:45 PM by Pfishingruven »

Offline Ms Fish

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Re: Water Conditions
« Reply #13 on: May 26, 2013, 08:20:25 PM »
Check you local conditions if you are itching to get out.  Winds are subsiding and water conditions are improving.  If you are looking to get out take a look before you decide no!  Conditions are improving South to North...


Thank Matt!!!  t^ I'm looking to go tomorrow! I'll double check for sure before I go out!  chrz

 

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