Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Jan 25-29, 2016  (Read 5347 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A much more settled week, but still some activity, with a mix of water conditions. Monday will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds. Highs will only be in the 30’s again with overnight lows in the teens to 30’s. Chances of showers move in for Tuesday and Wednesday Day, even though those chances are low right now. Any chances will be scattered and there will be a mix of sun and clouds. Chances of any rain end for Wednesday Night and the rest of the week SHOULD be dry. Highs on Tuesday and Wednesday will get into the 40’s for most areas with overnight lows in the teens to 30’s. Thursday and Friday will see highs back into the 30’s and low 40’s with overnight lows again in the teens to 30’s. IF, a low pressure system develops off the Southeast Coast and if this system tracks north or northeast, there is the potential for another coastal storm. This storm could bring snow to the area on Friday or Saturday. Right now, these chances are at around 20% or so. This will be what needs to be watched this week to see what develops over the next few days. This storm has not been in the models for very long. Water conditions will be mixed this week. Monday will have borderline to cautious conditions for ocean waters with good conditions on the bays and rivers. Seas are still recovering from the exiting storm system. Tuesday will have cautious conditions for all waters with winds gusting to 25 knots. Wednesday will have borderline to cautious conditions for ocean waters and the Delaware Bay and good conditions for other back bays and rivers. Thursday will have mostly good conditions except for southern ocean areas and midshore to offshore. Friday will have borderline to cautious conditions for ocean waters and good conditions for bays and rivers. If you go out, watch for debris from receding flood waters and damage. Surf conditions will be ok with some borderline to cautious days. All, but Thursday will have seas 2-5 feet on average with 1-3 feet on Thursday. Beach conditions will not be good this week or until repairs are made for most areas. Major beach erosion has washed out 4-10 feet of sand. Beach access is dangerous and there is a lot of debris around. There may be residual flooding also. If you are considering going out, call ahead or check with the town or park you will be visiting for current conditions. Water temperatures have dropped, as much as 10 degrees. Waters are in the 30’s now with 40’s midshore to offshore. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 1-4/15. Again, forecast for end of the week may change depending on the possibilities of another Winter storm. I will keep you updated.

High pressure will build in from the Mid South through Monday Night. The high then moves off the coast Monday Night. A cold front approaching from the west is forecast to arrive on Tuesday Night with another area of high pressure to follow. An area of low pressure may develop off the Southeast Coast and either move out to seas or track up the coast late in the week. A cold front will move through before high pressure builds in for the weekend.

The weekend will be dry right now, UNLESS, low pressure forms off the Southeast Coast and tracks north/northeast as another potential Nor’Easter/Winter Storm. Highs will be in the low to mid 40’s with lows in the 30’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be cautious on Saturday and borderline on Sunday.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:    Mid to upper 30’s
Low:   Mid to upper 20’s inland, low 30’s at the shore, upper teens northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:11am
Sunset: 5:06pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:    Mid to upper 40’s inland and at the shore with low 40’s northern areas
Low:   Mid 30’s inland, upper 30’s at the shore, upper 20’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:10am
Sunset: 5:07pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of snow showers during the day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s
Low:   Low to mid 20’s inland, upper 20’s at the shore, upper teens northern areas
UV Index:  0-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:10am
Sunset: 5:08pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 30’s
Low:   Low to mid 20’s inland, upper 20’s to low 30’s at the shore, upper teens northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:09am
Sunset: 5:09pm


Friday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s
Low:   Mid to upper 20’s inland, low 30’s at the shore, low 20’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:08am
Sunset: 5:10pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  33°F
Monday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet

Wednesday
Wind:  W 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NE 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  33°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Wednesday Morning
Winds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: W 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  42°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet

Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4  feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  36°F
Monday
Wind:  NW 6-8 knots becoming WSW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 11-16 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 12-14 knots becoming W after midnight with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Wednesday
Wind:  WNW 10-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  WNW 5-9 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming NNW 5-9 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  44°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet   

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: N 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WSW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  35°F
Monday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots becoming N 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Winds: N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds: N 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday[/]
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  45°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 11 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 11 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  SW 6 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 20 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 7 seconds

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: E 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: W 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 8 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline fluke - u

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Jan 25-29, 2016
« Reply #1 on: January 25, 2016, 01:12:53 PM »
 TT^ ....This looks a lot better Matt ...... chrz
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Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Jan 25-29, 2016
« Reply #2 on: January 26, 2016, 09:05:37 AM »
TT^ ....This looks a lot better Matt ...... chrz

 clp

Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Update for Friday's Weather
« Reply #3 on: January 28, 2016, 11:54:24 PM »
The coastal/Winter storm is not going to happen, however, the low will glance the area on Friday bringing some rain/snow chances with snow accumulations of less than an inch. Coastal areas and water conditions will have gusty winds to 35 knots and seas to 6 feet or so. Small Craft Advisories for bays and rivers are in effect through early Saturday Morning and Gale Warnings are in effect for ocean waters. Flooding does not look like an issue, but with major beach erosion, tides may appear higher than normal. Bay flooding does not look like an issue either. With that said, tides will be pushing the Mean Higher High Water marks or just above. Otherwise, not really much of an event, hence why you haven't heard anything about it all week. The models just could not come to a solution with this system. Hopefully, there aren't any surprises tomorrow with a more westerly track as opposed to the current forecast out to sea!


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Tornado Watch South Jersey
« Reply #4 on: February 24, 2016, 03:42:08 PM »
Tornado Watch

ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER MERCER SALEM


http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/wou0028.html

**Sorry for the brevity...I am working from my cell

Offline fluke - u

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Jan 25-29, 2016
« Reply #5 on: February 24, 2016, 06:10:29 PM »
 5hrug  **Sorry for the brevity...I am working from my cell....Completely unacceptable Matt....... TT^
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Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Jan 25-29, 2016
« Reply #6 on: February 24, 2016, 07:04:11 PM »
5hrug  **Sorry for the brevity...I am working from my cell....Completely unacceptable Matt....... TT^

 ;D


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Tornado Watch & Severe Thunderstorm Watch
« Reply #7 on: February 24, 2016, 09:14:46 PM »
The bulk of NJ is under a Tornado Watch while the Northeastern part of the state is under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch. Conditions may be conducive to severe thunderstorms capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, damaging winds, hail, and even tornadoes. Be aware of changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts tonight!

Be safe!!

Tornado Watch

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Inland Flooding
« Reply #8 on: February 25, 2016, 05:09:45 PM »
The inland flooding I mentioned earlier in the week is happening for some small streams and river across Central and Northern NJ. Minor to Moderate Flooding is being seen across mostly Northern NJ Rivers due to heavy rains from storms the last few days!

Please keep updated if you live in an inland flood zone. The remainder of the week will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds. Slightly colder air returns for tomorrow with 40's during the day and 20 overnight. Water conditions are hazardous to cautious with Gale Warnings still in effect. Weekend Outlook will be up at some point tonight. My cell phone is back up...just setting everything up!

Here are current Flood Warnings

Flood Warnings

You can also check out current river levels at these two links

Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center

NWS Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services


 

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