NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Apr 14-18, 2014

[Pfishingruven]

Quick run down before the complete Outlook is complete!

Monday looks to be mostly dry, slight chance of showers during the day. The bulk of the rain will not move in until Monday Night and stick around through Tuesday Night. Highs on Monday will be in the 60's and 70's with overnight lows in the 50's. Temps will drop back into the 60's then 50's as the week progresses. These are looking like Summer Temps, not Spring. Water, surf and beach conditions will be Cautious to Hazardous with gusty winds and Small Craft Advisories! These conditions look to persist through most of the week, possibly clearing for Friday.

Hope everyone enjoys the nice weather and temps, although today's Marine Forecast was a bust! The front stalled much farther north than forecast bringing some 20+ knot winds and Small Craft Advisories all weekend!

Thanks for reading...more to follow!

Matt

Quite the week we have started already. Some Spring/Summer-like weather, mixed with some rain and the grips of Winter not wanting to let go with a solid blowout on the water through the end of the week! This week is definitely an ugly Spring Weather pattern with Summer-like temperatures today only to usher in rain during the overnight and into Tuesday. Northern areas could even see some snow showers/flurries on Tuesday Night. Precipitation will clear out by Wednesday and looks to remain dry through Friday before chances move back in for Friday Night and the start of the weekend. High temperatures will drop from the 60’s and 70’s on Monday into the 40’s to 60’s for the remainder of the week, with overnight lows dipping down into the 30’s and subfreezing  zone for some areas. Gusty winds will continue inland and on the water through Thursday, maybe even Friday. Patchy fog and areas of frost are possible as well through the end of the week. Water conditions are poor with Cautious to Hazardous Conditions through at least Thursday. There could be some breaks on Wednesday and early Thursday, but seas may not have recovered by then. Gale Force winds are likely across all waters with seas to 10 feet. Small Craft Advisories are obviously in effect as well. Gale Warnings are likely Monday Night into Tuesday. High Pressure to the northeast is responsible for both warmer than normal temperatures and the gusty winds! Surf and beach conditions will be OK to Cautious, even Hazardous on Tuesday and Wednesday. Surf will be rough with wave heights to 6-7 feet. Water temperatures are still in the mid to upper 40’s with some 50’s and even 60’s in shallower bay and river waters. UV Index will be High, all but one day around 4-6/15.

High pressure located over the Western North Atlantic will continue to influence the weather for Monday. A strong cold front will approach from the west and it will pass through the region late Tuesday Afternoon into early Tuesday Evening. High pressure will then build across the Northeastern States on Wednesday and over Atlantic Canada and the adjacent waters for Thursday and Friday. A frontal boundary approaching from the west is expected to pass through the region on Saturday Night.
  
The weekend looks will start off with chances of rain on Friday Night through Saturday Night. Things look to clear out for Sunday. Temperatures will be in the 50’s and 60’s with lows in the 40’s. Water, surf and beach conditions look to improve into the weekend right now…it will all depend on how well they recover from this week and where the next high anchors.

**Anyone venturing over to the island/beach from IBSP north to the Manasquan Inlet, a reminder that there is heavy construction on 35 North and South and the only way in and out of the island is via Seaside Heights! The traffic has been a nightmare on the weekends and it took me an hour to get home yesterday! I ended up going north into Brick and over the Mantoloking Bridge through Brick because the Tunney Bridge was gridlock. Also, 35 North has a lot of areas where the road just stops without much warning and above ground water pipes suddenly right in front of you. This is necessary repairs to the infrastructure there, but it makes for difficult traveling over there.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
For the remainder of Monday
Sky:  Clouds increasing, Windy
Precipitation:  60%-80% chance of showers tonight
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s inland, low to mid 60’s along the coast
Low:   Low to upper 50’s
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:21am
Sunset: 7:33pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy, Windy
Precipitation:  Rain/showers all day, snow showers possible at night across the north
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 60’s
Low:   Low 30’s inland, mid to upper 30’s along the coast, upper 20’s across the north
UV Index:  0-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:19am
Sunset: 7:34pm
Full Moon: 3:43am


Wednesday
Sky:   Sunny then mostly clear, Windy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance, patchy frost during the overnight
Temperatures
High:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s  
Low:   Low to mid 30’s inland, mid to upper 30’s along the coast, upper 20’s across the north  
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:18am
Sunset: 7:35pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy to mostly cloudy, Windy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 40’s to mid 50’s
Low:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s inland and along the coast, low 30’s across the north
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:16am
Sunset: 7:36pm


Friday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 30%-40% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 50’s inland, low 50’s along the coast
Low:   Low to mid 40’s inland, mid to upper 40’s along the coast, upper 30’s across the north
UV Index:  5-6/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:15am
Sunset: 7:37pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  49°F
Monday
Wind:
Seas:
Surf (Ocean):
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WATCH
Wind:  S 15-20 knots
Seas:  2 feet, Patchy fog
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WATCH
Wind:  S 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Fog
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WATCH
Wind:  W 15-20 knots becoming NNW 20-25 knots in the evening with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NNW 20-25 knots decreasing to 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 15-20 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  ENE 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  ENE 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                          



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  49°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISOY
Winds:
Seas:
Surf:  
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WATCH
Winds:   S 20-25 knots decreasing to 15-20 knots after midnight
Seas:    6-7 feet, Patchy fog
Surf:   2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  SSE 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 27 to 36 knots
Seas:  SSE 8 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 second
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: E 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: E 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  43°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:
Seas:
Surf:  
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WATCH
Winds:   S 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:   4-5 feet
Surf:   1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SSE 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 26 to 35 knots
Seas:  SSE 8 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  55°F-61°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  
Seas:  
Surf:
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WATCH
Wind:  S 18-21 knots decreasing to 15-18 knots after midnight with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  S 18-22 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  WNW 17-22 knots becoming NNW after midnight with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  N 18-21 knots decreasing to 12-15 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NE 10 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Wind:  ENE 10-13 knots increasing to 13-16 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Wind:  ENE 9-13 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  ENE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  ENE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides


]

Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  48°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:
Seas:
Surf:  
Monday Night
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WATCH
Winds:   S 20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:   5 feet
Surf:   1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 24 to 32 knots
Seas:  SE 7 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 26 to 35 knots
Seas:  SE 8 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet
Wednesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  52°F-55°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  
Seas:  
Surf:  
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GALE WATCH
Wind:  S 20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: S 20-25 knots
Seas:  4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NNW 20-25 knots increasing 25-30 knots after midnight with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  4 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NNW 25-30 knots decreasing to 15-20 knot with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NNE 10-15 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  ENE 15-20 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  ENE 10-15 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  ENE 15-20 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  ENE 10-15 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  45°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:
Seas:
Monday Night
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:   S 20-25 knots
Seas:   6-9 feet
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 23 to 32 knots
Seas:  S 9 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 28 to 38 knots
Seas:  S 12 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 24 to 33 knots
Seas:  SSE 10 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSE 7 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 7 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 8 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[fluke - u]

 ..Thanks for reading?   .. Thanks for posting....

[Capt. Carl]

Gale Force thru Wed and still cranky on Thurs.....Here we go! 

[Pfishingruven]

All updated, THANKS!

[Pfishingruven]

There is a chance of thunderstorms on Tuesday, some which could become severe. Squall lines with embedded thunderstorm cells and even supercells are possible for the southern half of the state. This is a lower threat, but one to be aware of.

Be safe!