NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Nov 16-17, 2013

[Pfishingruven]

A bit unsettled weekend with some chances of rain both days, but water conditions will be recovered and good.  Friday Night will begin the low chances of showers, continuing through the start of the week.  Saturday and Saturday Night will have POP’s 30% and less and mainly across southern and northern areas.  Sunday will 20% POP’s with chances increasing throughout the day into the overnight with 50%+ POP’s.  Sunday Night into Monday will have the greatest chances of rain in the next 7 days.  Temperatures will be slightly above average with highs in the mid 50’s to mid 60’s with overnight lows only into the 40’s and 50’s.  Winds should remain calm to light all weekend .  Water conditions will be good with light to moderate winds and recovered seas around 2-3 feet through late Sunday Night. Sunday Night into Monday winds will increase to 20+ knots with building seas.  Surf and beach conditions will be good through Sunday Night.  Water temperatures have really dropped this week.  Rivers and bays are in the mid to upper 40’s.  Surf temperatures are in the mid 40’s to low 50’s.  Inshore ocean waters are in the mid 50’s.    Midshore to Offshore waters are in the upper 50’s.  UV Index will be Low to Moderate at  1-3/15.

A large high pressure system across the Eastern United States will move off into the Atlantic through Saturday. Low pressure will develop over The Plains States Friday and move northeast this weekend.  An associated cold front will cross the area on Monday.  More high pressure will then build in for next week.  Another disturbance is likely to arrive next weekend.


The week will start off with rain chances on Monday clearing out by Monday Night.  The remainder of the week will be dry, sunny and clear.  Temperatures will start off average to a little above average, then drop again with the passing of the cold front on Monday.  High temperatures will range from the 60’s on Monday to the 40’s by Tuesday.  Lows will be in the 30’s down to the 20’s.  Water conditions will be cautious to hazardous starting Monday through Wednesday inshore and through Thursday midshore to offshore, maybe even sticking around through Friday.  Winds will be over 20 knots out of the east to southeast increasing seas to 5 feet inshore and 9 feet midshore to offshore. Surf and beach conditions will be affected with winds, rough surf and wave heights peaking around 3-5 feet.  The next couple of days will bring next week into better perspective!

Have a great weekend!

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of rain all day (higher chances across southern areas during the day, northern areas at night)
Temperatures
High:     Mid to upper 50’s
Low:     Mid 40’s inland, upper 40’s to low 50’s coastal, low 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:42am
Sunset: 4:40pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Very Good
Weather2Hunt.com –  40/50

Sunday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-70% chance of rain all day (lower chances during the day)
Temperatures
High:     Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
Low:     Low to mid 50’s
UV Index:  1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:43am
Sunset: 4:39pm
Full Moon: 10:17am

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Good
Weather2Hunt.com – 43/50

Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday - Monday Precipitation Total



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: 46°F
Saturday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots 
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less increasing to 2-3 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  55°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SE 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: E 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  41°F
Saturday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  1 foot
Saturday Night
Wind:  ESE 6 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday
Wind:  ESE 7-9 knots becoming SSE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday Night
Wind:  SSE 6-9 knots increasing to 12-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  1 foot

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  56°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WNW 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  49°F
Saturday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Saturday Night
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday
Wind:  SE 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  58°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSW 3 feet at 6 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SW 1 to 2 knots
Seas:  SSW 2 feet at 5 seconds
Sunday Morning
Winds: E 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

As a strong cold front moves through the area tonight, winds will increase to around 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph, ahead of and behind the front.  These winds will start tonight and most of Monday.  As the front nears the area, rain, thunderstorms and winds gusting to 60+ mph are possible during the overnight hours tonight.  These winds could easily bring down trees and power lines!

This line of storms are the same storms that produced 40+ tornadoes today across the Central US.  While, the storms that move through NJ will not be anywhere closely as strong, thunderstorms are possible and winds from the front itself will be capable of doing damage.

Be alert during the overnight and stay safe!!

NWS Briefing