NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Sept 13-14, 2014

[Pfishingruven]

A mixed weekend with active and unsettled weather patterns affecting weather and water conditions. Saturday will have higher chances of rain, all day, clearing out for Sunday. Sunday looks dry with more sun than clouds. Highs will be in the upper 60’s to lower 70’s with overnight lows in the 40’s, 50’s and 60’s. Humidity should be low to moderate. The cold front last night took that muggy air and sent it out to sea. Water conditions will be mixed all weekend and vary by location and time. Overall, it looks like a very borderline weekend with some good conditions possible and some cautious conditions possible as well, depending on the location. In general, the northeasterly/northerly flow will continue. Saturday will see 10-15 knot winds with gusts to 20 knots through Sunday afternoon with seas 2-4 feet inshore and 4-5 feet offshore. Sunday Afternoon will see winds diminish to 5-10 knots and seas settling to closer to the 2 foot mark. Not a washout by far! Surf and beach conditions will be good minus the gustier winds through Sunday Afternoon. Surf could be rougher at times, with the northeasterly/northerly winds and waves will average 1-3 feet, but higher waves in the 2-4+ foot range are possible. Rip Current Risk will be Moderate this weekend, so be careful in and around the surf. Water temperatures are a few degrees cooler already, however most temperatures are still in the low to mid 70’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate on Saturday and High on Sunday.

High pressure over the region on Friday will move away Friday Night.  A low pressure system and it’s associated fronts will affect the area Saturday and Saturday Evening. High pressure will then arrive for Sunday and remains across the area through Monday. The next cold front will arrive Monday Night and Tuesday, with high pressure again building in for Wednesday and Thursday.

Monday will start off dry, with chances of rain for Monday Night and Tuesday, clearing out for Tuesday Night and remaining dry the rest of the week. Highs will be in the 70’s with lows in the 50’s, maybe some 40’s across northern NJ. Water conditions will be mixed depending on location and day. Monday looks good, Tuesday borderline, Wednesday OK, Thursday borderline-cautious and Friday OK-good. Surf and beach conditions look good all week, minus some gustier winds approaching 20 knots on Tuesday and Thursday.

Tropical Storm Edouard has formed in the Eastern Atlantic and will remain out to sea. It is forecast to strengthen and become a hurricane, but no affects should be felt here for maritime areas. It should stay well east of Bermuda. There are 2 invest areas being watched as well. One right off the East Coast of Florida that will likely track west and move into the GOM and another that just emerged off of Cape Verde. Nothing to be concerned with here right now. The system off of Florida is bringing tropical rains and may develop once in the GOM, so Gulf States need to keep an eye on this.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-70% chance of rain all day
Temperatures
High:  Upper 60’s to mid 70’s
Low:  Low to mid 50’s inland, mid to upper 50’s along the coast
UV Index:  1-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:35am
Sunset: 7:10pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:  Low 50’s inland, upper 50’s to low 60’s along the coast, mid 40’s across the north
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:36am
Sunset: 7:08pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Atlantic Tropics





Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  72°F
Saturday
Wind:  E 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots becoming N 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday
Wind:  N 10-15 knots diminishing to 5 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  N 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  72°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: E 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: N 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: N 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  70°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: E 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: N 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  72°F
Saturday
Wind:  E 11-16 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  NE 10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  N 8-13 knots becoming NNE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  72°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ENE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  76°F
Saturday
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Saturday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 becoming N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the evening
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  72°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: E 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  NE 5 feet at 5 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 6 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)