NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: March 1-2, 2014

[Pfishingruven]

The first weekend of March will certainly remind us it is still Winter, but water conditions will be settled through Sunday Night. Despite an impending long duration Winter Storm late this weekend, temperatures will rise above the lows from this week and break past the freezing mark and beyond for many areas. A mix of sun and clouds on Saturday with low 30’s to low 40’s…maybe even some mid 40’s along the coast. Overnight lows will mostly drop below freezing again. Saturday Night into Sunday will bring some precipitation, ranging from rain to snow, depending on temperatures. Snow will be mainly across northern areas. Temperatures again will make it into the 40’s for many places and will quickly drop with a passing cold front. Several low pressure systems will move through the region and area starting on Sunday and lasting through Monday Night. These systems will bring upwards of more than an inch of rain possible. With Arctic Air moving in again, many areas could see accumulating snow over a fairly long duration of 18-36 hours. The last low pressure system to move across will get out over the ocean and eventually become a fairly strong Nor’Easter going into New England/out to sea. The tail end of this storm could bring additional snows. Temperature will really determine how much snow falls and where, as opposed to rain or a mix. Models vary from 1-more than 12 inches statewide with the greatest accumulation right across Central NJ with the potential of more than 12 inches. These are just models and forecasts are not completely out yet. I am really questioning the models and their handling of the lack of cold air and the warmer air being entrained from the south. The angle of the sun is greater, with ground warming effects as well. In early March, although it is still Winter, patterns changes begin with the start of meteorological Spring. History has shown big March snows are possible, but many factors need to be just right. Regardless of accumulations, Sunday and Monday will be wet and messy. More to follow…Water conditions look good for this weekend, with no anticipated winds, seas or advisories through Sunday Night. Sunday Night will bring some gusty winds and elevated seas prompting Small Craft Advisories through Tuesday with the passing fronts and systems. Surf and beach conditions will be good. Water temperatures have dropped into the mid 30’s again inshore with some bays and rivers down into the low 30’s. Offshore waters will be in the low to mid 40’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 1-4/15.

An Arctic High Pressure System building over the region will slowly recede into New England on Friday Night and Saturday. A cold front is forecast to cross the area on Sunday, eventually stalling to our south late Sunday. A few waves of low pressure will develop and move along the frontal boundary from late Sunday through Monday Night, as more Arctic High Pressure begins to spread southward from Canada. This Arctic High will then build across the region into the middle of next week.

Next week will start off wintry with snow/mix on Monday  and then looks clear for the remainder of the week, with average temperatures in the 30’s and low 40’s with overnight lows still down in the teens and 20’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will improve by later Tuesday and remain good through Friday.

Have a great weekend!

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 20% chance of snow showers mainly across the north
Temperatures
High:     Mid 30’s to low 40’s inland and along the coast, low 30’s across the north
Low:     Upper 20’s to mid 30’s inland and along the coast, low 20’s across the north
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:30am
Sunset: 5:47pm
New Moon: 3:01am


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  40%-70% chance of rain/mix/snow during the day, 70%-80% chance of rain/mix/snow at night
Temperatures
High:     Low 40’s inland, mid to upper 40’s along the coast, low 30’s across the north
Low:     Low 20’s to low 30’s inland and along the coast, upper teens across the north
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:29am
Sunset: 5:48pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



 Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  35°F
Saturday
Wind:  E 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots 
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots 
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  35°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: S 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: N 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  36°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SE 0 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: N 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  32°F
Saturday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S 5-7 knots in the morning
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  W 6-9 knots becoming N in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  NE 7-11 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  39°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: E 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: S 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: W 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  34°F-38°F
Saturday
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  46°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)