NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: March 10-14, 2014

[Pfishingruven]

This week is very unsettled switching between an attempted Spring Pattern and then a Winter Pattern taking over late in the week, with very gusty winds mid to late week as well. Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday Day will feel like Spring-like with dry conditions, a mix of sun and clouds with more clouds than sun on Monday and temperatures in the mid 40’ to upper 50’s. Tuesday could even see the potential of 60’s inland and across the south. Overnight lows will be in the 20’s and 30’s. Then by Wednesday boundaries and systems will move around, bringing chances of rain and snow, especially on Thursday for northern areas. Temperatures will drop for Wednesday Night and Thursday with highs 20’s and 30’s and lows in the single digits to 20’s as cold air moves in with the cold front. By Thursday Night any precipitation should move out with clear skies into Friday with sunny skies. Friday will see a rebound to more seasonal temperatures into the 40’s again with 30’s overnight. Water conditions will vary by day and location although overall conditions will be good through Wednesday Afternoon when winds will pick up through Friday. Wednesday will see Cautious conditions with Small Craft Advisories and Thursday will have Hazardous Conditions with Gale Warnings likely, especially Offshore. However, conditions looks to improve and clear up for Thursday. Surf and beach conditions will be good except for Wednesday Afternoon through Friday with gusty winds and rough, elevated surf. Winds along the coast will get to 30+ knots with higher gusts and seas to 10 feet offshore. Water temperatures are cold, but slowly warming.  Inshore waters are still in the mid to upper 30’s, with some low 40’s. Offshore waters are still in the mid to upper 40’s. UV Index will be mainly Moderate this week with a day of a Low index on Thursday from 1-4/15.
 
High pressure will push through the region to the south overnight on Sunday and then build across the Southeastern States through Monday. An area of low pressure will move across New England Monday Night, pulling a cold front across the area that will stall to the south. An area of low pressure will move along this boundary and across the area Wednesday into Wednesday Night. High pressure will build to the south of the area Thursday Night into Friday, pushing its way into the area. Another area of low pressure will move to the north Saturday, bringing another cold frontal passage Saturday into Saturday Night.   

The weekend looks pretty good right now. Sun with some clouds with highs in the 40’s and 50’s with lows in the 30’s and dry. Water, surf and beach conditions could have some gusty winds Saturday, however SCA’s do not look likely at this time.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Partly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance, 30% chance of rain/mix/snow across the north during the day
Temperatures
High:    Low to mid 50’s inland and along the coast, mid to upper 40’s across the north
Low:     Mid to upper 30’s inland and along the coast, low 30’s across the north
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:17am
Sunset: 6:57pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 20%-30% chance of rain or wintry mix across the north at night
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 50’s (potential for some low 60’s)
Low:   Mid to upper 30’s inland and along the coast, upper 20’s across the north
UV Index:  3-5/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:15am
Sunset: 6:58pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Cloudy
Precipitation:  60%-80% chance of rain during the day, wintry mix across the north, snow at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 40’s to mid 50’s inland and along the coast, low 40’s across the north 
Low:   Mid to upper 20’s inland and along the coast, mid teens across the north 
UV Index:  1-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:13am
Sunset: 6:59pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly clear
Precipitation:  30%-40% chance of snow during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 30’s inland and along the coast, upper 20’s across the north
Low:   Upper teens inland, low to mid 20’s along the coast, 10’s to low teens across the north
UV Index:  4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:12am
Sunset: 7:00pm


Friday
Sky:  Sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 40’s
Low:   Low to mid 30’s inland and along the coast, mid to upper 20’s across the north
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:10am
Sunset: 7:01pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  37°F
Monday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots after midnight
Seas:  2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet, then 2-4 feet at night
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming SW 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                             



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  39°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  NW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSW 1 feet at 2 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  37°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 1 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 2 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 24 to 33 knots
Seas:  NW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  NW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 11 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  40°F
Monday
Wind:  WSW 9-12 knots
Seas:  2 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 7-9 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  WNW 8-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  Variable and less than 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  WNW 8-11 knots becoming S 12-15 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 21 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: SSW 15-18 knots becoming WNW 18-21 knots with gusts to 28 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 25 knots with gusts to 33 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind: NW 17-20 knots decreasing to 12-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  WNW 9 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 9 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  37°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet, then 2-5 feet
Thursday Morning
GALE WARNING
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 29 to 39 knots
Seas:  NW 6 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
GALE WARNING
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 26 to 35 knots
Seas:  NW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  NE 1 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  36°F-41°F
Monday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  W 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SE 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SE 10-15 knots becoming S 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SW 20-25 knots becoming NW 25-30 knots after midnight
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 25-30 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  47°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSW 3 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 5 seconds
Thursday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
Winds: NW 29 to 39 knots
Seas:  WNW 9 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
Winds: WNW 26 to 36 knots
Seas:  NW 9 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  NNW 3 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
Water, surf an beach conditions look good. Offshore could have some gustier winds in the afternoon. Otherwise, it looks good with 10-15 knot WSW winds.

[Pfishingruven]

With warmer temperatures with a lifting warm front meeting colder air tomorrow, rain and thunderstorms are possible including the possibility of Severe Weather. Thunderstorms with heavy rains, damaging winds and deadly lightning are possible and with any severe thunderstorm, tornadoes cannot be ruled out (very low if any risk right now).

Be alert and stay safe!