Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Oct 17-18, 2015  (Read 1219 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Fall and even winter-like weather conditions this weekend with cautious water conditions. Canadian High Pressure will bring the coldest air of the season for much of the region with Freeze Watches in effect for Saturday and Sunday Nights for most of the state. Conditions will be mostly dry, with some lower chances of isolated showers or sprinkles of rain on Sunday. Some areas could even see their first flurries on Sunday Night. Skies will be mostly clear with sun and some clouds. Highs will only be in the 40’s and 50’s with overnight lows ranging from the upper 20’s to low 40’s overnight. Many areas will see frost and freezing temperatures. However, the cold won’t stick around long, as temperatures moderate back into the 60’s by early week. Water conditions will be cautious with Small Craft Advisories all weekend. Winds will be in the 10-20 knot range with winds gusting 25-30+ knots. Winds will be mostly northwest and westerly, so seas should not build greatly staying in the 2-3 foot range on average, but waves to 4 feet are possible. Weekend conditions will not be continuous and some pockets of good conditions are possible. Being that sea heights will average lower, winds may not prevent all from being out on the water. Surf and beach conditions will be good to ok. Besides gusty winds to 30 knots, surf heights will be normal around 1-3 feet. Water temperatures have cooled into the lower to mid 60’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 2-4/15.

High pressure extending from Southern Canada into the Northern Great Plains will build southeast for the next few days, reaching the Ohio Valley on Sunday and the Mid Atlantic Region on Monday. This high pressure will bring the coldest air of the season on northwest winds and the first freezing temperatures for some areas. The high will push off the East Coast Tuesday and Wednesday bringing a return of southwest winds and moderating temperatures. A cold front late next week looks to be mostly dry.

Next week will looks to be dry starting off cool and warming back into the 60’s with overnight lows in the 40’s. There will be a cold front late in the week and there are always chances of rain, however it looks to be mostly dry right now. Water, surf and beach conditions will be mixed, with cautious conditions on Tuesday and Thursday, possibly into Friday.

There is an invest in the Gulf of Mexico which has low chances of developing. The rest of the tropics are quiet.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to clear
Precipitation:  Slight chance of showers
Temperatures
High:     Mid to upper 50’s
Low:     Mid 30’s inland, upper 30’s to low 40’s at the shore, upper 20’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:08am
Sunset: 6:16pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  Slight chance of showers (flurries for northern areas)
Temperatures
High:     Upper 40’s to low 50’s
Low:     Mid 30’s inland, upper 30’s at the shore, mid 20’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:09am
Sunset: 6:14pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Atlantic Tropics




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  61°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  2 feet
Surf (Ocean):   1-3 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet


Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  61°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  WSW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  64°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  NW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  N 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 14 to 20 knots
Seas:  N 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet



Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  62°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  WNW 12-16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Sunday
Wind:  NW 11-13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  NW 12 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  65°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 14 to 20 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Sunday Morning
Winds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  N 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  NNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  64°F-65°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet


Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  63°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  NW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  NW 4 feet at 5 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)




Ocean Currents

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)









Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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