NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Aug 24-28, 2015

[Pfishingruven]

A unsettled start to the week, but improving by midweek and for the remainder of the week for both weather and water conditions. Monday and Tuesday will have chances of showers and thunderstorms. Monday Day will have isolated to scattered chances with greater chances from scattered to widely scattered, even some more organized showers and thunderstorms moving in for Monday Night. These will carry over into Tuesday Day and possibly into the overnight. Tuesday will be mostly isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, early could see some more widely scattered storms depending on the timing for Monday Night. Storms on Monday and Tuesday could be strong to even isolated severe thunderstorms. Wednesday will be mostly dry, but could see some lingering isolated showers/”sprinkles” as the cold front/low pressure are pushed out by high pressure. Thursday and Friday will be dry and sunny. Highs will start out in the mid to upper 80’s inland with low to mid 80’s at the shore with moderate to higher humidity. Overnight lows will be in the 60’s and low 70’s. By Tuesday Night drier air will move with highs into the low to mid 80’s with overnight lows in the mid 50’s to low 60’s inland and mid to upper 60’s at the shore with low to moderate humidity. Water conditions inshore, will also start out borderline to cautious on Monday and Tuesday on the oceans and improving to good to borderline for the rest of the week. Monday and Tuesday will see some wind gusts to 20 knots with seas to 4 feet, but by midweek winds should remain below 15 knots and seas to 3 feet. Overall, conditions will likely be good at the 2 foot height, however 2-3 and 3 feet are possible, so the borderline conditions will be noted. Rivers and bays will be good almost all week, although Monday and Tuesday could also see gustier winds and seas to 2 feet on the bays. Midshore to Offshore will be borderline to cautious all week, with seas to 5 feet possible, however, again, most likely seas will only be in the 2-4 foot range with a 3 foot average or so. The week overall looks really good, so just check those conditions often and look for real time reports or buoy products. Several days this week are noting some northerly to northwesterly winds, which will need to be noted, as these could be the days to produce those higher than forecast seas. Also Monday and Tuesday could see some fog and thunderstorm activity. Surf and beach conditions will be ok to good becoming good by midweek. Monday and Tuesday will have some gustier winds to 20 knots with surf heights to 4 feet, making Rip Current Risks Low to Moderate, even a High Risk would not be surprising. Thunderstorms are possible both of these days as well. However, by Wednesday and for the remainder of the week, wave heights will return to 1-3 feet, averaging 2 feet, with a Low to Moderate Risk of Rip Currents. Water temperatures are cooler by a few degrees, however waters are still in the mid to upper 70’s. UV Index will be High to Very High at 7-8/15.

A cold front extended from the Western Great Lakes to the Southern Plains will slowly move to the east and should arrive in the region on Monday Night. Weak low pressure should develop along the front on Monday Night as well. The front will slow and move off the coast on Tuesday and Tuesday Night. High pressure will follow for the remainder of the week. The center of the high will pass over the region on Friday before moving out to sea on the weekend.

The weekend looks to be mostly dry again with highs in the 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s and low 70’s. Water, surf and beach conditions look to start off good on Saturday with winds increasing into Saturday Afternoon and Sunday building seas 3-4 feet possible.

The Tropics are active with Danny now a Tropical Storm and encountering a lot of wind shear and drier air which will cause even more weakening. There are also 3 other areas being watched…1 off of the East Coast and 2 that have come off of Africa. The East Coast system looks to be heading off and not to be a problem and the 2 systems in the East Atlantic are worth keeping an eye on. So, watching where Danny or the remnants of Danny go and the 2 systems in the Atlantic will be on the agenda for this week. While affecting US lands looks unlikely, any or all of these could affect water conditions over the next week to weeks.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Mostly sunny to sunny becoming mostly cloudy, Patchy fog in the morning
Precipitation:  40%-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:    Mid to upper 80’s inland, low 80’s at the shore
Low:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:16am
Sunset: 7:42pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  30%-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day
Temperatures
High:   Mid 80’s inland, low 80’s at the shore
Low:   Mid 50’s to mid 60’s inland, mid 60’s to low 70’s at the shore
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:17am
Sunset: 7:40pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny, then mostly clear
Precipitation:  Chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s
Low:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s inland, upper 60’s at the shore
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:18am
Sunset: 7:39pm


Thursday
Sky:   Mostly sunny to sunny, then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low 80’s
Low:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s inland, upper 60’s at the shore
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:19am
Sunset: 7:37pm


Friday
Sky:   Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low 80’s
Low:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s inland, upper 60’s at the shore
UV Index:  6-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:20am
Sunset: 7:36pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Monday & Tuesday Severe Weather Risks




Atlantic Tropics





Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  77°F
Monday
Wind:  SE 5 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-4 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-4 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-4 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:   NW 5 knots becoming W
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  77°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NE 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  3-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  3-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  77°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NNW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  3-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: N 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3  feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  75°F
Monday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming SSE 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 8-12 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  W 10 knots becoming WSW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  WNW 5-9 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NNW 6 knots becoming SSW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  WNW 6 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  WNW 6 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming W
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  78°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  76°F-79°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming SE early in the afternoon, then increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots late
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots becoming SW late
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  N 5 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Winds: NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds: NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  N 10 knots becoming NW In the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  73°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 1 to 1 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: NNE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: N 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)