NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: July 21-25, 2014

[Pfishingruven]

Temperatures and humidity increase and chances of thunderstorms return, while water conditions look mostly good this week. Dry conditions will start and end the week with chances of showers and thunderstorms midweek. Monday and Friday will be dry, however Tuesday through Thursday could bring chances of showers and thunderstorms.  Showers and thunderstorms will be scattered to widely scattered with potential of more organized storms later in the afternoons/evenings. Widespread rain and storms do not look likely this week, however locally heavy rains are possible within thunderstorms. Severe weather is not in the forecast right now, but could be updated daily. Temperatures will return to average with upper 70’s and 80’s with moderate to higher humidity. Overnight lows will continue in the 60’s and low 70’s with lows Thursday and Friday Night across the north in the upper 50’s and low 60’s. Water conditions are rated good for all locations, all week. Small Craft Advisories should be cancelled by Monday; an unexpected deepening of the offshore low caused higher winds and seas to 6.6 feet today. Winds could be gusty on Wednesday and Thursday with gusts to 20 knots possible. Variable winds this week will mix up the flow, with a southerly flow on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. Otherwise, no marine headlines are anticipated. Surf and beach conditions will be good as well. Surf could be rougher on Monday with an onshore flow with waves 1-3 feet with the potential for 2-4 feet and a 4+ foot swell. The remainder of the week, surf will be normal around 1-3 feet. Low to Moderate Risk of Rip Currents. Water temperatures have cooled some. Rivers and bays are in the 70’s. Surf temperatures are in the mid to upper 60’s with some low 70’s in areas. Inshore ocean waters are in the upper 60’s to low 70’s. Midshore to offshore waters are in the low 70’s. UV Index will be Moderate to Very High.   

Weak low pressure located off the Mid-Atlantic Coast will move out to sea Sunday. High pressure will establish itself over the region, Monday through Wednesday. A cold front from the Northwest will arrive on Thursday with high pressure following for Friday and Saturday. A warm front will approach from the South on Sunday.

There is an area in the Eastern Atlantic and Eastern Pacific being watched for potential development.

The weekend looks dry right now with hot and humid temperatures. Water, surf and beach conditions look good as well.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low:   Mid to upper 60’s
UV Index:  4-8/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:45am
Sunset: 8:21pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms during the day mainly across the north
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 80’s
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
UV Index:  4-9/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:46am
Sunset: 8:20pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-50% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Low 80’s to low 90’s
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s 
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:46am
Sunset: 8:19pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-50% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 80’s
Low:   Low to upper 60’s
UV Index:  7-9/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:47am
Sunset: 8:18pm


Friday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s
Low:   Mid to upper 60’s inland and along the coast with upper 50’s across the north
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:48am
Sunset: 8:18pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  72°F
Monday
Wind:   NE 5-10 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:    1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  S 5 knots increasing to 10 knots late
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots late
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming SW 5-10 knots late in the evening
Seas:  1-2 feet then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon and evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  72°F
Monday Morning
Winds: ENE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 1 to 2 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  68°F
Monday Morning
Winds: ENE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: E 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: S 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  75°F
Monday
Wind:  NE 6-8 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SSE 6 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming SSE 5-9 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SSW 7-9 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  SSW 8-13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SSW 9-12 knots decreasing to 6-9 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 5 knots becoming SW
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  74°F
Monday Morning
Winds: ENE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: E 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: S 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  73°F-78°F
Monday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  SE 5 knots increasing to 10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming SE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming NW in the evening
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots becoming S after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  72°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: NE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: E 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: NNE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms for late afternoon through the overnight, today. Some of these storms could be strong to severe, especially for Western and Northern NJ. Storms are capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning and damaging winds; small hail is also possible.

Be alert for changing conditions!

[Hunter 2]

  Thanks Matt

[Pfishingruven]

There is a generalized risk of strong to severe thunderstorms for the southern half of NJ today, Thursday. Storms could produce heavy rains, dangerous lightning and damaging winds. Like any severe weather hail and tornadoes can never be ruled out.

A sea breeze has moved onshore; this ocean generated front/marine layer has helped stabilize the atmosphere along the coast and is the reason storms fizzled out before reaching coastal areas, even inland coastal areas yesterday.

Be alert for any changing weather, especially on the water. Despite storms weakening and dying before reaching the coast, storms can still be dangerous and even intensify over the open waters.