Going into the October and another week where there is not much to mention about weather conditions, but water and surf conditions will need to be monitored. While high pressure will control a settled weather pattern this week with a passing warm front on Tuesday, there is always a low potential for some scattered rain showers, with the highest chances across northwestern NJ. Patchy fog is possible on Monday, Tuesday and Thursday for northern and northwestern NJ. Beyond that, the forecast is dry with no rain through this week with slightly above seasonable temperatures and dry air, but not as dry as last week. So, don’t put those Summer clothes away yet! High temperatures will range from low 70’s to low 80’s. Overnight lows will range from low 40’s to low 60’s. Dew points will be in the 50’s and 60’s this week, indicating that the air has some moisture in it. This will bring some lower to moderate humidity, especially midweek. There will be decent breezes this week as well, with a moderate onshore flow and winds out of the east/northeast to start the week. This will bring some warmer and moister air off the oceans. By midweek these will shift to the west/southwest. Water conditions are rated good for all locations. However, these conditions could change this week, with moving highs and passing lows, pressure gradients may be enough to bring some gusty winds and high seas. Small Craft Advisories are possible Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday. Monday and Tuesday could see some gusty winds and leftover seas at 3-4 feet, especially across southern waters. Wednesday will see a return of 15-20 knot winds in the afternoon with seas around 3 feet. Thursday will have light winds and calm seas around 2 feet with the potential of a southeast sea breeze setting up. Friday will see a return of gusty winds to 25 knots and wind chop waves and building seas. Surf and beach conditions will be ok to good with Low to Moderate Risks of rip currents. The beach will definitely see some gusty winds, rougher surf and higher waves varying by day. Surf Zone forecasts issued by the NWS Philadelphia will end on Monday September 30 for the 2013 season, however Surf and Beach Outlooks will continue here at NJSWF!! All water temperatures are in the mid to upper 60’s with the exception of parts of Delaware Bay still being in the low 70’s.
High pressure will continue to control the areas this week. A weak warm front will pass to the east across much of the Mid Atlantic State Tuesday. A large frontal system will approach the area from the west on Friday and Saturday and may move off the Coast Sunday.
This weekend will be unsettled. The first batch of unsettled weather in over two weeks. With an approaching cold front, there is a chance of showers, mainly on Saturday. Highs will continue in the low to mid 70’s with overnight lows in the 40’s and 50’s. Water and surf conditions could also be unsettled with the passing front, especially on Saturday with conditions approaching Small Craft Advisory criteria. The weekend does not look like a complete washout and more to come later in the week.
The tropics are active, with a Tropical Depression and Invest 97L. Tropical Depression 11 is out in the mid Atlantic and is forecast to strengthen, but remain well out to see. There should not be any effects from this storm to our area or marine waters at this time. Invest 97L down in the Caribbean is a system to watch over the next few days. This area has the potential for development and could affect the US in the coming days.
**BuoyWeather Forecasts do not reflect the NWS Marine Outlooks/Forecasts at this time. NWS Marine Outlooks are worst case scenarios done by NWS Meteorologists. You will see these Outlooks do not always match the specific area forecasts both at the NWS and BuoyWeather!
Have a great week!
MondaySky: Sunny to mostly sunny becoming mostly clear to partly cloudy, patchy fog early Monday Morning and late Monday Night across northern/northwestern areas
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 70’s
Low: Mid to upper 50’s inland and along/on the water, Upper 40’s across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 6/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:51am
Sunset: 6:41pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Fair
Weather2Hunt - 40/50
TuesdaySky: Mostly sunny to partly sunny becoming clear to mostly clear with patchy fog late night across northern/northwestern areas
Precipitation: 0% to 20% chance of showers during the day(higher chances across northern/northwestern areas), 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 70’s
Low: Upper 50’s to low 60’s inland and along/on the water, low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index: 6/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:52am
Sunset: 6:40pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Fair
Weather2Hunt - 40/50
WednesdaySky: Sunny becoming clear to mostly clear
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low: Upper 50’s to mid 60’s inland and along/on the water, Low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index: 6/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:53am
Sunset: 6:38pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Very Good
Weather2Hunt - 40/50
ThursdaySky: Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy, patchy fog late night across coastal, marine and northern areas
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Mid 70’s to mid 80’s
Low: Mid 50’s to upper 50’s inland and along/on the water, upper 40's across northern areas
UV Index: 6/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:54am
Sunset: 6:37pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Very Good
Weather2Hunt - 40/50
FridaySky: Mostly sunny becoming mostly clear to partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Low 70’s to low 80’s
Low: Mid 50’s inland and northern areas, Low 60’s along/on the water
UV Index: 6/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:55am
Sunset: 6:35pm
New Moon: 8:36pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Good
Weather2Hunt - 40/50
Monday Surface AnalysisTuesday Surface AnalysisWednesday Surface AnalysisThursday Surface AnalysisFriday SurfaceTotal Precipitation Monday - FridayTotal Precipitation Sunday - SundayTropics SatelliteCoastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 68°F
MondayWind: NE 5 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Monday NightWind: SW 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
TuesdayWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Tuesday NightWind: W 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
WednesdayWind: W 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Wednesday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Thursday Wind: SW 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Thursday NightWind: SW 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
FridayWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Friday NightWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay) Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 67°F
Monday MorningWinds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: NE 4 to 6 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday MorningWinds: W 7 to 9 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: WSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: NNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: NNE 3 to 4 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday MorningWinds: SE 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)Water Temperature: 68°F
MondayWind: NE 7-9 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday NightWind: Variable less than 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
TuesdayWind: W 5-7 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday NightWind: Variable less than 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
WednesdayWind: Variable less than 5 knots becoming WSW 5-7 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday NightWind: WSW 5-7 knots becoming WNW
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday Wind: Variable and less than 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday NightWind: Variable and less than 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
FridayWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) TidesBarnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 67°F
Monday MorningWinds: NNE 12 to 17 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: NNE 8 to 10 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday MorningWinds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: WSW 4 to 6 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: W 9 to 13 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: W 7 to 9 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday MorningWinds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Cape May (Ocean) TidesDelaware BayWater Temperature: 68°F
MondayWind: NE 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Monday NightWind: E 5 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
TuesdayWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Tuesday NightWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
WednesdayWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Wednesday NightWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Thursday Wind: N 5 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Thursday NightWind: S 5 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
FridayWind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Friday NightWind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) TidesOffshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 66-68°F
Monday MorningWinds: ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Monday AfternoonWinds: ENE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday MorningWinds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: W 9 to 12 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday MorningWinds: W 11 to 15 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday MorningWinds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Thursday AfternoonWinds: NNE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Friday MorningWinds: ENE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Friday AfternoonWinds: SE 4 to 5 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Sea Surface TemperaturesSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet)NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet) Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! *****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)