Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Sept 27-28, 2014  (Read 1253 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Weather looks good and water conditions improve for the weekend. After the blow out of a week, this weekend will be welcomed by many. Both days look dry and warmer with upper 70’s to low 80’s. Sunny skies mixed with minimal clouds until Sunday Night, when clouds will slowly start building in to the area. Overnight temperatures will range from upper 40’s across the north to low 60’s along the coast. Most areas will see 50’s overnight. Humidity will be moderate to even higher for this time of year. Areas with lower lows will have less humidity, especially at night. Water conditions look mostly good. The key to the weekend is how fast waters recover from this week? This morning buoys are still seeing winds to 20+ knots and seas 5-10 feet from inshore to offshore. Conditions look good for most locations for the weekend. Saturday will have moderate winds and seas will run 3-5 feet or more at 8 seconds. Southern and offshore waters look more borderline than elsewhere. Saturday is a check the buoys and check conditions in person. Rivers and bays should not be a problem at all, so there is always that option if the ocean is still running high. Sunday will be better than Saturday, with calmer winds and seas should settle by then, depending upon how much they settle Friday and Saturday. Sunday should see closer to 3-4 foot seas at 8 seconds. Surf and beach conditions look good. Again, Saturday could see some 15+ knot winds and surf will be rougher around 2-4 feet with High Risk of Rip Currents. Sunday will see surf less rough around 1-3 feet and Moderate to High Risk of Rip Currents. This is far from the 10 feet seen this week, but waters could still be strong, so be careful! Water temperatures are cooling some, but still in the upper 60’s to low 70’s. UV Index will be High at 6/15.

High pressure will continue to build across the region through the weekend. A cold front is expected to move across the area Monday. Then move to the south by morning. Another low pressure system may move off the Southeast Coast early next week and move towards the area on Tuesday or Wednesday.

Next week has chances of rain through Wednesday as another potential coastal storm may affect the area. Thursday and Friday look to dry out. Highs will be in the 60’s and 70’s with upper 70’s to start the week. Overnight lows will be in the 40’s to 60’s, cooler air works in during the overnight. Water, surf and beach conditions will be good through Tuesday and move back into the borderline to cautious and even hazardous by Wednesday and Thursday. If this system holds true, winds will be gusty and seas will build to 7+ feet again, prompting Small Craft Advisories. This will be the ticket to watch for next week.

There is an area of invest east of the Lesser Antilles. This is something to watch right now as well. Models are not doing much with it at the moment.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low:  Mid 50’s inland, upper 50’s to low 60’s along the coast, upper 40’s across the north
UV Index:  6/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:48am
Sunset: 6:47pm


Sunday
Sky:  Sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low:  Mid 50’s inland, upper 50’s to low 60’s along the coast, upper 40’s to low 50’s across the north
UV Index:  6/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:49am
Sunset: 6:45pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Atlantic Tropics



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  66°F
Saturday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  SE 5 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):   1-3 feet
Sunday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  66°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: N 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: NE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NNW 1 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: S 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  67°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: NE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  62°F
Saturday
Wind:  N 7-10 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming SE 6 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  69°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NNE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: ENE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  68°F-70°F
Saturday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Saturday Night
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday
Wind:  E 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday Night
Wind:  SE 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  70°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Sunday Morning
Winds: ENE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)








Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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