Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition:Apr 28-May 2, 2014  (Read 2215 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A wet week with Cautious water conditions most of the week. The week starts off dry, today with a mix of sun and clouds with clouds increasing into Monday Night. Monday Night will bring chances of rain showers with clouds and rain moving in for Tuesday and Wednesday and lingering into Thursday before beginning to clear out for Thursday Night. Friday looks dry and sunny again. Rain will be a potential issue this week with forecasts calling for more than 5 inches in parts of the state. This rain could cause flooding: flash, localized and river and stream flooding. Be aware of this issue this week. High temperatures will range from the 50’s to 70’s for highs and 40’s and 50’s for lows. Water conditions look good for Monday, deteriorating late Monday. Winds will increase to 30 knots causing ocean waters to build 7-10 feet prompting Cautious to Hazardous conditions through late Thursday with Small Craft Advisories. Winds will subside later on Thursday, allowing seas to recover for Friday. Surf and beach conditions will echo the water conditions with good conditions on Monday and Friday, but conditions deteriorate into Monday Night with Cautious conditions on Tuesday through Friday in some places with rough surf and wave heights peaking at 3-7+ feet. Water temperatures are steady in the mid 40’s to low to mid 50’s in places. UV Index will be High at 6-7/15 with Moderate to Low conditions at 0-3/15 on Tuesday and Wednesday.

A large low pressure system in the Central US will slowly move towards the region on Monday bringing periods of rain to the area Monday Night through Thursday. The low then moves into Canada on Thursday Night sending the cold front offshore. This will result in cooler, but drier weather for Friday. Another upper level trough will cross the region this weekend.
  
The weekend looks dry at this point, but the upper level low could bring some rain chances Saturday. Saturday will be cloudy and Sunday sunnier. High temperatures will be in the 50’s and 60’s with 40’s and 50’s for lows. Water, surf and beach conditions should be ok, provided waters recover by the weekend. Winds will be moderate to gusty, so it should allow the ocean to settle by Saturday,  but the potential for gustier winds could increase water conditions for both days.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 20%-50% chance of showers tonight
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 60’s inland, mid to upper 50’s along the coast
Low:   Mid to upper 40’s
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:01am
Sunset: 7:47pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  60%-90% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 50’s, possibly some upper 50’s across Southern and Southern Coastal Areas
Low:   Mid 40’s inland, upper 40’s to low 50’s along the coast, low 40’s across the north
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:00am
Sunset: 7:48pm
New Moon: 2:15am


Wednesday
Sky:   Cloudy, Windy
Precipitation:  80%-100% chance of rain all day
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 50’s, low 60’s across southern areas, low 50’s across the north  
Low:   Mid to upper 50’s, mid 40’s across the north  
UV Index:  0-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 5:58am
Sunset: 7:49pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy becoming mostly to partly cloudy at night
Precipitation:  50%-80% chance of showers during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s inland, low 60’s along the coast
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 5:57am
Sunset: 7:50pm


Friday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid 60’s inland, upper 50’s along the coast
Low:   Mid 40’s to low 50’s
UV Index:  7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 5:56am
Sunset: 7:51pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  50°F
Monday
Wind:   N 5-10 knots becoming NE late
Seas:    1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SE 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm, Patchy fog after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Thursday
Wind:  S 10-15 knots becoming W 5-10 knots in the evening
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm and patchy fog in the morning
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                          



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  50°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  E 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 1 to 1 knots
Seas:  E 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  SE 7 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 22 knots
Seas:  SE 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet

Friday Morning
Winds: W 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  47°F
Monday
Winds: NW 5-10 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas: E 2-3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Winds: S 10 knots becoming E with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas:  E 2-3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  E 5-8 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  E 5-8 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  E 6-9 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SE 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  E 7-10 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 15-20 knots becoming SW 15 knots in the evening
Seas:  SE 7-10 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 15 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  SE 7-10 feet at 7 seconds subsiding to 4-6 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Friday
Winds: W 10-15 knots
Seas:  SE 3-5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Winds: W 10-15 knots
Seas:  SE 2-3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  56°F
Monday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less  
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 8 knots becoming E after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SSE  20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Thursday
Wind:  SSW 10-15 knots
1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SW 10 knots becoming WNW after midnight
1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  WSW 8-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  WSW 8-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  48°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 20 to 28 knots
Seas:  ESE 7 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SE 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  ESE 8 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet

Thursday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  SSE 8 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet

Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 24 knots
Seas:  SSE 7 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet

Friday Morning
Winds: NW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  54°F
Monday
Wind:   S 5-10 knots
Seas:   1 foot or less building to 2-3 feet this afternoon
Surf:   0-1 feet increasing to 1-2 feet this afternoon
Monday Night
Wind:  SE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: E 15-20 knots increasing to 20-25 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:    E 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:    2-4 feet
Surf:   1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SE 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  S 20-25 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 15-20 knots becoming SW 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Thursday Night
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  46°F
Monday Morning
Winds: N 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Monday Night
Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  ENE 5 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  ENE 7 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  ENE 8 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  E 8 feet at 7 seconds

Thursday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 25 to 34 knots
Seas:  S 11 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 24 to 32 knots
Seas:  S 11 feet at 8 seconds

Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 6 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 8 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: April 28, 2014, 11:54:16 AM by Pfishingruven »


Offline Pfishingruven

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The Outlook is all updated. Sorry for the delay! The data from the models that BuoyWeather is reading is not 100% accurate this week, especially for today in some locations. It has seas 10+ feet for today. Today, conditions will be moderate winds with seas 2-3 feet, increasing tonight.

Have a great week! Anyone with family and friends across Central and Southern parts of the US...make sure they are aware of the Severe Weather threats!

 TT^


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Flood Watch & Coastal Flood Advisories
« Reply #2 on: April 28, 2014, 04:02:20 PM »
Flood Watches have been issued for Salem, Gloucester, Camden, Burlington, Sussex, Warren, Morris, Hunterdon, Somerset, Middlesex, Mercer, & Monmouth Counties due to the potential of 2-4+ inches of rain.

All coastal and tidal counties also have Coastal Flood Advisories for Minor Coastal Flooding associated with above normal tides and anticipated rain. Tides are anticipated to be 1-2 feet above normal.

Here is river and stream flooding forecasts and real time monitoring as well at the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center.

NWS PHI Briefing #1 Excessive Rain Event
« Last Edit: April 28, 2014, 04:08:51 PM by Pfishingruven »

Offline Ms Fish

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thud Eii Yii Yii... guess it's that time of year, April Showers bring May Flowers... still though, I'd rather have May Stripers!!  ;D  Thanks for the reports Matt! We think you're great! Keep it up!  clp


 

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