Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Sept 20-21, 2014  (Read 1180 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A very mixed weekend, but not a washout for weather or water conditions. Both days will have chances of showers. Saturday will have the lowest chances, starting off with patchy fog in the early morning and becoming a mix of sun and some clouds. There are very low chances of showers, mostly isolated at best. Sunday will have a mix of sun and clouds with higher chances of showers and thunderstorms. This is still below a 50% chance all day with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some storms could be strong to severe. Highs will be in the 70’s and lower 80’s with overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. As a southerly flow returns, Summer is hanging on this weekend bringing moderate to high humidity and the chances of showers and thunderstorms. Water conditions will be the bigger foe with borderline to cautious conditions on ocean waters. Winds will pick up Saturday Afternoon building seas as well. Winds will continue over night for most places building seas 3-5 feet inshore and 4-7 offshore. Sunday will see a mix of winds, most being on the sub 10 knot side, however seas could still run high, prompting a borderline day. Rivers and bays look good. Surf and beach conditions will be good to ok. Winds will be gusty on Saturday PM and surf will be rougher in the 2-4 foot and 3-5 foot range. Rip Currents will be Moderate to High. Thunderstorms on Sunday could increase winds and seas locally, as well.  Water temperatures are in the mid 60’s to mid 70’s. UV Index will be Moderate to High.

High pressure will move across to the north of the region on Friday and then shift offshore Friday Night.  A cold front will cross the area Sunday Night into Monday. High pressure builds in from the west Monday and remains through the end of next week.

Next week looks dry and seasonal, with highs in the 60’s and 70’s and overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be mixed between good and borderline to cautious. Monday and Wednesday look like the main two days of borderline to cautious conditions.

Edouard is still out at sea and exiting to the northeast. There is another area being watched that just emerged from Africa.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  Slight chance of showers during the day, Fog in the morning
Temperatures
High:  Low to upper 70’s
Low:  Low to mid 60’s with mid 50’s across the north
UV Index:  3-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:42am
Sunset: 6:58pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:  Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low:  Upper 50’s inland, low 60’s along the coast, low 50’s across the north
UV Index:  5-6/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:42am
Sunset: 6:57pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  68°F
Saturday
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots becoming S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  SW 10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  68°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: SSW 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  69°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: SSW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: E 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  66°F
Saturday
Wind:  SSE 7-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Patchy fog
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  S 7-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  SSE 7-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  SW 10 knots becoming WNW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  72°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ESE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  72°F-75°F
Saturday
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Patchy fog
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  72°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds

Sunday Morning
Winds: SSE 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: E 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 7 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)








Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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