Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: May 16-17, 2015  (Read 1248 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Hot and humid returns with chances of showers and thunderstorms as well as borderline to cautious conditions on the water. There will be chances of scattered showers and thunderstorms all day this weekend. Temperatures will rise into the 80’s again inland with 70’s along the coast. Dewpoints and humidity will be higher as well, making conditions feel warmer and stickier. Overnight lows will only be in the low to even upper 60’s. It will feel like Summer again! Water conditions will be borderline to cautious for ocean waters on Saturday with winds approaching 20 or 20+ knots and seas 3-5 feet. Sunday will see borderline conditions mainly due to higher seas. Bays and rivers should see all good conditions and midshore to offshore will be mostly cautious. Surf conditions will be ok to good with some gustier winds to 20 knots on Saturday and then less wind on Sunday. Wave heights will remain in the 2-4 feet on average with potential for 5+ foot waves. Water temperatures have been steady or warming with waters in the 50’s and 60’s now. UV Index will be High to Very High at 6-8/15.

A high pressure system over the coastal waters will move slowly offshore on Friday. A low pressure system from the Upper Mississippi Valley will move northeast, with an associated warm front crossing the region on Friday Night. A cold front will then settle south across the area before stalling later in the weekend. The next low pressure system from the Rockies will track northeast through the Great Lakes and St Lawrence Valleys. A cold front will then push across the area on Tuesday. Canadian high pressure system will gradually build in for Wednesday and Thursday.

The upcoming week will start with rain chances on Monday and Tuesday, then dry for the rest of the week. Highs will be in the 60’s and 70’s with overnight lows in the 40’s to 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious through Monday through Thursday and should improve for Friday.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-50% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:     Low to mid 80’s inland, low to mid 70’s at the shore/on the water
Low:     Low to upper 60’s
UV Index:  6-7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 5:41am
Sunset: 8:04pm


Sunday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-40% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:     Low to mid 80’s inland, low to mid 70’s at the shore/on the water
Low:     Low to upper 60’s
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:40am
Sunset: 8:05pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Severe Weather Outlooks Saturday & Sunday






Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  61°F
Saturday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):   2-4 feet
Sunday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less, Fog morning and night, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming SE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  61°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: N 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  54°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  57°F
Saturday
Wind:  SSW 13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 7-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  SW 6 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less, Fog
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  56°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: W 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  64°F-67°F
Saturday
Wind:  SW 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming SE after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  50°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 14 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 5 seconds

Sunday Morning
Winds: W 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 1 to 2 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 6 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)




Ocean Currents

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)









Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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