Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: June 16-20, 2014  (Read 2545 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Summer makes an early appearance; hot and humid with scattered showers and thunderstorms all week, but good water conditions. At some point in the day, every day this week, including next weekend, will have chances of scattered to widely scattered and even more widespread showers and/or thunderstorms. As high pressure shifts southeast of the region, it will begin a period of southerly flow pumping hot and humid air into the area. Monday will see 70’s along the coast and 80’s inland with 60’s overnight. By Tuesday and for Wednesday highs will be in the upper 80’s and low 90’s with some mid 90’s possible inland. Coastal areas will only see a slight reprieve in the mid 80’s. Overnight lows will be in the upper 60’s to low 70’s.  Heat indices for Tuesday and Wednesday will easily reach the mid 90’s with upper 90’s, possibly even the 100’s. Hydrate and stay directly out of the sun, if you can. For Thursday, temperatures will drop back into the 70’s and 80’s and stay there for Friday and into the weekend. Overnight lows will be in the 60’s with some upper 50’s returning for parts of NNJ on Thursday Night. Water conditions are good, all week, for all locations. Northern Areas/Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet  on Wednesday and Thursday could feel the southerly flow effects with winds increasing to 10-15 knots with some higher gusts, but below SCA criteria. Other than that, the week looks solid. Surf and beach conditions will be good with a chance of 10-15 knots winds on Wednesday and Thursday, also. Surf heights will not be affected too much, staying in the 1-3 foot range with some 2-4 foot wave scattered about this week. Rip Current Risk will be Low this week, however, Low does not mean there won’t be or can’t be rip currents still present. Water temperatures are steady in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s in rivers and bays, upper 60’s to low 70’s in the surf, and low to mid 60’s for ocean waters. Offshore waters have increased into the mid 60’s. UV Index will be Moderate to Very High ranging from 4-10/15.

High pressure over the area will shift south and center off the Southeast Coast this week. A weak trough moves east through the Mid Atlantic Monday Night. A cold front over the Great Lakes Wednesday will move down through the region Thursday, then stall just south for the weekend.

The Atlantic is quiet. The hurricane (Christina) in the E. Pacific has weakened to a Post Tropical Cyclone and is still not a threat to land. There is another area in the E. Pacific being watched.

The weekend looks like a continuation of this week with chances of scattered shower and thunderstorms both days. It does not look like a washout, though. Temperatures will continue in the 70’s and 80’s with lows in the 60’s. Air looks to be drier than midweek, but still moderate to higher at times humidity.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-40% chance of rain and/or thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 80’s inland, upper 70’s to low 80’s along the coast
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s inland and along the coast, low 60’s across the north
UV Index:  9-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:27am
Sunset: 8:27pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny then partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 80’s to low 90’s inland, mid 80’s along the coast
Low:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s
UV Index:  9-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:27am
Sunset: 8:27pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Partly sunny to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 80’s to low 90’s
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s  
UV Index:  6-9/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:27am
Sunset: 8:27pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms during the day
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 80’s inland, upper 70’s to low 80’s along the coast
Low:   Low to upper 60’s inland and along the coast, upper 50’s across the north
UV Index:  5-10/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:27am
Sunset: 8:28pm
Last Qtr: 2:40pm


Friday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-40% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to low 80’s inland, low to mid 70’s along the coast
Low:   Low to upper 60’s
UV Index:  4-10/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 8:28pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  73°F
Monday
Wind:   N 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:    1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  W 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming SW in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                          



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  73°F
Monday Morning
Winds: N 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  S 1 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: W 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: N 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: W 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  60°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: N 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  73°F
Monday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less becoming
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 6-9 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-9 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  W 6-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 8-13 knots becoming Variable winds 5 knots or less after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  69°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  72°F-75°F
Monday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming S 10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:   1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:   1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  SE 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  65°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSW 3 feet at 5 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: N 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SSW 3 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: N 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: June 15, 2014, 10:32:30 PM by Pfishingruven »


Offline fluke - u

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Offline Pfishingruven

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t^... Thanks Matt, Happy Fathers Day ... chrz
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Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Severe Weather Potential Tuesday & Wednesday
« Reply #3 on: June 17, 2014, 12:52:12 PM »
There will be a threat of strong to severe thunderstorms on both Tuesday and Wednesday. Tuesday's storms look to come later today, in the late evening with the bulk during the overnight after midnight. Storms will continue into Wednesday. Thunderstorms will be capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, damaging winds and some areas (mainly NW NJ) risk includes isolated tornadoes and/or hail.

Make sure you have a way of obtaining Advisories, Watches & Warnings during the overnight and be safe!

Stay cool today and tomorrow as well ;D.









Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Wednesday Heat Advisory & Potential Severe Thunderstorms
« Reply #4 on: June 18, 2014, 09:56:01 AM »
NWS PHI has issued a Heat Advisory for Mercer, Gloucester, Camden, & Western Burlington Counties today. Temperatures will be in the mid 90's with heat indices in the upper 90's (possibly even into the 100's).

There is also a chance of thunderstorms this afternoon/evening, some of which could be strong to severe. The main threats would be heavy rains, dangerous lightning, damaging winds and hail. The tornado threat is just to the west today out in PA. Be aware and be safe!

Have a great day!!





Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Potential for Severe Weather Today/Thursday
« Reply #5 on: June 19, 2014, 03:08:27 PM »
Again, there is a potential for strong to severe thunderstorms with the rain moving into the area. Thunderstorms can bring heavy rains, dangerous lightning, damaging winds and even hail. Areas that receive heavy rains could experience flooding as well. Right now, it appears to be just widespread rain moving into the area with storms to the south and west of the state. Storms will be possible through tonight before clearing out.

Be alert and stay safe!





 

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