NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Aug 25-29, 2014

[Pfishingruven]

A mostly settled week for weather, but very unsettled week for water conditions. It will be mostly sunny this week with dry conditions. Wednesday Evening and Thursday Day could see lower chances of isolated or scattered showers and thunderstorms. High temperatures will be in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Water conditions will be borderline most of the week. Rivers and bays should be ok, however ocean waters will have a continued onshore flow early in the week, shifting midweek and then returning for the end of the week. Midweek will see effects of Cristobal with long period swell to 15 seconds, high seas inshore at 3-5 feet and offshore at 4-7 feet. Checking daily and local conditions will be necessary this week. Surf and beach conditions will be OK to Cautious. Surf will be rough and elevated due to onshore flow and then effects of Cristobal. Surf will run 2-4 and 3-5 feet with Rip Current Risks High to Moderate. Water temperatures are steady in the low to mid 70’s. UV Index will be High to Very High at 7-8/15

High pressure will remain in control of the weather through Tuesday.  A cold front will drop southeast into the Mid-Atlantic states late Wednesday or Thursday. The NHC tracks Cristobal well out to sea and east of the Carolina late in the week. A more summerlike, warm humid pattern appears to be unfolding for the weekend.

Invest 96L became Tropical Depression #4 and now Tropical Storm Cristobal. Cristobal will strengthen to a hurricane this week, but should stay well off the NJ Coast and out to sea. Water conditions will see effects Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. Long period swells to 15 seconds, wave heights 3-5 feet inshore and 4-7 feet offshore, rougher surf with wave heights 3-5 feet with High Risk for Rip Currents. Another area of Invest 97L has emerged near the Cape Verde Islands and will move west-northwest over the next several days.

Heat and humidity returns for the weekend with chances of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the 70’s and 80’s with lows in the 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will see increasing winds and seas on Saturday and for Sunday. Seas will push 3-5 inshore and 4-7 offshore.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Sunny then mostly clear to clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s inland, mid to upper 70’s along the coast
Low:   Lot to mid 60’s inland and along the coast, mid 50’s across the north
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:17am
Sunset: 7:40pm
New Moon: 10:14am


Tuesday
Sky:  Sunny then mostly clear to clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 80’s inland, upper 70’s to low 80’s along the coast
Low:   Low to mid 60’s inland, mid to upper 60’s along the coast, upper 50’s across the north
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:18am
Sunset: 7:39pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 0%-30% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 80’s
Low:   Mid to upper 60’s inland and along the coast with low 60’s across the north
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:19am
Sunset: 7:37pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low:   Low 60’s inland, mid to upper 60’s along the coast, mid 50’s across the north
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:20am
Sunset: 7:35pm


Friday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to low 80’s inland, low to mid 70’s along the coast
Low:   Low 60’s inland, mid to upper 60’s along the coast, mid 50’s across the north
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:21am
Sunset: 7:34pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Tropics & Cristobal




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  74°F
Monday
Wind:   N 5 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:    1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  74°F
Monday Morning
Winds: N 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  71°F
Monday Morning
Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: E 6 to 7 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SE 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: E 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  75°F
Monday
Wind:  NNE 9 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 6 knots becoming WSW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  W 6-9 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SSW 7-12 knots becoming WSW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NNW 5-7 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming N 5-9 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots becoming SE late
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  73°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: E 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  76°F-79°F
Monday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots becoming E 10-15 knots late morning
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming NE after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  NE 5 knots becoming SE late
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  NE 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  72°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: ENE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: E 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 6 feet at 12 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SSE 6 feet at 11 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

Complete Outlook all updated. Minor updates to the Conditions At-A-Glance, as well.

Have a great week as we move into Labor Day Weekend and the last "unofficial" weekend of Summer. Where has the time gone .

[Hotrod]

 

[Pfishingruven]

There is the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe storms late this afternoon/evening into the overnight. Storms capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, and damaging winds are possible. Be alert to changing conditions and have a way of receiving alerts.

Be safe!