A very unsettled week through Christmas Eve and a mixed water conditions! A strong winter storm will affect much of the central and eastern portions of the country with snow and rain. Our area will be on the tail end with rain, maybe a wintry mix across northern areas on Monday, and some windy and high seas. Monday will begin the precipitation continuing through Wednesday. The peak of the rain will come on Wednesday. This could make for preholiday traveling issues! If you are traveling, keep this is mind. Rain will clear out for Thursday/Christmas with just some lingering showers on Thursday Day, mainly across the north. Friday will be clear and dry as well. Highs will be warm with this “winter storm” as a warm front is pulled up across the area. 50’s and 60’s will be seen with some 40’s across the north. Overnight lows will only be in the 40’s with some 30’s across the north. By Christmas Day, a cold front will return and highs will be back into the 40’s with lows in the 30’s. Water conditions will be mixed…Monday will start off good, deteriorating to cautious for Monday Afternoon/Night and into Tuesday and then hazardous for Wednesday for some areas. Thursday will be mixed good to cautious and Friday looks like things could improve to good. Winds could near 30 knots with seas to 10 feet on Tuesday and Wednesday. Surf and beach conditions will be the same as water conditions. Surf will be rough and high starting Tuesday and could peak to 8 feet with winds nearing 30 knots as well before improving for Friday. Water temperatures are steady in the 50’s with some 40’s. UV Index will be Low at 0-2/15.
High pressure centered over Quebec will drift eastward and into Atlantic Canada by Monday. Weak low pressure will develop off of the Carolina Coast on Monday before moving slowly northeastward and dissipating off of the DELMARVA on Tuesday. Low pressure is expected to develop around the Central Gulf Coast on Tuesday. The low should strengthen as it lifts northward and across the Eastern Great Lakes on Wednesday Night. The low should pull a warm front through the region on Wednesday, followed by a cold front late on Wednesday Night. High pressure should then follow from the Southwest for Thursday and Friday. Another cold front from the west will arrive on Saturday.
The weekend looks dry with highs in the 30’s and 40’s and lows in the 20’s and 30’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be mixed from good/borderline to cautious.
Have a great week! From my family to yours…have a very Merry Christmas! Be safe and enjoy.
Thanks for reading!
MondaySky: Increasing clouds becoming cloudy
Precipitation: 30%-60% chance of rain all day, 30%-50% chance of wintry mix/sleet/snow across northern areas
Temperatures
High: Mid 30’s to mid 40’s
Low: Upper 40’s to low 40’s inland and along the coast, low to mid 30’s across northern areas
UV Index: 1-2 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:15am
Sunset: 4:35pm
TuesdaySky: Cloudy
Precipitation: 40%-90% chance of rain all day
Temperatures
High: Low 50’s inland and along the coast, low 40’s across northern areas
Low: Low 50’s inland and along the coast, low 40’s across northern areas
UV Index: 0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:15am
Sunset: 4:35pm
Wednesday*Christmas Eve*Sky: Cloudy
Precipitation: 70%-100% chance of rain
Temperatures
High: Mid 50’s to low 60’s
Low: Low 40’s
UV Index: 0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:16am
Sunset: 4:36pm
Thursday*Christmas Day*Sky: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear, Windy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance, 30% chance of showers during the day across northern areas
Temperatures
High: Upper 40’s
Low: Low 30’s inland, upper 30’s along the coast
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:16am
Sunset: 4:36pm
FridaySky: Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 40’s
Low: Mid 30’s inland, upper 30’s along the coast
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:16am
Sunset: 4:37pm
Monday Surface Analysis
Tuesday Surface Analysis
Wednesday Surface Analysis
Thursday Surface Analysis
Friday Surface
Total Precipitation Monday - Friday
Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday
Christmas Eve Storm Track
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 40°F
MondayWind: NE 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Monday NightWind: NE 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
TuesdayWind: NE 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Tuesday NightWind: E 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: E 5-10 knots increasing to SE 15-20 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: S 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 4-7 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 10-15 knots with gusts to 40 knots, increasing to 15-20 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 4-7 feetThursday NightWind: W 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 4-7 feet
FridayWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Friday NightWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay) Sandy Hook Tides 
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NYWater Temperature: 40°F
Monday MorningWinds: NE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: E 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday MorningWinds: ENE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: E 10 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: SE 8 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 19 to 26 knots
Seas: SE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 4-7 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 4-7 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 20 to 27 knots
Seas: SE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 4-7 feetFriday MorningWinds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Coney Island, NY Tides Coney Island Tides
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 45°F
Monday MorningWinds: NE 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: E 6 to 8 knots
Seas: E 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday MorningWinds: ENE 11 to 14 knots
Seas: ENE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: E 11 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: SSE 8 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 4-7 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 19 to 25 knots
Seas: SE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 4-7 feetThursday MorningWinds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 5-8 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 18 to 25 knots
Seas: SE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 5-8 feetFriday MorningWinds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides Manasquan Inlet Tides
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)Water Temperature: 38°F
MondayWind: NE 7 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday NightWind: NE 6-8 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
TuesdayWind: E 10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday NightWind: E 10 knots becoming SE after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: SE 7-10 knots becoming S 13-18 knots in the morning with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: S 17-19 knots becoming SW after midnight with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 14-18 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feetThursday NightWind: W 7-10 knots
Seas: 1 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
FridayWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) TidesBarnegat Bay Tides
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 45°F
Monday MorningWinds: ENE 7 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 15 to 21 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feetTuesday AfternoonWinds: ENE 7 to 9 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Wednesday MorningWinds: SSE 13 to 18 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 23 to 31 knots
Seas: SE 7 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feetThursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas: SE 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 18 to 24 knots
Seas: SE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feetFriday MorningWinds: W 5 to 6 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: SSW 12 to 17 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Cape May (Ocean) Tides Cape May Tides
Delaware BayWater Temperature: 43°F
MondayWind: E 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Monday NightWind: E 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
TuesdayWind: E 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday NightWind: E 10 knots becoming SE after midnight with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: S 15-20 knots
Seas: 3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: S 15-20 knots becoming W 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas: 3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 2-4 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 15-20 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 15-20 diminishing to 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetFridayWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday NightWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) TidesDelaware River Tides
Offshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 55°F
Monday MorningWinds: ENE 5 to 7 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 9 seconds
Monday AfternoonWinds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday MorningWinds: ENE 13 to 17 knots
Seas: ENE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: E 14 to 19 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 7 secondsWednesday MorningWinds: SSE 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ASDVISORY
Winds: S 23 to 31 knots
Seas: SSE 7 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ASDVISORY
Winds: W 18 to 25 knots
Seas: SSE 10 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 21 to 29 knots
Seas: SSE 9 feet at 9 secondsFriday MorningWinds: WNW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Friday AfternoonWinds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Sea Surface TemperaturesSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! 
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
