NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition:Nov 30-Dec 4, 2015

[Pfishingruven]

An unsettled start to the week for weather and mostly cautious conditions on the water. Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday will have chances of rain. Monday will have increasing clouds and scattered to widely scattered showers, increasing chances into the overnight. Tuesday and Wednesday Day will see more organized and widespread rain crossing the state. Rain will taper off to showers for Wednesday Night as clouds slowly clear. By Thursday skies will be sunny again and remain that way through Friday and into the weekend. High temperatures will range from the 40’s to very low 60’s with overnight lows ranging from the 20’s to the 50’s. Temperatures will be 5-10 degrees cooler this week from last week, however still slightly above average. Northern areas will see their typical departure of cooler highs and lows than the rest of the state and coastal areas will have warmer temperatures, as ocean waters are still in the 50’s and influencing air temperatures. Long range forecasts from weeks to 3 months (which can be very unreliable) are indicating above normal temperatures on average and above normal precipitation. Above normal does not mean a warm Winter, it just means average temperatures will be above normal and could be above normal by only a degree or few.  So, don’t discount the potential for cold and snow. Water conditions will be mixed all week, with pockets of good conditions and then days of cautious conditions with Small Craft Advisories. Winds do not look to exceed 25 knots this week, however seas could push 6-8 feet inshore and 10+ feet midshore to offshore. Conditions will start off cautious becoming better then back to cautious for Thursday. Increased northeasterly and easterly onshore flow will account for the higher seas. Surf conditions will be cautious to ok most of the week with wave heights 3-6 feet on average improving for Thursday and Friday into the 2-4 foot range and then 1-3 feet. Water temperatures are steady in the upper 40’s to upper 50’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 0-3/15.
High pressure will build in from Eastern Canada Sunday Night and move offshore on Monday. A warm front to the south will move north on Tuesday and Tuesday Night. Low pressure across the Plains will track eastward to the Great Lakes on Tuesday. A cold front will move through the Mid Atlantic States on Wednesday. As the low lifts into Eastern Canada, high pressure will build in from the West late in the week and into the weekend.

The weekend will be dry and sunny with highs in the upper 40’s to low 50’s with overnight lows in the upper 20’s to low 40’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious on Saturday improving into Sunday and mostly good.

The Atlantic Tropics are quiet and official season ends tomorrow. However, storms don’t know calendar dates. Also, the Eastern Pacific has been extremely active and while direct impacts from storms won’t happen, indirect effects, such as rain or snow can come across the country.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Partly sunny to cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-50% chance of showers all day (chances increase north to south)
Temperatures
High:    Upper 40’s to low 50’s with low 40’s across northern areas
Low:   Low 40’s inland, mid to upper 40’s at the shore, low 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:57am
Sunset: 4:32pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  60%-70% chance of rain
Temperatures
High:    Mid 50’s to low 60’s with mid 40’s across northern areas
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s inland and at the shore, upper 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  0-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:58am
Sunset: 4:32pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  50%-70% chance of rain during the day, 0%-30% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 50’s
Low:   Mid to upper 30’s inland and northern areas, low 40’s at the shore
UV Index:  0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:59am
Sunset: 4:32pm


Thursday
Sky:   Mostly sunny to sunny, then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s
Low:   Low 30’s inland, upper 30’s at the shore, upper 20’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:00am
Sunset: 4:32pm
Last Qtr: 2:42am


Friday
Sky:   Sunny, then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s
Low:   Low to mid 30’s inland, upper 30’s to low 40’s at the shore, upper 20’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:01am
Sunset: 4:31pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  50°F
Monday
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  E 10-15 knots becoming S 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:   NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  50°F
Monday Morning
Winds: ENE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: E 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: E 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: W 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  55°F
Monday Morning
Winds: ENE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: E 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ESE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3  feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  52°F
Monday
Wind:  ENE 11-13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 12-14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  ESE 12-16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  E 11 knots becoming SSW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less building to 2 feet
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  SW 9-12 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1-3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less
Surf:  1-2 feet, then 0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 12-17 knots with gusts to 23 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 17-20 knots with gusts to 28 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NNW 11-15 knots with gusts to 21 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  57°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: S 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  44°F-54°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SE 10 knots becoming S after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Winds: N 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday[/]
Wind:  NW 10 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  56°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: E 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  WNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  WNW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: WNW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: W 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)