From one year to the next. This year’s weather won’t be bad, but next year’s weather will give us a bit of a one-two punch on Thursday and Friday. Water conditions will begin to improve late on Monday and moderate out before deteriorating late on Thursday for inshore; midshore to offshore will be more of a roller coaster ride this week. Any lingering showers will move out Sunday Night into early Monday and be clear for Monday through Wednesday. Tuesday and Wednesday across northern/northwestern parts of the state could see some scattered snow showers or flurries. Sun will dominate, though, through Wednesday before clouds increase on Wednesday Night into Thursday with precipitation moving in. This will be the one-two, maybe one-two-three punch to the state on Thursday and Friday. Two systems will interact with each other starting early on Thursday; one coming out of the upper Midwest/Great Lakes and a second out of the South. The Great Lakes system will move east-northeast and the southern system will move northeast entering the Atlantic Ocean. From here, uncertainty begins on tracks, timing and intensity. At minimum, the area will see some precipitation ranging from rain to snow. Worst case scenario is a fully phased (combined interaction) coastal storm bringing a major snowstorm/nor’easter to the Mid-Atlantic into New England. It is just too early to try and predict two systems that don’t exist yet. Right now, I see 1-3 inches of snow accumulation statewide, with north of I95/I195 corridor getting the most snow and south of the corridor getting snow to a wintry mix. This will change before Thursday, so as always, I will update this during the week. Temperatures through Friday will be average in the 20’s-40’s with overnight lows in the teens to 30’s. Temperatures will slowly decrease throughout the week. By Thursday Night and Friday, extremely cold air will move in behind the passing storm. This will be the coldest air yet this season with teens and 20’s for highs with single digits and 10’s for overnight lows and some gusty winds. Wind chills will easily be in the negative numbers! Winds will be light to moderate all week, with some breezier/gustier days such as Monday, Thursday and Friday especially along the coast. Water conditions will slowly improve late on Monday moderating out through Thursday before deteriorating again later on Thursday and Friday for inshore. Midshore to offshore will vary more this week. Small Craft Advisories and Cautious conditions will continue for inshore waters on Monday before improving late Monday through Thursday. On Friday, Hazardous Water Conditions with Small Craft Advisories and Gale Warnings are probable. Midshore to Offshore will have Cautious conditions with Gale Warnings on Monday, improving for Tuesday with some “pcokets” of gustier winds and Cautious conditions before becoming Hazardous on Friday with Gale Warnings. Surf and beach conditions will echo the water with OK to Cautious conditions on Monday, improving for Tuesday through Thursday before deteriorating to Cautious to Hazardous on Friday. Water temperatures are steady in the 40’s inshore with low 50’s offshore. UV Index will be Low at 0-2/15 all week.
Low pressure over Southern New England will continue moving northeast Sunday Night before a cold front crosses the area Monday Morning. Light snow associated with a Clipper System moving east across Upper New State on Tuesday should remain to the north. High pressure will briefly build across the Northeast Tuesday Night and Wednesday before another storm system affects the Mid Atlantic Area Thursday into Thursday Night. High pressure will then build across the region beginning late Friday Night, providing tranquil, but cold weather for the weekend.
The weekend looks to improve with dry and sunny skies, but very cold temperatures with highs in the teens to 30’s and lows in the single digits to 20’s. Water and surf conditions should improve at some point on Saturday and be good for the rest of the weekend, as high pressure will control the area.
I’d like to wish everyone a Happy, Healthy & Safe New Year! May there be more and bigger fish in 2014!!
Have a great week!
MondaySky: Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 40’s with mid 30’s across northern areas
Low: Upper teens to low 20’s inland, mid 20’s along the coast, low teens across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:40pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Poor
Weather2Hunt - 33/50
Tuesday – New Year’s EveSky: Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance, 20% chance of snow flurries/showers across northern/northwestern NJ
Temperatures
High: Mid 30’s to low 40’s inland and along the coast, low 30’s across northern areas
Low: Low 20’s inland, Mid to upper 20’s along the coast, mid teens across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:40pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 33/50
Wednesday – New Year’s DaySky: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance, 20%-30% chance of snow showers across northern/northwestern NJ
Temperatures
High: Low to upper 30’s with upper 20’s across northern areas
Low: Mid 20’s inland, Upper 20’s to low 30’s along the coast, upper teens across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:41pm
New Moon: 6:15am
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 47/50
ThursdaySky: Cloudy
Precipitation: 50+% chance of rain/snow
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 30’s inland, upper 30’s to low 40’s along the coast, mid 20’s across northern areas
Low: Upper teens to low 20’s inland, low to mid 20’s along the coast, low teens across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:42pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 50/50
FridaySky: Mostly to partly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-50% chance of rain/snow during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High: Mid 20’s to low 30’s inland and along the coast , mid to upper teens across northern areas
Low: 10-low teens inland, mid to upper teens along the coast, singles digits (2-9 degrees) across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:43pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 43/50
Monday Surface AnalysisTuesday Surface AnalysisWednesday Surface AnalysisThursday Surface AnalysisFriday SurfaceTotal Precipitation Monday - FridayTotal Precipitation Sunday - SundayCoastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 41°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet TuesdayWind: W 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less building to 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 10-15 knots with gusts 20 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feetWednesdayWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Wednesday NightWind: E 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
ThursdayWind: N 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Thursday NightWind: N 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Friday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 15-20 knots
Seas: 2 feetSurf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Friday NightWind: NW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay) Sandy Hook Tides Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NYWater Temperature: 41°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetTuesday AfternoonWinds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: WNW 12 to 17 knots
Seas: NW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: WNW 5 to 6 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: SE 12 to 17 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: N 7 to 9 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 22 to 30 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feetFriday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 20 to 27 knots
Seas: NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feetConey Island, NY Tides Coney Island TidesSandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 45°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 13 to 17 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetTuesday MorningWinds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: WSW 12 to 17 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: SSE 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: NW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetFriday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 20 to 27 knots
Seas: NNE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetManasquan Inlet Tides Manasquan Inlet TidesBarnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)Water Temperature: 39°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 14-17 knots with gusts to 23 knots becoming NW in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feetMonday NightWind: NNW 8-13 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 5-8 knots becoming W 11-16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 11-16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feetWednesdayWind: WNW 7-9 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday NightWind: NNW 5-10 knots becoming ENE after midnight
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday Wind: E 12 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday NightWind: NE 9-12 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
FridayWind: NW 10-15 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: NW 10-15 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) TidesBarnegat Bay TidesBarnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 47°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetTuesday MorningWinds: NW 6 to 9 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: NW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: NNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: N 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: S 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetFriday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: NW 27 to 37 knots
Seas: NNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: NNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetCape May (Ocean) Tides Cape May TidesDelaware BayWater Temperature: 40°F-46°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 10-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots late
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 5 knots becoming W late morning then increasing 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetWednesdayWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Wednesday NightWind: NE 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Wind: E 10 knots becoming N in the evening
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: N 10 knots becoming NW 15-20 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 20-25 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 20-25 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetDelaware River (Ship John Shoal) TidesDelaware Bay/River TidesOffshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 52°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: S 7 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas: S 6 feet at 9 secondsTuesday MorningWinds: WNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: NW 5 feet at 5 secondsWednesday AfternoonWinds: NW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SE 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 4 secondsThursday AfternoonWinds: NNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: NW 27 to 37 knots
Seas: NW 8 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WARNING
Winds: NW 26 to 35 knots
Seas: NNW 9 feet at 7 seconds Sea Surface TemperaturesSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet)NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet) Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! *****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)