NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Apr 13-17, 2015

[Pfishingruven]

A rollercoaster of a week for weather and water conditions. A very typical week during season change, maybe more resembling March, but it is what it is. Monday Day will be sunny and dry with highs in the low 70’s inland, but around 10 degrees colder along the water due to the cold ocean influences, around the low 60’s. Monday later in the day will have increasing clouds into the overnight and chances of showers moving in. Tuesday will have chances of showers during the day with increased cloud cover, clearing for Tuesday Night. Highs on Tuesday will be in the 50’s and 60’s with overnight lows in the 30’s and 40’s. Wednesday will be dry and sunny with highs in the 50’s and 60’s again and overnight lows in the 30’s and 40’s. Thursday Day will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds, with clouds increasing into the overnight and chances of showers returning for night. Friday will have chances of showers all day into Saturday. Highs will be in the 50’s and 60’s on Thursday and Friday with overnight lows in the 40’s and 50’s. Shower chances look to be mostly scattered and widely scattered except for Tuesday. Tuesday looks to be more widespread and organized to widely scattered. Water conditions are all over the place this week as well. Good on Monday Morning becoming cautious by Monday Afternoon and mostly continuing for Tuesday and Wednesday. Some places will see borderline conditions mixed in, but generally cautious conditions will be in place, except for bays. Thursday and Friday will see mostly borderline conditions for seas and visibility, however offshore waters look cautious on Thursday and bays will be good both days. Surf and beach conditions will be good to ok with anywhere from 1-3 to 3-5 feet this week, echoing water conditions with winds and seas. Water temperatures are steady in the 40’s with the Delaware Bay seeing some 50’s. UV Index will range from Low to High at 1-7/15.

High pressure east of NJ will move further out to sea on Sunday Night. A cold front will cross the area on Tuesday Morning. Low pressure will form on the departing front east of the DELMARVA late on Tuesday. High pressure builds over the Northeast during midweek. Low pressure and another cold front organize over the Northeast on Friday into Saturday. Then, high pressure follows for Sunday.

So, for the weekend, Saturday Day will have some chances of showers, clearing out for Saturday Night and Sunday will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds. Highs will be in the 60’s inland and 50’s along the coast with overnight lows in the 40’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be good on Saturday and cautious to hazardous on Sunday with gusty winds to 30 knots and building seas.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Anyone interested in Extended Range Tropical Weather forecasts, the University of Colorado has released their forecast for the 2015 season. With a moderate El Nino, tropical activity is forecast to be below average. However this does not remove all of the risk from tropical weather, these forecasts can be very untrustworthy and it only takes 1 storm to cause problems (as we have seen in the past).

2015 Tropical Weather Season Extended Forecast

Monday
Sky:   Mostly sunny with increasing clouds overnight
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 30%-80% chance of showers at night (chances increase to the west and north)
Temperatures
High:    Low 70’s inland, low 60’s along the coast (cold ocean water influences)
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s
UV Index:  6/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:23am
Sunset: 7:31pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy with decreasing clouds later in the day into overnight becoming mostly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  80% chance of showers during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Low to mid 40’s inland and along the coast, mid 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:21am
Sunset: 7:32pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:    Upper 50’s to upper 60’s
Low:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:20am
Sunset: 7:33pm


Thursday
Sky:   Partly sunny to mostly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 30%-50% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Low 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Low to upper 40’s
UV Index:  4-5/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:18am
Sunset: 7:34pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  40%-50% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Mid 60’s inland, mid 50’s along the coast
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:17am
Sunset: 7:36pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  45°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming NW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  N 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Patchy fog, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Patchy fog, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  45°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Night
Winds: S 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  43°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  E 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: N 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: E 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ESE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  43°F
Monday
Wind:  S 6-9 knots increasing to 11-14 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 10-13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  SW 5-9 knots becoming N in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  N 8 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  N 10-13 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming NE 5-7 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Wind:  E 6-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SSE 5-7 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Patchy fog, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Patchy fog, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  46°F
Monday Morning
Winds: S 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Winds: S 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  50°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm after midnight
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming N early in the afternoon, then becoming NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots late
Seas:  2-4 feet, Visibility 1 nm or less increasing to 1-3 nm in the afternoon
Surf:  2-3 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:   2-3 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Winds:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  E 10-15 knots becoming SE 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
S winds 5 to 10 kt...diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Friday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots diminishing to 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  42°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Monday Night
Winds: SSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 17 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: ESE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 6 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)