NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Jan 9-10, 2016

[Pfishingruven]

Another unsettled weekend with rain and cautious water conditions. The weekend will be cloudy with scattered rain chances during the day. Some northern areas could have freezing rain during the day also. Heavier, more widespread rain will move in for the night and remain through Sunday before moving out for Sunday Night. Some of the rain may be accompanied by thunderstorms with heavy downpours, lightning, and winds. Temperatures will be above average again with a warm front lifting north. Highs in the 40’s to 60’s will be seen with lows in the 30’s and 40’s, before temperatures drop into the 20’s and 30’s again on Sunday Night. Water conditions will start off good to borderline early on Saturday, before deteriorating with increased winds and building seas. Saturday Afternoon will see cautious conditions and these will become hazardous by Sunday. Winds will push 35 knots with seas over 10 feet. Surf and beach conditions will be ok to cautious, as wave heights will push 8+ feet. Water temperatures are steady in the 40’s. UV Index will be Low at 0-2/15.

High pressure will remain in place across Eastern Canada and nose its way down the Eastern Seaboard through Saturday. A warm front will lift northwest of the area Friday Night into early Saturday Morning as a weak area of low pressure lift through the Great Lakes. A stronger low pressure system will lift through the Ohio River Valley into the Northeast Saturday Night into Sunday, lifting an occluded frontal system across the area on Sunday. High pressure will build to the south Monday into Monday Night before an area of low pressure moves to the North on Tuesday into Wednesday. This low will pull a cold front across the area Tuesday Night. High pressure builds to the south Wednesday through Thursday, while another area of low pressure move through the Great Lakes into New England on Thursday.

The week looks mainly dry with a mix of sun and clouds. The cold will continue with high temperatures in the 30’s and 40’s with overnight lows in the teens to 30’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be mostly cautious to hazardous for the week. There may be some pockets of good conditions, however, overall winds will gust greater than 20 knots with seas at 5 feet or more.

There is a large mid-latitude extra-tropical system that is developing off the East Coast. This system will head out to sea, but its sheer size will effect weather and water forecasts.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-60% chance of rain, freezing rain across northern areas, 90% chance of rain at night
Temperatures
High:     Upper 40’s to low 50’s, with low 40’s in northern areas
Low:     Mid to upper 40’s with upper 30’s in northern areas
UV Index:  0-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:48pm
New Moon: 8:32pm


Sunday
Sky:  Cloudy becoming partly to mostly cloudy, Breezy at night
Precipitation:  50%-90% chance of rain (chances decrease during the day)
Temperatures
High:     Mid 50’s to low 60’s
Low:     Upper 20’s to low 30’s
UV Index:  0-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 4:49pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Saturday & Sunday Thunderstorm Risks




Extratropical Atlantic Storm




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  43°F
Saturday
Winds: E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 10-15 increasing to 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SE 15-20 knots becoming SW 10-15 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 30 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  5-9 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  5-9 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  43°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SE 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  5-9 feet
Sunday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 23 to 30 knots
Seas:  SE 8 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  5-9 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  49°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: E 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SE 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  SE 7 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  43°F
Saturday
Wind:  E 6 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  ENE 9-12 knots becoming ESE 14-17 knots after midnight with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SE 18 knots becoming WSW in the afternoon with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 17-20 knots increasing to 20-23 knots after midnight with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  52°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ENE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 20 to 28 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  SE 8 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  45°F
Saturday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming SE 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  S 15-20 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots increasing to 20-25 knots after midnight
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  54°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 7 feet at 10 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 8 feet at 10 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SE 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  ESE 9 feet at 10 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  ESE 10 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Ocean Currents

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[fellinger]

Still love the reports!

[Pfishingruven]

Still love the reports!

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[Hotrod]

 

[Pfishingruven]

The National Weather Services Philadelphia and New York City have issued Coastal Flood Advisories, Small Craft Advisories, and Gale Warnings for coastal and marine areas.

A Coastal Flood Advisory has been issued for all coastal areas beginning in Hudson County and moving south for areas around New York Harbor/Raritan Bay, out to the Atlantic and south along the coast, then up the Delaware Bay, continuing up the Delaware River north to Burlington County along the Delaware River. Minor Coastal Flooding is possible during Sunday's high tide (in the morning) with tides running near or above High Astronomical Tide levels (1-2 feet above MHHW). Areas that are prone to flooding will likely flood. With mainly onshore winds and seas to 10 feet on the ocean, tides will be up. Coupled with the possibility of heavy rains during the overnight and on Sunday, this may add to any flood waters.

Coastal Flood Advisories

Small Craft Advisories are currently in effect and Gale Warnings have been issued from 5 AM Sunday to 6 AM Monday for all coastal waters including New York Harbor/Raritan Bay and Delaware Bay as well as back bays and rivers. Winds will gust to 40 knots and seas on the ocean will push 10 feet inshore and 15 feet midshore to offshore. This will bring HAZARDOUS Conditions on the water for Sunday for all waters. Gale Warnings extend beyond NJ Coastal Waters north and south along the coast.

Small Craft Advisories

Gale Warnings

Be safe and enjoy the rest of the weekend!